CFB Zeitgeist Score
30
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 68th percentile.
Davion Gause
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
258 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 61 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to North Carolina for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · North Carolina
Returning around him
- 16% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -11 net (20 in / 31 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
North Carolina · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #31 · 2026 recruiting class #41
RB · NORTH CAROLINA · ACC
Davion Gause
- 2
- #21
- 5-11 | 215 lb
- Opa Locka, FL
Heisman Heat
#2399
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
North Carolina
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8875 | No. 516 recruit | HighSchool | North Carolina |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to North Carolina
Composite
0.8875
#516 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Davion Gause
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Davion Gause
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
258Rush yards
61Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
21.5Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
279.5Rush yards
66Carries
3Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 258): needs 492/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 258): needs 742/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 258): needs 1,242/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 12/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 17/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Davion Gause's story is about how role and output meet each other. For North Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
61 63rd
YDS
258 60th
YPC
4.2 38th
TD
3 73rd
Receiving
REC
16 77th
YDS
132 79th
YPR
8.3 65th
TD
2 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-48vs TCU | 5 | 7 | 1.4 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 2 | W 20-3@ Charlotte | 5 | 30 | 6.0 | 1 | 12 | |
| Wk 3 | W 41-6vs Richmond | 5 | 6 | 1.2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 4 | L 9-34@ UCF | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 6 | L 10-38vs Clemson | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 8 | L 18-21@ California | 6 | 31 | 5.2 | 1 | 17 | |
| Wk 9 | L 16-17vs Virginia | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | 0 | 25 | |
| Wk 10 | W 27-10@ Syracuse | 15 | 57 | 3.8 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 11 | W 20-15vs Stanford | 11 | 28 | 2.5 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 12 | L 12-28@ Wake Forest | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 13 | L 25-32vs Duke | 8 | 63 | 7.9 | 1 | 13 | Season-high 63 yds |
| Wk 14 | L 19-42@ NC State | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Total | 61 | 258 | 4.3 | 3 | 25 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2025North Carolina4-8HC: Bill Belichick · Balanced, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Carolina | 61 | 258 | 4.2 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 61 | 258 | 4.2 | 3 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Carolina | 16 | 132 | 8.2 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 1 loaded season | 16 | 132 | 8.2 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 258 | #295/735 | 60th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #204/739 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.2 | #455/735 | 38th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 16 | #127/552 | 77th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 132 | #116/548 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.05 | #298/362 | 18th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 57 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 12.0% | #253/738 | 66th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 61 | #274/739 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 25 | #335/733 | 54th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 20 | #232/540 | 57th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.3 | #193/548 | 65th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #20/552 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 8.0 | #180/199 | 10th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 8 | #185/200 | 8th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 19.2% | #270/738 | 64th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 14.3% | #82/738 | 89th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 12.9% | #271/738 | 63rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 12.6% | #288/738 | 61st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 10.2% | #334/738 | 55th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.9% | #206/738 | 72nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 6.0% | #116/738 | 84th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 22.3 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 20.7 | 4.1 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 30.2 | 3.4 | 0.2 |
| Losses8g | 17.1 | 5.0 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-75g | 8.8 | 2.3 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 30.6 | 5.7 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
30Below cohort
Concern: fumbles lost (13th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.05Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Davion GauseNorth CarolinaAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 63% simRashod DubinionApp State· 63% simTae MeadowsTroy· 61% sim
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Carries
Long run
Yards / carry
Rush yards
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Satellite Back
Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Edward Saydee’s 2022 season.
Edward Saydee
79%match
#2
Bryce Williams
79%
#3
Kaelon Black
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 26
75%
#4
Antonio Harris
75%
#5
Nakia Watson
75%
Matches Edward on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Rush TD rate
Differs from Edward on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Class year (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Antonio Harris's sophomore season at Purdue (2025).
Antonio Harris
79%match
#2
Trey Cornist
68%
#3
Cyrus Habibi-Likio
68%
#4
Isaiah Rudison
68%
#5
B.J. Smith
67%
Matches Antonio on
Yards / carry
EPA / carry (adj)
Weight
Differs from Antonio on
Rush TD rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bill Belichick
Pass share
51.1%
355 pass / 340 run
Plays / game
57.9
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.4%
262 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Bill Belichick
North Carolina
Played his entire career under Bill Belichick.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownOpa Locka, FL
Height5'11"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey21
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamNorth Carolina
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | North Carolina | RB2 | #2399 | #2433 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | North Carolina | ACC | RB | 2 | No. 21 | 5-11 | 215 lb | Opa Locka, FL |
| 2024 | North Carolina | ACC | RB | 2 | No. 21 | 5-11 | 215 lb | Opa Locka, FL |