Utah State at Washington
Fan take
Utah State fans
Washington fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Utah State · 6-7
Picked #52 in the preseason · now #60.
1-2 in its last three, capped by a 11-point win over Fresno State as a 1.5-point underdog.
L 21–34 vs Washington State #61 of 668
lost by 13 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 24–25 vs Boise StateTop 25 #42 of 668
lost by 1 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 28–17 @ Fresno State #107 of 668
won by 11 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 26–29 @ UNLV #89 of 668
lost by 3 as a 5-point underdog
W 51–14 vs Nevada #206 of 668
won by 37 as a 9.5-point favorite
L 14–33 @ New Mexico #109 of 668
lost by 19 as a 3-point underdog
W 30–25 vs San José State #102 of 668
won by 5 as a 3.5-point favorite
L 26–44 @ Hawai'i #98 of 668
lost by 18 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 35–55 @ VanderbiltTop 25 #26 of 668
lost by 20 as a 24.5-point underdog
W 48–7 vs McNeese #180 of 668
won by 41 as a 23.5-point favorite
W 49–30 vs Air Force #89 of 668
won by 19 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 22–44 @ Texas A&MTop 25 #14 of 668
lost by 22 as a 34.5-point underdog
W 28–16 vs UTEP #160 of 668
won by 12 as a 5.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Washington · 9-4
Picked #26 in the preseason · now #22 — about right.
2-1 in its last three, one over ranked or top-40 competition.
W 38–10 vs Boise StateTop 25 #50 of 668
won by 28 as a 10-point favorite
L 14–26 vs OregonTop 25 #3 of 668
lost by 12 as a 7-point underdog
W 48–14 @ UCLA #92 of 668
won by 34 as a 11-point favorite
W 49–13 vs Purdue #145 of 668
won by 36 as a 15.5-point favorite
L 10–13 @ Wisconsin #78 of 668
lost by 3 as a 10.5-point favorite
W 42–25 vs IllinoisTop 25 #44 of 668
won by 17 as a 3-point favorite
L 7–24 @ MichiganTop 25 #18 of 668
lost by 17 as a 4-point underdog
W 38–19 vs Rutgers #60 of 668
won by 19 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 24–20 @ Maryland #72 of 668
won by 4 as a 5.5-point favorite
L 6–24 vs Ohio StateTop 25 #1 of 668
lost by 18 as a 9-point underdog
W 59–24 @ Washington State #189 of 668
won by 35 as a 20.5-point favorite
W 70–10 vs UC Davis #117 of 668
won by 60 as a 29.5-point favorite
W 38–21 vs Colorado State #95 of 668
won by 17 as a 22.5-point favorite
What’s at stake
Utah State
- Utah State hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2021.
Washington
- Washington is ranked #19, right on the edge of the Top 25.
- Washington is the Pacific Northwest's argument that contender altitude is a choice, not a geography.
The series
Washington leads the series 3-0
3 meetings since 1998 · Washington has won the last 3
- 2026Washington 16–14
- 2015Washington 31–17
- 1998Washington 53–12
Best players
Utah State
- Harrison Taggart (LB) · 13 tackles
- Carl Nesmith (LB) · 13 tackles
- Titan Saxton (DB) · 12 tackles
Washington
- Alex McLaughlin (S) · 15 tackles
- Jacob Manu (LB) · 13 tackles
- Demond Williams Jr. (QB) · 517 passing yards
The line, and the room
Utah State fans are feeling better about their season (80th percentile) than Washington fans are (11th) — even with Washington favored here.
- Model · 78%
- Market · 99%
- Washington fans · 11th
- Utah State fans · 80th
Home −28.5 · O/U 55.5
Conditions
66°F · 5 mph wind · Cloudy
Washington is worth +4.3 points (±3.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 56th percentile.
79% at home, 54% on the road against FBS opponents (37–10 home, 19–16 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.9 at home vs. away over 71 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 656 miles to get here.
Utah State 14 – Washington 16
Called it — picked Washington to win.
Recent games
Washington
- Wk 1Wvs Washington State24-10
Utah State
- Wk 1Lvs Idaho State17-29
Trajectory
Washington beat Utah State 16-14 — exactly what the pregame pick had.