UTSA routs UT Rio Grande Valley 45-16
Team pages: UT Rio Grande Valley · UTSA
UTSA routed UT Rio Grande Valley 45-16. Share this game
We had UTSA favored. It won.
Next: UT Rio Grande Valley lost to Nicholls 31-28, Sat Sep 12
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave UTSA a 97% chance, and the closing betting line (UTSA was a 28.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.
UTSA led by 7 after the first quarter and by 25 at the half.
UTSA · Q2 12:4075-yard TD runUTSA · Q2 7:00UTSA 45-16 UT Rio Grande Valley
UTSA wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.UT Rio Grande Valley 16-45 UTSAUT Rio Grande Valley lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (UTSA -28.5), at 97% for UTSA (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.Every drive
UTSA scored on 6 of its 12 drives; UT Rio Grande Valley on 4 of its 13.
UTSA’s drives are teal, UT Rio Grande Valley’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
UTSA 45, UT Rio Grande Valley 16
UTSA covered −28.5 by 0.5. The total, 61, went over 59.5.
| Team totals | UT Rio Grande Valley | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 422 | 525 |
| Passing | 26 of 47, 245 yds | 22 of 29, 275 yds |
| Rushing | 34 for 177 yds | 29 for 250 yds |
| First downs | 22 | 23 |
| Third down | 7 of 18 | 3 of 9 |
| Fourth down | 1 of 3 | 0 of 1 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Penalties | 13 for 105 yds | 11 for 115 yds |
| Time of possession | 34:49 | 25:11 |
UT Rio Grande Valley leaders
- Passing Garret Rangel 19 of 32, 152 yds
- Rushing Broderick Taylor 6 for 73 yds; Brennan Carroll 4 for 47 yds
- Receiving Jaydon Smith 2 for 68 yds; Corey Holmes 7 for 68 yds
UTSA leaders
- Passing Owen McCown 22 of 27, 275 yds, 3 TD
- Rushing Will Henderson III 9 for 99 yds, 1 TD; A'Marion Peterson 8 for 96 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving DJ Allen 3 for 116 yds, 1 TD; AJ Wilson 2 for 42 yds, 1 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
UT Rio Grande Valley · 9-3
Rated 138th in our preseason ratings, 138th now.
Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.
L 17-41 @ Stephen F. Austin #87 of 667
lost by 24 as a 10-point underdog
W 56-28 vs Incarnate Word #194 of 667
won by 28 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 21-23 @ Lamar #148 of 667
lost by 2 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 27-7 vs Houston Christian #228 of 667
L 31-45 @ SE Louisiana #139 of 667
lost by 14 as an 18-point underdog
W 61-13 vs Texas Wesleyan
W 80-0 vs Langston
W 27-21 @ Prairie View A&M #166 of 667
W 66-0 vs Sul Ross State #424 of 667
Last three games · 2025 season
UTSA · 7-6
Rated 18th in our preseason ratings.
W 57-20 vs Florida International #127 of 667
won by 37 as a 7.5-point favorite
L 24-27 vs Army #111 of 667
lost by 3 as an 8.5-point favorite
W 58-24 vs East Carolina #59 of 667
won by 34 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 28-7 @ Charlotte #231 of 667
won by 21 as a 17.5-point favorite
L 23-55 @ South FloridaTop 25 #19 of 667
lost by 32 as a 13.5-point underdog
W 48-26 vs TulaneTop 25 #63 of 667
won by 22 as a 5.5-point underdog
L 17-55 @ North TexasTop 25 #61 of 667
lost by 38 as a 3.5-point underdog
W 61-13 vs Rice #158 of 667
won by 48 as a 9.5-point favorite
L 21-27 @ Temple #114 of 667
lost by 6 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 17-16 @ Colorado State #97 of 667
won by 1 as a 5.5-point favorite
W 48-20 vs Incarnate Word #136 of 667
won by 28 as a 21.5-point favorite
L 36-43 vs Texas State #64 of 667
lost by 7 as a 4.5-point favorite
L 24-42 @ Texas A&MTop 25 #19 of 667
lost by 18 as a 23.5-point underdog
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on UTSA’s chances here.
UTSA favored by 28.5 · Total 59.5
How games like this usually go
UTSA by 28.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The books’ cut: 3.2%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
UTSA is worth +7.8 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile.
73% at home, 44% on the road against FBS opponents (35-13 home, 22-28 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +6.1 at home vs. away over 105 games — outside the ±5.6 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.
Indoors — dome hosts have beaten the number by about a point and a half more than outdoor ones, on a small sample. The visitors travel about 218 miles to get here.