Austin Peay beats New Haven 42-17
Team pages: New Haven · Austin Peay
Austin Peay beat New Haven 42-17. Share this game
Next: New Haven beat Robert Morris 26-15, Sat Oct 17
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Austin Peay a 98% chance, and the closing betting line (Austin Peay was a 35.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
Austin Peay led by 4 after the first quarter and by 25 at the half.
Favored the whole way: Austin Peay never fell below 96%.
New Haven never had better than a 3% chance.
Austin Peay 42-17 New Haven
Austin Peay wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.New Haven 17-42 Austin PeayNew Haven lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Austin Peay -35.5), at 99% for Austin Peay (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Austin Peay scored on 4 of its 11 drives; New Haven on 4 of its 13.
Austin Peay’s drives are teal, New Haven’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Austin Peay 42, New Haven 17
New Haven covered +35.5 by 10.5. The total, 59, went over 50.5.
New Haven leaders
- Passing Niko Boyce 25 of 39, 227 yds, 2 TD
- Rushing Zaon Laney 17 for 90 yds; Frank Daniley 4 for 17 yds
- Receiving D'Arious Reed 5 for 75 yds; Tommy Troy 5 for 59 yds, 2 TD
Austin Peay leaders
- Passing Chris Parson 19 of 23, 309 yds, 4 TD
- Rushing Corey Richardson 3 for 17 yds; Isaiah Groves 2 for 14 yds
- Receiving Marvin Sims 6 for 141 yds, 1 TD; Jaden Robinson 2 for 75 yds, 1 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
New Haven · 1-4
Rated 251st in our preseason ratings, 256th now.
Three straight losses.
L 10-17 @ Merrimack #209 of 668
lost by 7 as a 10-point underdog
Last three games
Austin Peay · 4-1
Rated 118th in our preseason ratings, 105th now, up 13 spots.
Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.
Week by week
Austin Peay
- Wk 1Wvs Gardner-Webb35-17
- Wk 1Lat Vanderbilt9-28
- Wk 2Wvs Morehead State63-7
- Wk 3Wat West Florida38-16
- Wk 4Wvs UT Martin35-12
New Haven
- Wk 1Wvs Marist22-21
- Wk 1Lvs Stonehill3-21
- Wk 2Lat South Dakota State14-57
- Wk 3Lvs Brown10-17
- Wk 4Lat Merrimack10-17
Power rating by week
Austin Peay is rated 9.8 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on Austin Peay’s chances here.
Austin Peay favored by 35.5 · Total 50.5
How games like this usually go
Austin Peay by 35.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
Home field
Austin Peay is worth +9.5 points (±16.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.
50% at home, 21% on the road against FBS opponents (1-1 home, 3-11 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.4 at home vs. away over 52 games — inside the ±8.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 839 miles to get here.