UTSA 59-45 Colorado State (Sep 26, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Colorado State · UTSA

Colorado State2-245

UTSA3-159Final

Sat, Sep 26 · Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas · Crowd 17,109ESPNU

UTSA beat Colorado State 59-45.

We had UTSA favored. It won.

Next: Colorado State lost to Oregon State 56-26, Sat Oct 3

Next: UTSA beat Rice 16-14, Sat Oct 3

Top comment in the game thread

Okay but for 2 minutes, I was having a blast

Q2 6:48 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 26

How it swung

The turning point: Farrar 74-yd TD pass to Smith, Colorado State leads 14-0 (Q1, 13:16). UTSA went from 75% to 53% to win. Fans right then: “TO THE HOUSE!” r/CFB game thread

Before kickoff, our ratings gave UTSA an 84% chance, and the closing betting line (UTSA was a 14.5-point favorite) put it at 88%.

Favored the whole way: UTSA never fell below 53%.

Colorado State led by 14 but, as a 14.5-point underdog, never had better than a 47% chance.

Kickoff return TD

Colorado State · Q1 14:4835 unanswered

UTSA · Q1 2:04Kickoff return TD

UTSA · Q3 11:27

FinalUTSA 59-45 Colorado StateUTSA wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q1 13:16Farrar 74-yd TD pass to Smith, Colorado State leads 14-0UTSA 75% → 53% (−22)
2Q1 10:52McCown incomplete to WilsonUTSA 69% → 53% (−16)

The two plays that swung it

1Q1 13:16Farrar 74-yd TD pass to Smith, Colorado State leads 14-0Colorado State 25% → 47% (+22)
2Q1 10:52McCown incomplete to WilsonColorado State 31% → 47% (+16)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 14:48Colorado State's Brown returns kickoff 94 yards for touchdown to open scoringTO THE HOUSE!r/CFB game thread
Q1 5:12The head coach ripped into the defensive coordinator on the sideline.Nothing makes me happier than watching Mora rip Tyson Summers a new one on the sideliner/CFB game thread
Q1 3:15Colorado State fans demand firing defensive coordinator Tyson Summers after UTSA scoresFire Tyson Summers on 3 1 2 3 FIRE TYSON SUMMERS!r/CFB game threadThe strategery is to let UTSA score at will so the offense can get on the field faster. Too bad the offense also wants to get off the field.r/CFB game thread
Q2 15:00Boise HS would do serious damage to this defenser/CFB game thread😔r/CFB game thread
Q2 6:48Quoted at the top of the page.Colorado Rams? We deserve this disrespectr/CFB game thread
Q4 2:09Colorado State defense allows Peterson's 47-yard rushing touchdown with 2:09 leftDefense: "Best we can do is allow an immediate 40+ rushing touchdown."r/CFB game thread

UTSA’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (UTSA -14.5), at 76% for UTSA (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a UTSA or Colorado State flair (97 and 220); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Every drive

UTSA scored on 9 of its 14 drives; Colorado State on 7 of its 14.

UTSA’s drives are teal, Colorado State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Colorado State’s side

Colorado State’s best moment: Farrar 74-yd TD pass to Smith, Colorado State leads 14-0 (Q1 13:16). It lifted Colorado State’s win chance by 22 points.

How Colorado State fans took it: “Welp, entertaining game, at least. And I agree with what commentary's saying: It takes a ton of mental fortitude by the offense to keep grinding away and…” r/CFB game thread

“What a way to make an entrance”

A Colorado State fan

How fans reacted

Steady

Fans peaked in the opening quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was quiet.

Fans of both teams were loud at once in the bracketed stretch.

“We breaking the single game penalty yards record today”

A Colorado State fan

What it cost

UTSA’s chance to make the playoff rose from 7% to 8%.

Make the playoff

Colorado State · lost0% → 0%

UTSA · won7% → ▲8%

Win the conference

Colorado State · lost3% → ▲4%

UTSA · won17% → ▲18%

Before the game (September 25, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

UTSA 59, Colorado State 45

Colorado State covered +14.5 by 0.5. The total, 104, went over 56.5.

Team totals	Colorado State	UTSA
Total yards	500	542
Passing	29 of 46, 344 yds	20 of 30, 303 yds
Rushing	32 for 156 yds	42 for 239 yds
First downs	21	25
Third down	6 of 17	9 of 16
Fourth down	5 of 6	0 of 0
Turnovers	1	0
Penalties	11 for 61 yds	3 for 45 yds
Time of possession	31:17	28:43

Colorado State leaders

Passing Ksaan Farrar 29 of 46, 344 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Jayden Brown 12 for 90 yds; Durell Robinson 13 for 43 yds, 2 TD
Receiving Terrence Smith Jr. 6 for 102 yds, 1 TD; Reginald Vick Jr 5 for 93 yds

UTSA leaders

Passing Owen McCown 20 of 30, 303 yds, 3 TD
Rushing Will Henderson III 14 for 89 yds, 1 TD; Brandon High 14 for 76 yds, 1 TD
Receiving DJ Allen 5 for 87 yds, 1 TD; AJ Wilson 3 for 62 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Colorado State · 2-1

Rated 79th in our preseason ratings, 76th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 23-41 vs BYUTop 25 #10 of 668

lost by 18 as a 17.5-point underdog

W 58-24 vs Southern Utah #150 of 668

won by 34 as a 19.5-point favorite

W 35-13 vs Wyoming #112 of 668

won by 22 as a 2.5-point favorite

Last three games

UTSA · 2-1

Rated 18th in our preseason ratings, 11th now.

2-1 in its last three, including a 5-point win over Texas State as a 1.5-point underdog.

L 6-30 @ TexasTop 25 #4 of 668

lost by 24 as a 29.5-point underdog

W 31-26 @ Texas State #32 of 668

won by 5 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 45-16 vs UT Rio Grande Valley #139 of 668

won by 29 as a 28.5-point favorite

Week by week

UTSA

Wk 1Wvs UT Rio Grande Valley45-16
Wk 2Wat Texas State31-26
Wk 3Lat Texas6-30

Colorado State

Wk 1Wvs Wyoming35-13
Wk 2Wvs Southern Utah58-24
Wk 3Lvs BYU23-41

Power rating by week

UTSA is rated 8.5 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: UTSA’s rushing EPA against Colorado State, 82 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

UTSA’s EPA/play against Colorado State’s defense
UTSA offense, 77th percentile · Colorado State defense, 2nd
UTSA’s rushing EPA against Colorado State’s defense
UTSA offense, 82nd percentile · Colorado State defense, 0th
Colorado State’s explosive plays against UTSA’s defense
Colorado State offense, 96th percentile · UTSA defense, 54th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Colorado StateUTSA

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Colorado State leads the series 2-1

3 meetings since 2015 · UTSA won the last meeting

2025UTSA 17-16
2016Colorado State 23-14
2015Colorado State 33-31

Each line is UTSA’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Colorado State fans are in a better mood than UTSA fans (70th vs 43rd among FBS fanbases), even with UTSA favored.

UTSA favored by 14.5 · Total 56.5

How games like this usually go

UTSA by 14.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward UTSA.

The total fell 1 point.

The books’ cut: 4.0%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

UTSA is worth +7.8 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile.

73% at home, 44% on the road against FBS opponents (35-13 home, 22-28 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +6.1 at home vs. away over 105 games — outside the ±5.6 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.

Indoors — dome hosts have beaten the number by about a point and a half more than outdoor ones, on a small sample. The visitors travel about 856 miles to get here.

UTSA beats Colorado State 59-45