UAlbany beats Campbell 45-35
UAlbany beat Campbell 45-35. Share this game
We had UAlbany favored. It won.
Next: Campbell vs Stony Brook, Sat Nov 7 · 1:00 PM ET
Next: UAlbany at Bryant, Sat Nov 7 · 1:00 PM ET
How it swung
The turning point: Cowan fumbles, Dunathan returns it for a TD, UAlbany goes ahead 7-0 (Q1, 10:02). UAlbany went from 41% to 71% to win.
Before kickoff, our ratings gave UAlbany a 62% chance, and the closing betting line (UAlbany was a 2.5-point underdog) put it at 42%.
A tight one: UAlbany bottomed out at 40% and won.
Campbell never had better than a 60% chance.
UAlbany 45-35 Campbell
UAlbany wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Campbell 35-45 UAlbanyCampbell lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 10:02FumbleCowan fumbles, Dunathan returns it for a TD, UAlbany goes ahead 7-0UAlbany 41% → 71% (+30)
- 2Q4 13:13Cowan 41-yd TD run, cuts it to 38-35UAlbany 92% → 69% (−23)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 10:02FumbleCowan fumbles, Dunathan returns it for a TD, UAlbany goes ahead 7-0Campbell 59% → 29% (−30)
- 2Q4 13:13Cowan 41-yd TD run, cuts it to 38-35Campbell 8% → 31% (+23)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Campbell -2.5), at 51% for UAlbany (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
UAlbany scored on 5 of its 12 drives; Campbell on 5 of its 13.
UAlbany’s drives are teal, Campbell’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
From Campbell’s side
Campbell’s best moment: Cowan 41-yd TD run, cuts it to 38-35 (Q4 13:13). It lifted Campbell’s win chance by 23 points.
Box score
UAlbany 45, Campbell 35
UAlbany covered +2.5 by 12.5. The total, 80, went over 53.5.
Campbell leaders
- Passing Kamden Sixkiller 27 of 44, 271 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing JJ Cowan 11 for 97 yds, 3 TD; Jon Gullette 6 for 8 yds
- Receiving Chinua Ezeigbo 7 for 110 yds, 1 TD; Aaryn Tate 4 for 64 yds, 1 TD
UAlbany leaders
- Passing Kai Coln 15 of 28, 214 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Rahshan La Mons 14 for 119 yds, 1 TD; Joey Koch 12 for 30 yds
- Receiving BJ Norman 8 for 99 yds, 1 TD; Daniel Growney 2 for 36 yds, 1 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
Campbell · 7-1
Rated 239th in our preseason ratings, 151st now, up 88 spots.
Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.
Last three games
UAlbany · 5-3
Rated 222nd in our preseason ratings, 141st now, up 81 spots.
Three straight wins, capped by a 17-point win over Rhode Island as a 6.5-point underdog.
W 38-21 @ Rhode Island No. 153 of 668 teams
won by 17 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 48-31 @ Stony Brook No. 173 of 668 teams
won by 17 as a 6-point underdog
W 28-3 vs Delaware State No. 226 of 668 teams
won by 25 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 0-22 @ Princeton No. 217 of 668 teams
lost by 22 as a 1.5-point favorite
L 20-28 vs Monmouth No. 162 of 668 teams
lost by 8 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 35-13 @ Long Island University No. 209 of 668 teams
won by 22 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 28-14 vs New Hampshire No. 197 of 668 teams
won by 14 as a 10-point underdog
Week by week
UAlbany
- Wk 3Lvs Monmouth20-28
- Wk 4Lat Princeton0-22
- Wk 5Wvs Delaware State28-3
- Wk 7Wat Stony Brook48-31
- Wk 8Wat Rhode Island38-21
Campbell
- Wk 3Wvs North Carolina A&T42-14
- Wk 4Wat Hampton44-20
- Wk 5Wat North Carolina Central38-31
- Wk 7Wvs Towson24-20
- Wk 8Wat Maine35-6
Power rating by week
UAlbany is rated 0.6 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on UAlbany’s chances here.
Campbell favored by 2.5 · Total 53.5
How games like this usually go
Campbell by 2.5, on the usual path until 1:46 left in the fourth
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 304 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward Campbell.
The total rose 1 point.
Spread: +1.5 → +2.5 · Total: 52.5 → 53.5
The books’ cut: 5.4%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
UAlbany is worth +7.4 points more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 96th percentile.
0% at home, 8% on the road against FBS opponents (0-1 home, 1-12 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.8 at home vs. away over 61 games — inside the ±9.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 567 miles to get here.
Where next
Conference standings
Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.