Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 1 game
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | W 52-17vs Montana | 3/4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | 21.9 | Season-high 28 yds |
He was the seven-figure portal prize who was supposed to fix Oregon State's quarterback room. Instead Maalik Murphy went 1-7 as a starter, got benched in October, and watched the QB1 job walk away. Now he's back for a fifth and final year, and the question hanging over Corvallis is whether the rocket arm finally outruns the redemption story.
6′5″ · 238 lb · Inglewood, CA · Junipero Serra
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
passing yards · 2026 · through week 3
1 game into 2026 so far -- Best game: 28 pass yds, vs Montana
The play that turned itSwung Oregon State from 29% to 75% to win.Fresno State at Oregon State · 36-27
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
He was the seven-figure portal prize who was supposed to fix Oregon State's quarterback room. Instead Maalik Murphy went 1-7 as a starter, got benched in October, and watched the QB1 job walk away. Now he's back for a fifth and final year, and the question hanging over Corvallis is whether the rocket arm finally outruns the redemption story.
Aura™ · Him Watch
-36aura tax
60th pctl our passing-value metric (wEPA) QBs · 160 qualified, n=19
— the tape outruns the hype.Buzz vs Tape
His production sits in the 60th percentile among qualified QBs this season, well ahead of 24th-percentile attention — a gap of 36 points between tape and volume.
“Braden Atkinson (FCS Mercer transfer) wins Oregon State quarterback competition over returning starter Maalik Murphy”
The Murphy era in Corvallis started with a seven-figure bet and the kind of arm beat writers called NFL-caliber — velocity, touch on deep outs, the whole tape-room fantasy. Then 2025 happened. He threw 9 touchdowns against 8 interceptions, completed just 58% of his passes, and went 1-7 as a starter before getting benched in the Lafayette game and ceding QB1. The discourse has been brutal but not unkind: the local read is that he "pressed too much," that the size and arm are real and the room around him wasn't. That's the perception-reality split in a sentence — the eye test still sees a future pro, the play-by-play sees a passer who ranked in the 40th percentile in EPA per dropback and the 20th in accuracy.
The twist is that he came back anyway. New head coach JaMarcus Shephard, an offense-first hire whose attack "is going to throw and keep pressing," arrives with a clean slate, and Murphy is the lone returning quarterback in a three-man battle with Braden Atkinson and Brady Jones. Reporting out of spring has him with a leg up — "primed to open the season as Oregon State's starter once again" — but Shephard has said flatly he won't name a starter until the end of fall camp. So the most interesting QB room in the Pac-12's rebuild belongs to a guy who's already lost the job once.
The one number that travels with him: 81st percentile ball security. For all the noise, Murphy didn't give the ball away cheaply — the interceptions were a volume-and-pressure story, not a recklessness one. The forward stake is simple and merciless. Murphy has the best arm in the building and a coach built to use it. The only thing standing between him and a redemption season is the same thing that's haunted him all along: turning the throws into points before the leash snaps again.
SOURCES
His career
3 programs, one constant: he played.
Murphy plays like an arm in search of a system. The pocket trait that pops is paradoxical: he held up under pressure better than most, landing in the 80th percentile for sack rate vs FBS QBs (n=258) — but the same patience curdles into hesitation, and the efficiency cratered to the 40th percentile in EPA per dropback. His accuracy is the open wound: 20th percentile completion rate, scattershot on a stick that should be a strength. He pushes the ball with a healthy 50th-percentile explosive-pass rate and a downfield-leaning game, but the touchdown rate (20th pct) never followed. The redeeming trait is care with the football — a bottom-quartile raw interception rate by percentile that the descriptor model reads as genuine ball security once you adjust for how often he was throwing under duress. The arm is a weapon; the operating system around it has yet to boot.
Written by our staff.
Career arc
Coaching lineage · 2023–2026
3 coachesPlayed under 3 different head coaches: Jonathan Smith, Trent Bray, and JaMarcus Shephard. Multi-era developmental context.
| Season | Team | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Oregon State | 3 | 4 | 75.0% | 28 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 133.8 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2025 | Oregon State | 160 | 276 | 58.0% | 1,802 | 6.5 | 9 | 8 | 117.8 | 53 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Duke | 254 | 421 | 60.3% | 2,932 | 7.0 | 26 | 12 | 133.5 | 56 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Texas | 40 | 71 | 56.3% | 477 | 6.7 | 3 | 3 | 118.3 | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 457 | 772 | 59.2% | 5,239 | 6.8 | 38 | 23 | 126.5 | 55 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Oregon State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2025 | Oregon State | 23 | -58 | -2.5 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Duke | 19 | -79 | -4.2 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Texas | 1 | -18 | -18.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 43 | -155 | -3.6 | 3 | -- |
Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 1 game
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | W 52-17vs Montana | 3/4 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 | 21.9 | Season-high 28 yds |
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 3 · 2026
W 52–17
vs Montana
28 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT · QBR 21.9
Dominant 35-point win at home against Montana.
With B. Atkinson — 333 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT · QBR 93.0 · 4 rush yds (2 car) · 1 TD · X. Noland — 2 rec · 7 yds
Season context · Team result + system
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
Box-score percentiles
Elite: completion % (94th percentile). Strength: interceptions (93rd percentile). Concern: pass yards (0th percentile).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 1 game: 28.0 YDS/g, 0.0 TD/g, 7.0 YPA, 0.0 INT/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
JaMarcus Shephard
Pass share
70.7%
253 pass / 105 run
Plays / game
119.3
3 games
Scheme: Pass-heavy, fast tempo.
Player standing · 2026
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Play style
Murphy plays like an arm in search of a system. The pocket trait that pops is paradoxical: he held up under pressure better than most, landing in the 80th percentile for sack rate vs FBS QBs (n=258) — but the same patience curdles into hesitation, and the efficiency cratered to the 40th percentile in EPA per dropback. His accuracy is the open wound: 20th percentile completion rate, scattershot on a stick that should be a strength. He pushes the ball with a healthy 50th-percentile explosive-pass rate and a downfield-leaning game, but the touchdown rate (20th pct) never followed. The redeeming trait is care with the football — a bottom-quartile raw interception rate by percentile that the descriptor model reads as genuine ball security once you adjust for how often he was throwing under duress. The arm is a weapon; the operating system around it has yet to boot.
Our classifier reads him the same way: operates within the system without forcing anything.
Returning starter at quarterback for a 2-10 Oregon State team that went -15 in the portal.
Player DNA
Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Spencer Petras’s 2021 season.
Matches Spencer on
Differs from Spencer on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Darren Grainger’s path through Georgia State.
Matches Darren on
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Spencer Petras's junior season at Iowa (2022).
Differs from Spencer on
Player DNA
PRONOUNCED MUH-leek 2025 • Played in 10 games, making eight starts • Completed 161-of-277 passes for 1,805 yards and nine touchdowns • Passed for a season-high 371 yards against Fresno State, completing 31 passes in 48 attempts. Also threw for four touchdowns • Surpassed 300 yards when he went…