No. 10 LSU routs No. 23 Texas A&M 35-6 Team pages: Texas A&M · LSU
TA&M No. 23 Texas A&M2-2 6 LSU No. 10 LSU3-1 35 Final No. 10 LSU routed No. 23 Texas A&M 35-6. Share this game
We had LSU favored. It won.
Top comment in the game thread
That’s a brilliant play call
Q3 10:57 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 26 How it swung Watch the plays Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung Before kickoff, our ratings gave LSU a 56% chance, and the closing betting line (LSU was a 8.5-point favorite) put it at 75%.
Final LSU 35-6 Texas A&M LSU won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. Final Texas A&M 6-35 LSU Texas A&M lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 94% at half LSU Won 35-6 Scores LSU Texas A&M LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 0 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 13 comments a minute LSU fans: 12 comments a minute LSU fans: 14 comments a minute LSU fans: 10 comments a minute LSU fans: 16 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 13 comments a minute LSU fans: 11 comments a minute LSU fans: 13 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 18 comments a minute LSU fans: 14 comments a minute LSU fans: 12 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 16 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 20 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 18 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 16 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 15 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 23 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 20 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 17 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 16 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 23 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 22 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 27 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 35 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 20 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 23 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 17 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 18 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 25 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 7 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 15 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 7 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 30 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 94% at half LSU Won 35-6 Scores LSU T. A&M LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 0 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU 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fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 23 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 22 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 27 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 35 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 20 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 23 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 17 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 18 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 25 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 7 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 15 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 7 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 30 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 6% at half LSU Lowest 0% Lost 6-35 Scores Texas A&M LSU Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 16 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 20 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 18 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 16 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 15 comments a minute Texas A&M 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fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 7 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 30 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 0 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 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comments a minute LSU fans: 14 comments a minute LSU fans: 12 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute 50% 10% 25% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 6% at half LSU Lowest 0% Lost 6-35 Scores T. A&M LSU Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 4 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 16 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 20 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 18 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 9 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 16 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 15 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 23 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 20 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 17 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 16 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 8 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 23 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 22 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 27 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 35 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 20 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 23 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 17 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 18 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 19 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 25 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 11 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 7 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 15 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 13 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 7 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 14 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 30 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 21 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 12 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 10 comments a minute Texas A&M fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 0 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 2 comments a minute LSU fans: 5 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 7 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 1 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 13 comments a minute LSU fans: 12 comments a minute LSU fans: 14 comments a minute LSU fans: 10 comments a minute LSU fans: 16 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute LSU fans: 13 comments a minute LSU fans: 11 comments a minute LSU fans: 13 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 3 comments a minute LSU fans: 4 comments a minute LSU fans: 6 comments a minute LSU fans: 18 comments a minute LSU fans: 14 comments a minute LSU fans: 12 comments a minute LSU fans: 9 comments a minute LSU fans: 8 comments a minute
See it from Texas A&M’s side No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
Q3 10:57 LSU made a brilliant play call on a touchdown. Quoted at the top of the page. Q3 6:10 Texas A&M fans demand benching Reed after his 17-yard sack You have to bench him Mike r/CFB game thread LSU’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (LSU -8.5), at 79% for LSU (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a LSU or Texas A&M flair (1,121 and 2,661); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to. Watch the plays The bar and the arrow show LSU’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
Play all in order Q2, 1:54 Leavitt 16-yd TD pass to Harris LSU leads 14-3 Q2, 1:54 · LSU 14, Texas A&M 3 ▲4% LSU’s chance to win, 89% to 93% ▲4% LSU’s chance to win, 89% to 93% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 10:57 Leavitt 57-yd TD pass to Harris LSU leads 21-3 Q3, 10:57 · LSU 21, Texas A&M 3 ▲3% LSU’s chance to win, 95% to 98% ▲3% LSU’s chance to win, 95% to 98% ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 10:14 Reed sacked for a 6-yd loss Q3, 10:14 · LSU 21, Texas A&M 3 21-3 score after the play 21-3 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 4:09 Leavitt intercepted by Ratcliffe at the LSU 40 Q3, 4:09 · LSU 28, Texas A&M 3 28-3 score after the play 28-3 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q3, 0:31 Clark 2-yd TD run LSU leads 35-6 Q3, 0:31 · LSU 35, Texas A&M 6 35-6 score after the play 35-6 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 14:13 Reed intercepted by Cooley at the TAMU19 Q4, 14:13 · LSU 35, Texas A&M 6 35-6 score after the play 35-6 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football Q4, 4:34 Hart intercepted by Turner at the LSU 32 returned 10 yards Q4, 4:34 · LSU 35, Texas A&M 6 35-6 score after the play 35-6 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive LSU scored on 5 of its 13 drives; Texas A&M on 2 of its 14.
