Eastern Washington beats Northern Colorado 31-22
Team pages: Northern Colorado · Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington beat Northern Colorado 31-22. Share this game
We had Eastern Washington favored. It won.
Next: Northern Colorado beat Cal Poly 28-18, Sat Oct 17
Next: Eastern Washington lost to Montana State 56-20, Sat Oct 17
How it swung
The turning point: Bell 53-yd TD pass to Garrett, Eastern Washington goes ahead 7-0 (Q1, 12:28). Eastern Washington went from 69% to 87% to win.
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Eastern Washington a 59% chance, and the closing betting line (Eastern Washington was a 6.5-point favorite) put it at 70%.
Favored the whole way: Eastern Washington never fell below 68%.
Northern Colorado never had better than a 31% chance.
Eastern Washington 31-22 Northern Colorado
Eastern Washington wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Northern Colorado 22-31 Eastern WashingtonNorthern Colorado lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The play that swung it
- 1Q1 12:28Bell 53-yd TD pass to Garrett, Eastern Washington goes ahead 7-0Eastern Washington 69% → 87% (+18)
The play that swung it
- 1Q1 12:28Bell 53-yd TD pass to Garrett, Eastern Washington goes ahead 7-0Northern Colorado 31% → 13% (−18)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Eastern Washington -6.5), at 70% for Eastern Washington (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Eastern Washington scored on 5 of its 12 drives; Northern Colorado on 5 of its 12.
Eastern Washington’s drives are teal, Northern Colorado’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Eastern Washington 31, Northern Colorado 22
Eastern Washington covered −6.5 by 2.5. The total, 53, stayed under 58.5.
Northern Colorado leaders
- Passing Keegan Patterson 10 of 22, 141 yds, 2 INT
- Rushing Kenny Lueth 5 for 87 yds; Justin Guin 17 for 84 yds
- Receiving Trey Olsen 8 for 103 yds; Marcus Mozer 3 for 56 yds
Eastern Washington leaders
- Passing Nate Bell 25 of 37, 334 yds, 4 TD
- Rushing Jaxon Bell 9 for 33 yds; Nate Bell 7 for 16 yds
- Receiving Wesley Garrett 8 for 138 yds, 1 TD; Jamai East 2 for 57 yds
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
Northern Colorado · 2-4
Rated 255th in our preseason ratings, 240th now, up 15 spots.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 37-13 vs Utah Tech #253 of 668
won by 24 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 23-17 vs Northeastern State #270 of 668
L 23-38 vs South Dakota #125 of 668
lost by 15 as a 20.5-point underdog
L 29-30 vs Weber State #241 of 668
lost by 1 as a 3-point favorite
Last three games
Eastern Washington · 1-5
Rated 186th in our preseason ratings, 196th now.
Three straight losses.
Week by week
Eastern Washington
- Wk 1Wvs Northern Iowa34-24
- Wk 2Lat South Dakota23-41
- Wk 3Lat Washington16-48
- Wk 4Lvs Cal Poly27-31
- Wk 5Lat UC Davis38-49
Northern Colorado
- Wk 1Lvs South Dakota23-38
- Wk 2Lat Wyoming13-21
- Wk 3Wvs Northeastern State23-17
- Wk 4Wvs Utah Tech37-13
- Wk 5Lat Montana14-36
Power rating by week
Eastern Washington is rated 2.1 points ahead as of week 5. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The series
Eastern Washington leads the series 15-0
15 meetings since 2006 · Eastern Washington has won the last 15
- 2025Eastern Washington 27-7
- 2024Eastern Washington 43-15
- 2022Eastern Washington 45-21
- 2021Eastern Washington 63-17
- 2019Eastern Washington 54-21
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Eastern Washington’s chances here.
Eastern Washington favored by 6.5 · Total 58.5
How games like this usually go
Eastern Washington by 6.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.
The market
The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Eastern Washington has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — +0.2 points (±5.3), home against road — 3rd percentile of FBS.
0% at home, 17% on the road against FBS opponents (0-2 home, 2-10 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +4.3 at home vs. away over 55 games — inside the ±7.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 805 miles to get here.
Where next
Conference standings
Place in the conference, then conference record.
- Eastern Washington12th0-3
- Northern Colorado10th1-2