Youngstown State routs Indiana State 57-24

Team pages: Youngstown State · Indiana State

Youngstown State5-257
Indiana State2-524Final
Sat, Oct 10 · Memorial Stadium, Terre Haute, Ind. · Crowd 4,428ESPN+

Youngstown State routed Indiana State 57-24.

We had Youngstown State favored. It won.

Next: Youngstown State beat Northern Iowa 35-22, Sat Oct 17

Next: Indiana State at Illinois State, Sat Oct 24 · 3:00 PM ET

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Youngstown State an 85% chance, and the closing betting line (Youngstown State was a 19.5-point favorite) put it at 94%.

FinalYoungstown State 57-24 Indiana StateYoungstown State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Youngstown StateWon57-24Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Youngstown StateWon57-24Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Youngstown StateLowest 0%Lost24-57Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Youngstown StateLowest 0%Lost24-57Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Youngstown State’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Youngstown State -19.5), at 82% for Youngstown State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Youngstown State scored on 8 of its 14 drives; Indiana State on 4 of its 14.

Youngstown State’s drives are teal, Indiana State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Indiana State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownIndiana State: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 25Missed FGYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0TouchdownIndiana State: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 19Field goalYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Indiana State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownIndiana State: Punt, from 84 yards out to 67PuntYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownIndiana State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 90PuntYoungstown State: Punt, from 80 yards out to 39PuntIndiana State: End of half, from 88 yards out to 89End of halfQ3Youngstown State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownIndiana State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownYoungstown State: Touchdown, from 64 yards out to 0TouchdownIndiana State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 68PuntYoungstown State: Punt, from 99 yards out to 83PuntIndiana State: Punt, from 59 yards out to 69PuntYoungstown State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntIndiana State: Punt, from 74 yards out to 77PuntQ4Youngstown State: Touchdown, from 82 yards out to 0TouchdownIndiana State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntYoungstown State: Punt, from 76 yards out to 69PuntIndiana State: Punt, from 63 yards out to 61PuntYoungstown State: Punt, from 76 yards out to 57PuntIndiana State: Punt, from 99 yards out to 97PuntYoungstown State: End of game, from 52 yards out to 54End of game

Box score

Youngstown State 57, Indiana State 24

Youngstown State covered −19.5 by 13.5. The total, 81, went over 64.5.

Youngstown State leaders

  • Passing Beau Brungard 25 of 34, 386 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Jaden Gilbert 15 for 163 yds, 3 TD; Beau Brungard 8 for 37 yds, 2 TD
  • Receiving Lynn Wyche-El 10 for 118 yds, 1 TD; Bryan Hunt 2 for 86 yds, 1 TD

Indiana State leaders

  • Passing Brady Allen 20 of 28, 299 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Max McCool 11 for 38 yds, 2 TD; Manny Ellis 9 for 12 yds
  • Receiving Jayden Reed 7 for 122 yds; Keshon Singleton 5 for 107 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Youngstown State · 4-2

Rated 147th in our preseason ratings, 117th now, up 30 spots.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 28-16 @ Southern Illinois #162 of 668

won by 12 as a 4-point favorite

Youngstown State won 28-16 at Southern Illinois. Chance to win started at 50%, low 33%, high better than 99%.

W 47-28 vs South Dakota #118 of 668

won by 19 as a 1.5-point favorite

Youngstown State won 47-28 vs South Dakota. Chance to win started at 63%, low 56%, high better than 99%.

L 20-27 @ South Dakota State #102 of 668

lost by 7 as a 9.5-point underdog

Youngstown State lost 20-27 at South Dakota State. Chance to win started at 20%, low under 1%, high 31%.

Last three games

Indiana State · 2-4

Rated 219th in our preseason ratings, 210th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 14-44 @ South Dakota #109 of 668

lost by 30 as a 16.5-point underdog

Indiana State lost 14-44 at South Dakota. Chance to win started at 12%, low under 1%, high 15%.

L 35-42 vs North Dakota #114 of 668

lost by 7 as a 17.5-point underdog

Indiana State lost 35-42 vs North Dakota. Chance to win started at 16%, low under 1%, high 20%.

W 39-16 vs Valparaiso #253 of 668

won by 23 as a 22.5-point favorite

Indiana State won 39-16 vs Valparaiso. Chance to win started at 96%, low 92%, high better than 99%.

W 42-35 @ Eastern Illinois #234 of 668

won by 7 as a 3-point favorite

Indiana State won 42-35 at Eastern Illinois. Chance to win started at 49%, low 47%, high better than 99%.

L 19-44 @ Purdue #117 of 668

lost by 25 as a 35.5-point underdog

Indiana State lost 19-44 at Purdue. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 2%.

L 21-23 vs Southeast Missouri State #232 of 668

lost by 2 as a 2.5-point favorite

Indiana State lost 21-23 vs Southeast Missouri State. Chance to win started at 60%, low 16%, high 69%.

Week by week

Indiana State

Wk 1: L 19-44 at Purdue▼25PurdueWk 2: W 42-35 at Eastern Illinois▲7E. Illin…Wk 3: W 39-16 vs Valparaiso▲23Valparai…Wk 4: L 35-42 vs North Dakota▼7N. DakotaWk 5: L 14-44 at South Dakota▼30S. Dakota
  • Wk 1Lat Purdue19-44
  • Wk 2Wat Eastern Illinois42-35
  • Wk 3Wvs Valparaiso39-16
  • Wk 4Lvs North Dakota35-42
  • Wk 5Lat South Dakota14-44

Youngstown State

Wk 1: L 13-45 at Kentucky▼32KentuckyWk 2: W 70-13 vs Duquesne▲57DuquesneWk 3: L 20-27 at South Dakota State▼7S. Dakot…Wk 4: W 47-28 vs South Dakota▲19S. DakotaWk 5: W 28-16 at Southern Illinois▲12S. Illin…
  • Wk 1Lat Kentucky13-45
  • Wk 2Wvs Duquesne70-13
  • Wk 3Lat South Dakota State20-27
  • Wk 4Wvs South Dakota47-28
  • Wk 5Wat Southern Illinois28-16

Power rating by week

Youngstown State is rated 6.0 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-2-7-11Wk 0Wk 3Wk 5Indiana StateYoungstown State

The series

Youngstown State leads the series 15-7

22 meetings since 2003 · Youngstown State has won the last 4

Indiana State wonYoungstown State won2003: Youngstown State by 62004: Youngstown State by 252005: Youngstown State by 452006: Youngstown State by 382007: Youngstown State by 332008: Youngstown State by 142009: Youngstown State by 282010: Indiana State by 62011: Indiana State by 22012: Youngstown State by 212013: Youngstown State by 112014: Indiana State by 32015: Indiana State by 32016: Youngstown State by 32017: Youngstown State by 422018: Indiana State by 262019: Indiana State by 72021: Indiana State by 112022: Youngstown State by 62023: Youngstown State by 122024: Youngstown State by 72025: Youngstown State by 1920032025
  • 2025Youngstown State 48-29
  • 2024Youngstown State 21-14
  • 2023Youngstown State 19-7
  • 2022Youngstown State 48-42
  • 2021Indiana State 28-17

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Indiana State’s chances here.

50-50Model · 15%Line · 6%Youngstown StateIndiana State

Youngstown State favored by 19.5 · Total 64.5

How games like this usually go

Youngstown State by 19.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Indiana State is worth +8.2 points (±8.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile.

0% at home, 8% on the road against FBS opponents (0-4 home, 1-12 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.4 at home vs. away over 52 games — inside the ±7.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 371 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.