LSU’s drives are teal, Texas A&M’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 LSU: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69 Punt Texas A&M: Punt, from 70 yards out to 55 Punt LSU: Touchdown, from 82 yards out to 0 Touchdown Texas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 80 Punt LSU: Punt, from 76 yards out to 72 Punt Texas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 52 Punt LSU: Punt, from 80 yards out to 76 Punt Texas A&M: Field goal, from 68 yards out to 6 Field goal Q2 LSU: Punt, from 75 yards out to 48 Punt Texas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72 Punt LSU: Touchdown, from 83 yards out to 0 Touchdown Texas A&M: End of half, from 75 yards out to 61 End of half Q3 Texas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 79 Punt LSU: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0 Touchdown Texas A&M: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 66 Downs LSU: Touchdown, from 34 yards out to 0 Touchdown Texas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 77 Punt LSU: Interception, from 76 yards out to 76 Interception Texas A&M: Field goal, from 40 yards out to 36 Field goal LSU: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown Texas A&M: Interception, from 99 yards out to 94 Interception Q4 LSU: Missed field goal, from 19 yards out to 6 Missed FG Texas A&M: Punt, from 80 yards out to 60 Punt LSU: Punt, from 93 yards out to 68 Punt Texas A&M: Interception, from 72 yards out to 53 Interception LSU: Turned over on downs, from 58 yards out to 7 Downs Texas A&M: End of game, from 93 yards out to 89 End of game “I just don't understand. Everyone and their mother can see this isn't going to work. So let's do it again!” A Texas A&M fan How fans reacted Quiet
Fans had the most to say in the third quarter.
Jump to the loudest stretch
The jump was quiet; the crowd was busy.
First Second Third Fourth LSU fans Texas A&M fans usual Two crowds, one game The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.
LSU fans
leavitt “We just need to give sam leavitt some xanax with his magnesium supplements pre game so he keeps playing like this”
definitely “I'm so glad I don't gamble. Thought both Florida -3.5 and LSU -8.5 was wild. Shows what I know, would have definitely lost money.”
leg “Maybe having a bum leg will make Leavitt slow down a little bit and make throws like that. Hold notwithstanding”
atm “We were much better last year than this atm team. They’ll be lucky to win 7 games”
Texas A&M fans
reed “yo guys in my humble opinion I think the Heisman conversation this year should be between Marcel Reed VS John Mateer”
don “Reed is infinitely worse now than Weigman was when Elko pulled him. I don’t get it”
Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, ball, back, every.
What it cost LSU’s chance to make the playoff rose from 28% to 40%.
Make the playoff
Texas A&M · lost 41% → ▼ 32% 41% ▼ 32%
LSU · won 28% → ▲ 40% 28% ▲ 40% Win the conference
Texas A&M · lost 4% → ▼ 2%
LSU · won 2% → ▲ 4%
Win the title
Texas A&M · lost 4% → 4%
LSU · won 2% → ▲ 3%
Before the game (September 25, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score LSU 35, Texas A&M 6
LSU covered −8.5 by 20.5. The total, 41, stayed under 52.5.
Texas A&M LSU Total yards Texas A&M 197 LSU 506 197 506 Passing yards Texas A&M 106 LSU 312 106 312 Rushing yards Texas A&M 91 LSU 194 91 194 First downs Texas A&M 11 LSU 20 11 20 Turnovers Texas A&M 2 LSU 1 2 1 Time of possession Texas A&M 29:41 LSU 30:19 29:41 30:19 Team totals Texas A&M LSU Total yards 197 506 Passing 10 of 27, 106 yds 17 of 28, 312 yds Rushing 33 for 91 yds 38 for 194 yds First downs 11 20 Third down 4 of 15 4 of 12 Fourth down 0 of 1 1 of 2 Turnovers 2 1 Penalties 7 for 44 yds 5 for 35 yds Time of possession 29:41 30:19
Texas A&M leaders Passing Marcel Reed 10 of 26, 106 yds, 1 INTRushing Rueben Owens 11 for 62 yds; KJ Edwards 4 for 21 ydsReceiving Isaiah Horton 3 for 43 yds; Mario Craver 3 for 31 ydsLSU leaders Passing Sam Leavitt 17 of 23, 312 yds, 2 TD, 1 INTRushing Dilin Jones 14 for 63 yds, 1 TD; Harlem Berry 7 for 58 ydsReceiving Jackson Harris 6 for 163 yds, 2 TD; Winston Watkins 5 for 107 ydsNo rain and calm 82° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 3 mph from the north-northwest, gusts to 5
September game-day temperatures at Tiger Stadium (LA)
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 LSU favored Texas A&M favored 100% Win chance LSU Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 LSU favored Texas A&M favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind · miles per hour 20 40 Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
First quarter, 14:55 left6:45 p.m.
