Illinois State beats Southern Illinois 35-14
Team pages: Illinois State · Southern Illinois
Illinois State beat Southern Illinois 35-14. Share this game
We had Illinois State favored. It won.
Next: Illinois State vs Indiana State, Sat Oct 24 · 3:00 PM ET
Next: Southern Illinois vs Northern Iowa, Sat Oct 24 · 2:00 PM ET
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Illinois State a 69% chance, and the closing betting line (Illinois State was a 7-point favorite) put it at 71%.
Favored the whole way: Illinois State never fell below 51%.
Southern Illinois never had better than a 48% chance.
Illinois State 35-14 Southern Illinois
Illinois State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Southern Illinois 14-35 Illinois StateSouthern Illinois lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 5:274th and 5Williams sacked for a 9-yd loss, turnover on downsIllinois State 55% → 67% (+12)
- 2Q2 13:064th and 1Dawson 1-yd TD run, Illinois State goes ahead 7-0Illinois State 68% → 81% (+13)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 5:274th and 5Williams sacked for a 9-yd loss, turnover on downsSouthern Illinois 45% → 33% (−12)
- 2Q2 13:064th and 1Dawson 1-yd TD run, Illinois State goes ahead 7-0Southern Illinois 32% → 19% (−13)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Illinois State -7), at 62% for Illinois State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Illinois State scored on 5 of its 11 drives; Southern Illinois on 1 of its 10.
Illinois State’s drives are teal, Southern Illinois’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Illinois State 35, Southern Illinois 14
Illinois State covered −7 by 14. The total, 49, stayed under 54.5.
Illinois State leaders
- Passing Beckham Pellant 16 of 25, 191 yds, 2 TD
- Rushing Victor Dawson 16 for 82 yds, 1 TD; Seth Glatz 9 for 38 yds
- Receiving Luke Mailander 4 for 90 yds, 1 TD; Stevan Gavric 4 for 50 yds
Southern Illinois leaders
- Passing DJ Williams 19 of 31, 166 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Chandler Chapman 10 for 32 yds; Lem Wash 5 for 28 yds
- Receiving Kyle Thomas 5 for 61 yds, 1 TD; Quade Chatmon 2 for 28 yds
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
Illinois State · 4-2
Rated 126th in our preseason ratings, 127th now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 76-0 vs St. Francis (IL)
Last three games
Southern Illinois · 3-4
Rated 141st in our preseason ratings, 171st now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 10-31 @ South Dakota #102 of 668
lost by 21 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 46-6 @ Murray State #261 of 668
won by 40 as a 17.5-point favorite
W 34-20 vs Southeast Missouri State #218 of 668
won by 14 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 22-18 @ Samford #236 of 668
won by 4 as a 20.5-point favorite
L 31-34 @ West Florida #262 of 668
lost by 3 as a 19.5-point favorite
Week by week
Southern Illinois
- Wk 2Wvs Southeast Missouri State34-20
- Wk 3Lat Illinois10-48
- Wk 4Wat Murray State46-6
- Wk 5Lvs Youngstown State16-28
- Wk 6Lat South Dakota10-31
Illinois State
- Wk 1Wat Western Illinois41-10
- Wk 2Wat Northern Illinois28-24
- Wk 3Wvs Eastern Illinois49-13
- Wk 4Lat Northern Iowa21-28
- Wk 5Lvs South Dakota State14-31
Power rating by week
Illinois State is rated 2.8 points ahead as of week 6. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The series
Southern Illinois leads the series 21-13-1
35 meetings since 1972 · Southern Illinois won the last meeting
- 2025Southern Illinois 37-7
- 2024Illinois State 45-10
- 2022Southern Illinois 19-14
- 2021Southern Illinois 35-17
- 2019Illinois State 21-7
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on Southern Illinois’s chances here.
Illinois State favored by 7 · Total 54.5
How games like this usually go
Illinois State by 7, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 0.5 points toward Southern Illinois.
Spread: +7.5 → +7
The books’ cut: 5.5%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Southern Illinois is worth +6.0 points (±8.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 81st percentile.
33% at home, 31% on the road against FBS opponents (2-4 home, 5-11 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -1.0 at home vs. away over 53 games — inside the ±9.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 194 miles to get here.
Where next
Conference standings
Place in the conference, then conference record.
- Southern Illinois6th1-2
- Illinois State8th0-2