No. 19 Washington beats Utah State 16-14

Utah State0-214
No. 19 Washington2-016Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Husky Stadium, Seattle, Wash. · Crowd 62,152BTN

No. 19 Washington beat Utah State 16-14.

We had Washington favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

He was just making sure they couldn't put an extra second on the clock

Q4 0:11 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 12

How it swung

The turning point: Brosterhous 21-yd pass to Starling (Q4, 0:06). Washington went from 95% to 77% to win. Fans right then: “He was just making sure they couldn't put an extra second on the clock” r/CFB game thread

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Washington a 78% chance, and the closing betting line (Washington was a 28.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.

Favored the whole way: Washington never fell below 77%.

Utah State never had better than a 23% chance.

78-yard TD passUtah State · Q2 11:19
FinalWashington 16-14 Utah StateWashington wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q496% at halfWashingtonWon16-14Scores78-yard TD passWashingtonUtah StateWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q496% at halfWashingtonWon16-14Scores78-yard TD passWashing…U. StateWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q44% at halfWashingtonLost14-16Scores78-yard TD passUtah StateWashingtonUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 1 comments a minuteUtah State fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 0 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 5 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 1 comments a minuteWashington fans: 4 comments a minuteWashington fans: 2 comments a minuteWashington fans: 3 comments a minuteWashington fans: 6 comments a minuteWashington fans: 7 comments a minute
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The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q4 0:06Brosterhous 21-yd pass to StarlingWashington 95% → 77% (−18)
  2. 2Q4 0:03InterceptionBrosterhous intercepted by Clark at the Washington 4, returned 57 yardsWashington 89% → 100% (+11)

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q4 0:06Brosterhous 21-yd pass to StarlingUtah State 5% → 23% (+18)
  2. 2Q4 0:03InterceptionBrosterhous intercepted by Clark at the Washington 4, returned 57 yardsUtah State 11% → 0% (−11)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q4 13:03Washington fans celebrate replay transparency as officials uphold incomplete pass rulingI do like the transparency of the review here, that’s neatr/CFB game thread
  2. Q4 7:18Washington fans criticize Jedd Fisch's play-calling after Sanoe's run stalls the driveit is peak Jedd that his trick play is replacing his highly paid QB with the 5th string frosh QB to get the yards he needsr/CFB game threadGetting bullied upfront by a team that lost by two scores to an FCS team last week.r/CFB game thread
  3. Q4 1:50Washington fans rip coach Fisch for passing instead of kneeling with 1:50 leftJedd Fisch eats crayonsr/CFB game threadI feel vindicated that I thought Fisch was a weak hire and Demond was worse than Rogersr/CFB game thread
  4. Q4 0:11Clark intercepts Brosterhous' Hail Mary, sparking fan outrage over the decisionQuoted at the top of the page.
Washington’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Washington -28.5), at 98% for Washington (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Washington or Utah State flair (645 and 48); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Every drive

Washington scored on 4 of its 12 drives; Utah State on 2 of its 12.

Washington’s drives are teal, Utah State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Utah State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 48PuntWashington: Punt, from 83 yards out to 90PuntUtah State: Punt, from 53 yards out to 56PuntWashington: Turned over on downs, from 87 yards out to 33DownsUtah State: Turned over on downs, from 66 yards out to 46DownsWashington: Field goal, from 54 yards out to 11Field goalQ2Utah State: Touchdown, from 78 yards out to 0TouchdownWashington: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownUtah State: Punt, from 73 yards out to 54PuntWashington: Punt, from 96 yards out to 65PuntUtah State: Interception, from 64 yards out to 59InterceptionWashington: Missed field goal, from 64 yards out to 30Missed FGQ3Washington: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73PuntUtah State: Punt, from 64 yards out to 60PuntWashington: Punt, from 94 yards out to 67PuntUtah State: Punt, from 61 yards out to 61PuntWashington: Punt, from 86 yards out to 49PuntUtah State: Punt, from 90 yards out to 92PuntWashington: Field goal, from 59 yards out to 8Field goalQ4Utah State: Interception, from 75 yards out to 65InterceptionWashington: Field goal, from 44 yards out to 25Field goalUtah State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownWashington: Punt, from 43 yards out to 46PuntUtah State: Interception, from 85 yards out to 44Interception

From Utah State’s side

Utah State’s best moment: Brosterhous 21-yd pass to Starling (Q4 0:06). It lifted Utah State’s win chance by 18 points.

How Utah State fans took it: “Even if USU had won the game against Idaho, I still feel that Washington should be embarrassed” r/CFB game thread

“I don't know if I can handle watching this team for the rest of the season.”
A Washington fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans saved the biggest reaction for the closing minutes.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was steady.

FirstSecondThirdFourthWashington fansUtah State fansusual

What it cost

Washington’s chance to make the playoff rose from 7% to 8%.

