Iowa 41-24 Washington (Oct 9, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Iowa · Washington

No. 20 Iowa5-141

Washington3-324Final

Fri, Oct 9 · Husky Stadium, Seattle, Wash. · Crowd 66,231

No. 20 Iowa beat Washington 41-24.

We had Iowa favored. It won.

Next: Iowa at Minnesota, Sat Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET · Iowa favored by 6.5

Next: Washington beat Purdue 38-26, Fri Oct 16

Top comment in the game thread

We want Ohio State again! (I am kidding, we do NOT want them again)

Q2 5:46 · r/CFB game thread · Fri, Oct 9

How it swung

The turning point: Moulton 56-yd TD run, Iowa leads 13-0 (Q1, 0:10). Iowa went from 52% to 74% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Iowa a 54% chance, and the closing betting line (Iowa was a 3-point underdog) put it at 40%.

Iowa won by 17, after dipping to 37% in the first quarter.

Washington never had better than a 63% chance.

FinalIowa 41-24 WashingtonIowa wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q1 0:10Moulton 56-yd TD run, Iowa leads 13-0Iowa 52% → 74% (+22)
2Q2 9:05Hecklinski 20-yd TD pass to Vonnahme, Iowa leads 20-0Iowa 74% → 88% (+14)

The two plays that swung it

1Q1 0:10Moulton 56-yd TD run, Iowa leads 13-0Washington 48% → 26% (−22)
2Q2 9:05Hecklinski 20-yd TD pass to Vonnahme, Iowa leads 20-0Washington 26% → 12% (−14)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q2 9:45Iowa fans worry Vonnahme is injured after his awkward touchdown runVonnahme is not even close to 100%.r/CFB game threadI wish we'd stop scheduling cupcake OOC teams like Washington smhr/CFB game thread
Q2 5:46Hecklinski throws touchdown pass to Vonnahme as Iowa fans celebrate the blowoutHecklinski looking downfield, trying to comprehend how he has two receivers wide open for a TDr/CFB game threadQuoted at the top of the page.

Iowa’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Washington -3), at 37% for Iowa (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Washington or Iowa flair (859 and 2,432); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Iowa’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Iowa scored on 7 of its 11 drives; Washington on 4 of its 12.

Iowa’s drives are teal, Washington’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“"He has more moves than a military family" \-RG3 LOL”

An Iowa fan

How fans reacted

Steady

Fans were loudest in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was busy.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Washington fans

fisch“Google searches for “Jedd Fisch buyout” are going to spike in the Seattle area tonight”

worse“That was bad, but Oregon is worse trust me. Scum of the earth, and their fans are even worse”

fire“Never seen a team implode so spectacularly like this team has. Fire Jedd.”

place“If you go to Pike Place Market, please don't throw fish......throw Fisch please!”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, run, getting, let.

What it cost

Iowa’s chance to make the playoff rose from 2% to 3%.

Make the playoff

Iowa · won2% → ▲3%

Washington · lost1% → ▼0%

Before the game (October 9, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Iowa plays at Minnesota on Sat Oct 24 with a 3% chance to make the playoff.

Box score

Iowa 41, Washington 24

Iowa covered +3 by 20. The total, 65, went over 41.5.

Team totals	Iowa	Washington
Total yards	465	317
Passing	14 of 19, 202 yds	34 of 51, 320 yds
Rushing	38 for 263 yds	25 for -3 yds
First downs	22	24
Third down	3 of 9	7 of 18
Fourth down	0 of 0	2 of 2
Turnovers	0	0
Penalties	8 for 73 yds	7 for 50 yds
Time of possession	28:19	31:41

Iowa leaders

Passing Jeremy Hecklinski 14 of 19, 202 yds, 3 TD
Rushing Kamari Moulton 26 for 208 yds, 2 TD; L.J. Phillips Jr. 10 for 42 yds
Receiving Reece Vander Zee 3 for 69 yds, 1 TD; DJ Vonnahme 2 for 44 yds, 2 TD

Washington leaders

Passing Elijah Brown 28 of 39, 251 yds, 3 TD
Rushing Brian Bonner Jr. 10 for 17 yds; Trevion Cooley 2 for 2 yds
Receiving Chris Lawson 8 for 86 yds, 1 TD; Rashid Williams 5 for 66 yds

No rain and calm

54° at kickoff · 0.00 in of rain · wind 4 mph from the east, gusts to 15

Game-day temperatures at Husky Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 0:10 left6:42 p.m.

Iowa 13, Washington 0 · Washington 26% to win

no rain · wind 3 mph from the east-northeast · 54°

Moulton 56-yd TD run, Iowa leads 13-0

Measured at Seattle/boeing Fld airport, 8.3 miles away, and Renton Municipal airport, 12 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Iowa · 4-1

Rated 13th in our preseason ratings, 15th now.

2-1 in its last three, including a 1-point win over Michigan as a 4.5-point underdog.

L 14-31 vs Ohio StateTop 25 #2 of 668

lost by 17 as a 14.5-point underdog

W 20-19 @ MichiganTop 25 #20 of 668

won by 1 as a 4.5-point underdog

W 55-0 vs Northern Iowa #160 of 668

won by 55 as a 37.5-point favorite

W 16-13 vs Iowa State #138 of 668

won by 3 as a 14-point favorite

W 40-0 vs Northern Illinois #95 of 668

won by 40 as a 31.5-point favorite

Last three games

Washington · 3-2

Rated 26th in our preseason ratings, 32nd now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 21-25 @ USCTop 25 #25 of 668

lost by 4 as a 7.5-point underdog

L 24-27 vs Minnesota #43 of 668

lost by 3 as a 12.5-point favorite

W 48-16 vs Eastern Washington #168 of 668

won by 32 as a 42.5-point favorite

W 16-14 vs Utah State #57 of 668

won by 2 as a 28.5-point favorite

W 24-10 vs Washington State #41 of 668

won by 14 as a 23.5-point favorite

Week by week

Washington

Wk 1Wvs Washington State24-10
Wk 2Wvs Utah State16-14
Wk 3Wvs Eastern Washington48-16
Wk 4Lvs Minnesota24-27
Wk 5Lat USC21-25

Iowa

Wk 1Wvs Northern Illinois40-0
Wk 2Wvs Iowa State16-13
Wk 3Wvs Northern Iowa55-0
Wk 4Wat Michigan20-19
Wk 5Lvs Ohio State14-31

Power rating by week

Iowa is rated 2.6 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Washington’s rushing EPA against Iowa, 81 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Washington’s rushing EPA against Iowa’s defense
Washington offense, 16th percentile · Iowa defense, 97th
Washington’s success rate against Iowa’s defense
Washington offense, 50th percentile · Iowa defense, 92nd
Washington’s explosive plays against Iowa’s defense
Washington offense, 62nd percentile · Iowa defense, 79th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

IowaWashington

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Iowa leads the series 4-3

7 meetings since 1937 · Iowa has won the last 2

2024Iowa 40-16
1995 · neutral siteIowa 38-18
1990 · neutral siteWashington 46-34
1981 · neutral siteWashington 28-0
1964Iowa 28-18

Each line is Washington’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Iowa fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (43rd among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

Washington favored by 3 · Total 41.5

How games like this usually go

Washington by 3, on the usual path until Q1 0:10

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 252 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1.5 points toward Washington.

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Washington is worth +3.9 points (±3.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 46th percentile.

76% at home, 54% on the road against FBS opponents (37-12 home, 20-17 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.3 at home vs. away over 92 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 1,556 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Washington18th0-2
Iowa10th1-1

Full Big Ten standings

No. 20 Iowa beats Washington 41-24