Richmond at NC State
Fan take
Richmond fans
NC State fans
How they got here
Last two games
Richmond · 2-0
Picked #175 in the preseason · now #190.
Two straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.
Last three games · 2025 season
NC State · 8-5
Picked #42 in the preseason · now #38 — about right.
Three straight wins, capped by a 10-point win over Florida State as a 6.5-point underdog.
W 31–7 vs MemphisTop 25 #75 of 668
won by 24 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 42–19 vs North Carolina #138 of 668
won by 23 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 21–11 vs Florida StateTop 25 #43 of 668
won by 10 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 7–41 @ MiamiTop 25 #7 of 668
lost by 34 as a 16.5-point underdog
W 48–36 vs Georgia TechTop 25 #35 of 668
won by 12 as a 4-point underdog
L 34–53 @ PittsburghTop 25 #33 of 668
lost by 19 as a 5-point underdog
L 7–36 @ Notre DameTop 25 #2 of 668
lost by 29 as a 24.5-point underdog
W 56–10 vs Campbell #254 of 668
won by 46 as a 41.5-point favorite
L 21–23 vs Virginia Tech #57 of 668
lost by 2 as a 10.5-point favorite
L 33–45 @ Duke #67 of 668
lost by 12 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 34–24 @ Wake Forest #105 of 668
won by 10 as a 7-point favorite
W 35–31 vs VirginiaTop 25 #50 of 668
won by 4 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 24–17 vs East Carolina #53 of 668
won by 7 as a 14-point favorite
What’s at stake
Richmond
- Richmond needs 5 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Richmond is still shaking off a 73-point loss.
NC State
- A win puts NC State a step closer to a 2% shot at the CFP field.
- NC State is coming off a 73-point win.
The series
NC State leads the series 15-1
16 meetings since 1902 · NC State has won the last 4
- 2026NC State 73–0
- 2013NC State 23–21
- 2004NC State 42–0
- 1981NC State 27–21
- 1970Richmond 21–6
Best players
NC State
- Raul Aguirre Jr. (LB) · 21 tackles
- Keenan Jackson (WR) · 129 receiving yards
- Jayden Scott (RB) · 148 rushing yards
The line, and the room
The model and the market don’t fully agree on NC State’s chances here.
Home −33.5 · O/U 50.5
Conditions
84°F · 3 mph wind · Cloudy
NC State is worth +6.7 points (±3.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 90th percentile.
76% at home, 42% on the road against FBS opponents (37–12 home, 17–23 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +6.4 at home vs. away over 73 games — outside the ±6.2 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 139 miles to get here.
Richmond 0 – NC State 73
Called it — picked NC State to win.
The thread's loudest minute was 23:22 — 8 comments, 8.0× its usual pace.
comments / minute
Comments per minute in the r/CFB game thread, 22:00–02:57 UTC (228 collected). The chart ends where the collected thread ends.
- BoxThe line
Will Wilson (NC State): 10 car · 62 yds · 3 TD
Top 1% rushing TDs game since 2021.Will Wilson thinks the invention of the forward pass was a mistake.r/CFB game thread · ▲ 2
Win-probability model: CollegeFootballData.
Recent games
NC State
- Wk 1Lat Virginia8-34
Richmond
- Wk 1Wvs Bucknell35-14
- Wk 1Wat Howard28-21
Trajectory
NC State handled Richmond 73-0, matching the pregame favorite.