Texas A&M 0, LSU 0 · LSU 79% to win
no rain · wind 4 mph from the west-northwest · 83°
Jones 4-yd run
Previous play Next play
Where this weather comes from Measured at Baton Rouge Metropolitan Airport, 8.9 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
This is LSU-Texas A&M — see the full head-to-head history →
Matchups Biggest mismatch: Texas A&M’s passing EPA against LSU, 83 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Texas A&M’s passing EPA against LSU’s defense
83 points weaker stronger 50th Texas A&M offense, 16th percentile · LSU defense, 99th
Texas A&M’s explosive plays against LSU’s defense
78 points weaker stronger 50th Texas A&M offense, 5th percentile · LSU defense, 83rd
Texas A&M’s EPA/play against LSU’s defense
70 points weaker stronger 50th Texas A&M offense, 29th percentile · LSU defense, 99th
Season profile, all the rows Season profile Texas A&M LSU
EPA/play, offense
Texas A&M · 29 LSU · 82 EPA/play, defense
Texas A&M · 82 LSU · 99 Success rate, offense
Texas A&M · 47 LSU · 95 Success rate, defense
Texas A&M · 79 LSU · 97 Explosive-play rate, offense
Texas A&M · 5 LSU · 34 Explosive-play rate, defense
Texas A&M · 61 LSU · 83 Rush EPA, offense
Texas A&M · 68 LSU · 50 Rush EPA, defense
Texas A&M · 72 LSU · 76 Pass EPA, offense
Texas A&M · 16 LSU · 88 Pass EPA, defense
Texas A&M · 92 LSU · 99 The series LSU leads the series 36-24-3
63 meetings since 1906 · Texas A&M has won the last 2
LSU won Texas A&M won 1906: Texas A&M by 10 1907: Texas A&M by 6 1908: LSU by 26 1913: tie 1914: Texas A&M by 54 1916: LSU by 13 1917: Texas A&M by 27 1920: tie 1921: LSU by 6 1922: Texas A&M by 46 1923: Texas A&M by 28 1942: LSU by 9 1943: Texas A&M by 15 1943: LSU by 5 1944: Texas A&M by 7 1945: LSU by 19 1946: LSU by 24 1947: LSU by 6 1948: LSU by 1 1949: LSU by 34 1955: Texas A&M by 28 1956: Texas A&M by 3 1960: LSU by 9 1961: LSU by 9 1962: LSU by 21 1963: LSU by 8 1964: LSU by 3 1965: LSU by 10 1966: tie 1967: LSU by 11 1968: LSU by 1 1969: LSU by 29 1970: Texas A&M by 2 1971: LSU by 37 1972: LSU by 25 1973: LSU by 5 1974: Texas A&M by 7 1975: Texas A&M by 31 1986: LSU by 18 1987: LSU by 14 1988: LSU by 27 1989: Texas A&M by 12 1990: LSU by 9 1991: Texas A&M by 38 1992: Texas A&M by 9 1993: Texas A&M by 24 1994: Texas A&M by 5 1995: Texas A&M by 16 2010: LSU by 17 2012: LSU by 5 2013: LSU by 24 2014: LSU by 6 2015: LSU by 12 2016: LSU by 15 2017: LSU by 24 2018: Texas A&M by 2 2019: LSU by 43 2020: Texas A&M by 13 2021: LSU by 3 2022: Texas A&M by 15 2023: LSU by 12 2024: Texas A&M by 15 2025: Texas A&M by 24 1906 2025 2025 Texas A&M 49-25 LSU lost 25-49 vs Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 55%, low under 1%, high 71%. 2024 Texas A&M 38-23 LSU lost 23-38 at Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 48%, low under 1%, high 92%. 2023 LSU 42-30 LSU won 42-30 vs Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 75%, low 23%, high better than 99%. 2022 Texas A&M 38-23 LSU lost 23-38 at Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 73%, low 1%, high 78%. 2021 LSU 27-24 LSU won 27-24 vs Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 28%, low 8%, high better than 99%. Each line is LSU’s chance to win through that meeting. LSU is 2-0 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.
Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans LSU fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (13th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.
50-50 Line · 75% Texas A&M fans · 11th Texas A&M LSU Model · 56% Line · 75% LSU fans · 13th Texas A&M fans · 11th LSU favored by 8.5 · Total 52.5
How games like this usually go LSU by 8.5, and it went to form 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market The spread moved 5.5 points toward LSU.
opened −3 now −8.5 The total fell 5 points.
opened 57.5 now 52.5 Spread: −3 → −8.5 · Total: 57.5 → 52.5
The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff Warm and dry. Feels like 80° at kickoff.
Texas A&M at LSU · Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 · Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge
80°feels like at kickoff Dry no rain at kickoff 97weather score, Comfortable Tied for the best of the day's 7 kickoff times At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Tiger Stadium that day, a 8 pm kickoff would have scored 99, against 97 at 6 pm.
Rough
Mixed
Comfortable
Ideal (100) 71 Rough 67 Rough 69 Rough 84 Mixed 97 Comfortable 97 Comfortable 99 Comfortable
11 am 2:30 pm 3:15 pm 5 pm 6 pm 7 pm 8 pm
11 am: 71, Rough 2:30 pm: 67, Rough 3:15 pm: 69, Rough 5 pm: 84, Mixed 6 pm: 97, Comfortable (this game) 7 pm: 97, Comfortable 8 pm: 99, Comfortable Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field LSU is worth +7.1 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 92nd percentile.
82% at home, 50% on the road against FBS opponents (42-9 home, 19-19 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.6 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 307 miles to get here.
Last meeting in our History pages Our History pages cover 4 of their meetings since 2018.