New school, new number, same question — and Conner Weigman's early answer at Houston is 2,705 pass YDS, 2,500-yd club.
6′3″ · 210 lb · Cypress, TX · Bridgeland HS
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
passing yards · 2026 · through week 3
3 games into 2026 so far -- Backed by 236 yds · 5 TD -- top 1% passing TDs game.
The play that turned itSwung Houston from 9% to 62% to win.Houston at Texas Tech · 28-26
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
Senior quarterback for Houston. 2026: 3 games with a box-score line.
How he plays
Operates within the system without forcing anything.
EPA / dropback: 86th percentile.
The full scouting readAura™ · Him Watch
-26aura tax
88th pctl our passing-value metric (wEPA) QBs · 160 qualified, n=84
— the tape outruns the hype.Buzz vs Tape
His production sits in the 89th percentile among qualified QBs this season, well ahead of 63rd-percentile attention — a gap of 26 points between tape and volume.
Also worth knowing:
“Is West Alabama's QB the D2 Conner Weigman? Many people are saying it”
Conner Weigman
Conner Weigman arrives at Houston with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
PASS YDS · 2,500-YD CLUB
2,705
2705 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-09-22
His career
He arrived as a blue-chip recruit and played like one.
The role got bigger.
Career arc
Badges
Coaching lineage · 2022–2026
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Dana Holgorsen → Willie Fritz. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Game by game
Point color shows the opponent's defensive strength that week (red = weaker defense, blue = stronger) — dashed line is this player's own season average.
Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 3 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 33-20vs Oregon State | 20/30 | 305 | 1 | 1 | 10.2 | — | Season-high 305 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 77-6vs Southern | 9/12 | 120 | 3 | 0 | 10.0 | 48.3 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | L 26-28@ Texas Tech | 27/38 | 282 | 3 | 0 | 7.4 | 86.8 | 3 TD passes |
| Total | 56/80 | 707 | 7 | 1 | 9.2 | 67.5 |
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2026
W 77–6
vs Southern
120 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT · QBR 48.3 · 6 rush yds (1 car)
Dominant 71-point win at home against Southern.
With K. Henderson — 83 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT · QBR 23.8 · 54 rush yds (1 car) · 1 TD · J. Hebert — 65 rush yds (5 car) · 1 TD
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
Since week 2: +282 passing yards, +3 passing TD.
Season context · Team result + system
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles
Elite: epa / dropback (86th percentile). Strength: success rate (84th percentile).
Real play-by-play efficiency
Season trend
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).
Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
Adjusted ANY/A
9.4326 of 126 QBsSack rate
4.8%69 of 126 QBsSacked on 4.8% of dropbacks (69 of 126) — and still 26 of 126 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.
Behind LOS · Negative air yds
Short · 0–9 air yds
Middle · 10–19 air yds
Deep · 20+ air yds
Overall 70.0% completion on 80 attempts · 47% of attempts thrown 0–9 air yds.
Zeitgeist Passer Rating
2026 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.
Thin sample: 84 dropbacks65Zeitgeist Passer Ratingnot ranked until 125 dropbacks
--NCAA passer ratingno box-score line yet
Positive-play rate weight 24%
51.0%87th pct of FBS QBsshare of dropbacks that gained expected points · +1.0% schedule adj.Yards per attempt weight 56%
8.4091th pct of FBS QBssacks excluded · -0.5 schedule adj.Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)
3.7%80th pct of FBS QBsthe input passer rating cannot see · -1.0% schedule adj.Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (0 of 84 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. Scaled against the 2025 FBS population until enough 2026 QBs qualify. How ZPR is built.
Splits · Per-game
2026 season · 3 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home2g | 212 | 2.0 | 10.1 | 0.5 |
| Road1g | 282 | 3.0 | 7.4 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 236 | 2.3 | 9.2 | 0.3 |
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Willie Fritz
Pass share
42.1%
88 pass / 121 run
Plays / game
69.7
3 games
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Player standing · 2026
Our Heisman model has him inside the top 25; he is not on a published award watch list yet.
Recognition
2026 outlook
Heisman market0.7%full market ›
In the mix for All-Big 12
Based on 2025: #3 of 17 Big 12 QBs
49% estimated, 95% confidence interval 43–54%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.
Play style
Operates within the system without forcing anything.
CFB Index positional classification
Returning starter at quarterback for a 10-3 Houston team that went +1 in the portal.
Player DNA
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
His 2026 production profile sits closest to Desmond Ridder’s 2021 season.
Matches Desmond on
Through 5 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Andrew Marty’s path through Northwestern.
Matches Andrew on
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Katin Houser's graduate season at Illinois (2026).
Matches Katin on
Differs from Katin on
Player DNA
Heisman futures · sportsbook market
#22 in market ▲ from #26 · 6 books
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peaked at #10 — top-10 conversation.
As a Junior (2025) Three-time Big 12 Offensive Player of the Week honoree Davey O’Brien QB Class of 2025 watch list Davey O’Brien Award Postseason Great 8 selection Davey O’Brien Award Great 8 Week 9 honoree Started all 13 games at quarterback One of four FBS QBs with a 25+10 passing and…