Make the playoff

Utah State · lost0% → 0%
Washington · won7% → ▲8%7%▲ 8%

Before the game (September 11, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Washington 16, Utah State 14

Utah State covered +28.5 by 26.5. The total, 30, stayed under 55.5.

Utah StateWashingtonTotal yardsUtah State 271Washington 356271356Passing yardsUtah State 196Washington 249196249Rushing yardsUtah State 75Washington 10775107First downsUtah State 14Washington 181418TurnoversUtah State 3Washington 030Time of possessionUtah State 24:55Washington 35:0524:5535:05
Team totalsUtah StateWashington
Total yards271356
Passing17 of 29, 196 yds26 of 41, 249 yds
Rushing29 for 75 yds33 for 107 yds
First downs1418
Third down6 of 136 of 17
Fourth down0 of 10 of 1
Turnovers30
Penalties5 for 35 yds6 for 44 yds
Time of possession24:5535:05

Utah State leaders

  • Passing Grady Brosterhous 17 of 28, 196 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT
  • Rushing Grady Brosterhous 21 for 81 yds; Javen Jacobs 6 for -3 yds
  • Receiving Javon Robinson 3 for 100 yds, 1 TD; Eli Wood 6 for 53 yds, 1 TD

Washington leaders

  • Passing Demond Williams Jr. 26 of 41, 249 yds
  • Rushing Demond Williams Jr. 11 for 56 yds; Trevion Cooley 7 for 22 yds
  • Receiving Dezmen Roebuck 7 for 59 yds; Trez Davis 4 for 44 yds

No rain and calm

65° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 6 mph from the west-northwest, gusts to 16

September game-day temperatures at Husky Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Washington favoredUtah State favored100%Win chanceWashingtonRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Washington favoredUtah State favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Fourth quarter, 0:03 left3:52 p.m.
Utah State 14, Washington 16 · Washington 100% to win
no rain · wind 6 mph from the west · 65°
Brosterhous intercepted by Clark at the Washington 4, returned 57 yards

Jump to

Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Seattle/boeing Fld airport, 8.3 miles away, and Renton Municipal airport, 12 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Utah State · 6-7

Rated 52nd in our preseason ratings, 56th now.

1-2 in its last three, including a 11-point win over Fresno State as a 1.5-point underdog.

L 21-34 vs Washington State #45 of 667

lost by 13 as a 1.5-point favorite

Utah State lost 21-34 vs Washington State. Chance to win started at 63%, low under 1%, high 63%.

L 24-25 vs Boise StateTop 25 #52 of 667

lost by 1 as a 1.5-point underdog

Utah State lost 24-25 vs Boise State. Chance to win started at 61%, low under 1%, high 88%.

W 28-17 @ Fresno State #117 of 667

won by 11 as a 1.5-point underdog

Utah State won 28-17 at Fresno State. Chance to win started at 37%, low 12%, high 99%.

L 26-29 @ UNLV #81 of 667

lost by 3 as a 4.5-point underdog

Utah State lost 26-29 at UNLV. Chance to win started at 31%, low under 1%, high 75%.

W 51-14 vs Nevada #209 of 667

won by 37 as a 9.5-point favorite

Utah State won 51-14 vs Nevada. Chance to win started at 81%, low 79%, high better than 99%.

L 14-33 @ New Mexico #107 of 667

lost by 19 as a 2.5-point underdog

Utah State lost 14-33 at New Mexico. Chance to win started at 31%, low under 1%, high 39%.

W 30-25 vs San José State #110 of 667

won by 5 as a 3.5-point favorite

L 26-44 @ Hawai'i #134 of 667

lost by 18 as a 1.5-point favorite

Utah State lost 26-44 at Hawai'i. Chance to win started at 39%, low 1%, high 71%.

L 35-55 @ VanderbiltTop 25 #27 of 667

lost by 20 as a 24.5-point underdog

Utah State lost 35-55 at Vanderbilt. Chance to win started at 4%, low under 1%, high 18%.

W 48-7 vs McNeese #217 of 667

won by 41 as a 23.5-point favorite

Utah State won 48-7 vs McNeese. Chance to win started at 95%, low 94%, high better than 99%.

W 49-30 vs Air Force #140 of 667

won by 19 as a 3.5-point underdog

Utah State won 49-30 vs Air Force. Chance to win started at 48%, low 43%, high better than 99%.

L 22-44 @ Texas A&MTop 25 #19 of 667

lost by 22 as a 34.5-point underdog

Utah State lost 22-44 at Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 2%.

W 28-16 vs UTEP #117 of 667

won by 12 as a 4.5-point favorite

Utah State won 28-16 vs UTEP. Chance to win started at 67%, low 51%, high better than 99%.

Last three games · 2025 season

Washington · 9-4

Rated 26th in our preseason ratings, 25th now.

2-1 in its last three, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

W 38-10 vs Boise StateTop 25 #54 of 667

won by 28 as a 10-point favorite

Washington won 38-10 vs Boise State. Chance to win started at 80%, low 72%, high better than 99%.

L 14-26 vs OregonTop 25 #3 of 667

lost by 12 as a 6.5-point underdog

Washington lost 14-26 vs Oregon. Chance to win started at 41%, low 2%, high 41%.

W 48-14 @ UCLA #85 of 667

won by 34 as a 10.5-point favorite

Washington won 48-14 at UCLA. Chance to win started at 67%, low 62%, high better than 99%.

W 49-13 vs Purdue #110 of 667

won by 36 as a 14.5-point favorite

Washington won 49-13 vs Purdue. Chance to win started at 87%, low 80%, high better than 99%.

L 10-13 @ Wisconsin #68 of 667

lost by 3 as a 10.5-point favorite

Washington lost 10-13 at Wisconsin. Chance to win started at 72%, low 9%, high 90%.

W 42-25 vs IllinoisTop 25 #48 of 667

won by 17 as a 3.5-point favorite

Washington won 42-25 vs Illinois. Chance to win started at 70%, low 51%, high better than 99%.

L 7-24 @ MichiganTop 25 #19 of 667

lost by 17 as a 4.5-point underdog

Washington lost 7-24 at Michigan. Chance to win started at 32%, low under 1%, high 43%.

W 38-19 vs Rutgers #62 of 667

won by 19 as a 9.5-point favorite

Washington won 38-19 vs Rutgers. Chance to win started at 80%, low 35%, high better than 99%.

W 24-20 @ Maryland #55 of 667

won by 4 as a 5.5-point favorite

Washington won 24-20 at Maryland. Chance to win started at 58%, low 3%, high 90%.

L 6-24 vs Ohio StateTop 25 #1 of 667

lost by 18 as a 9.5-point underdog

Washington lost 6-24 vs Ohio State. Chance to win started at 34%, low under 1%, high 52%.

W 59-24 @ Washington State #138 of 667

won by 35 as a 20.5-point favorite

Washington won 59-24 at Washington State. Chance to win started at 86%, low 86%, high better than 99%.

W 70-10 vs UC Davis #115 of 667

won by 60 as a 29.5-point favorite

Washington won 70-10 vs UC Davis. Chance to win started at 98%, low 98%, high better than 99%.

W 38-21 vs Colorado State #96 of 667

won by 17 as a 22.5-point favorite

Washington won 38-21 vs Colorado State. Chance to win started at 94%, low 84%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Washington

  • Wk 1Wvs Washington State24-10

Utah State

  • Wk 1Lvs Idaho State17-29

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Utah State’s rushing EPA against Washington, 72 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Utah State’s EPA/play against Washington’s defense

    66 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Utah State offense, 5th percentile · Washington defense, 71st

  2. Utah State’s rushing EPA against Washington’s defense

    72 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Utah State offense, 11th percentile · Washington defense, 83rd

  3. Utah State’s explosive plays against Washington’s defense

    46 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Utah State offense, 95th percentile · Washington defense, 49th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Utah StateWashington
EPA/play, offense
Utah State · 5Washington · 51
EPA/play, defense
Utah State · 57Washington · 71
Success rate, offense
Utah State · 3Washington · 50
Success rate, defense
Utah State · 58Washington · 58
Explosive-play rate, offense
Utah State · 95Washington · 62
Explosive-play rate, defense
Utah State · 68Washington · 49
Rush EPA, offense
Utah State · 11Washington · 16
Rush EPA, defense
Utah State · 68Washington · 83
Pass EPA, offense
Utah State · 4Washington · 79
Pass EPA, defense
Utah State · 44Washington · 42

The series

Washington leads the series 2-0

2 meetings since 1998 · Washington has won the last 2

  • 2015Washington 31-17
  • 1998Washington 53-12

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Washington fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (9th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

  • Model · 78%
  • Line · 99%
  • Washington fans · 9th
  • Utah State fans · 15th

Washington favored by 28.5 · Total 55.5

How games like this usually go

Washington by 28.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 4 points toward Washington.

opened −24.5now −28.5

The total fell 1 point.

opened 56.5now 55.5

Spread: −24.5 → −28.5 · Total: 56.5 → 55.5

The books’ cut: 3.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Mild and dry. Feels like 66° at kickoff.

Utah State at Washington · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Husky Stadium, Seattle

  • 66°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 100weather score, Ideal

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 4 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed.

  • 12:30 pm: 100, Ideal (this game)
  • 4:15 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 6 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 7:30 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Washington is worth +3.9 points (±3.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 46th percentile.

76% at home, 54% on the road against FBS opponents (37-12 home, 20-17 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.3 at home vs. away over 92 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 656 miles to get here.

Where next