Indiana 47-15 Rutgers (Oct 3, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Indiana · Rutgers

No. 6 Indiana5-047

Rutgers1-415Final

Sat, Oct 3 · SHI Stadium, Piscataway, N.J. · Crowd 48,650BTN

No. 6 Indiana routed Rutgers 47-15.

We had Indiana favored. It won.

Next: Indiana beat Nebraska 20-17, Sat Oct 10

Next: Rutgers beat Maryland 37-30, Sat Oct 17

Top comment in the game thread

I think Indiana should tell the refs it's ok for Rutgers to play 12 guys. Make it at least a little challenging.

Q3 5:36 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 3

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Indiana a 91% chance, and the closing betting line (Indiana was a 24.5-point favorite) put it at 98%.

FinalIndiana 47-15 RutgersIndiana wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q2 11:38A player known as Turbo ran for a long gain despite being injured.Is that why they call him Turbo‽r/CFB game thread
Q2 9:30Indiana scores touchdown as Rutgers players drop like fliesDavion Chandler is a touchdown machine!r/CFB game thread
Q2 5:58Fans mock Rutgers for inserting third quarterback Hjelle while trailing 23-0has rutgers considered putting all 3 qb’s in at oncer/CFB game threadDailey, Wyatt, landino, Tucker, Hjelle, burnham……… and that’s not even getting into osunsanmi, obiasor, Ndukwe. So stackedr/CFB game thread
Q2 3:20Hoover 5-yd pass to ChandlerThese 10-15 yard passes are Hoover's sweet spot. Can't force the long ball.r/CFB game thread
Q2 1:11Indiana fans panic as Nico Radicic misses a 22-yard field goal attemptAre we sure Radicic actually recovered from his injury? Because yikes manr/CFB game thread
Q3 5:36Indiana fans mock Rutgers for repeatedly having 12 men on the fieldQuoted at the top of the page.Somebody tell Rutgers they can’t have 12 men on the fieldr/CFB game thread

Indiana’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Indiana -24.5), at 93% for Indiana (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Rutgers or Indiana flair (59 and 1,222); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Indiana’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Indiana scored on 8 of its 12 drives; Rutgers on 2 of its 12.

Indiana’s drives are teal, Rutgers’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“Looked like me off the first tee.”

An Indiana fan

How fans reacted

Steady

Fans peaked in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was steady.

What it cost

Indiana’s chance to make the playoff rose from 17% to 20%.

Make the playoff

Indiana · won17% → ▲20%

Rutgers · lost0% → 0%

Win the conference

Indiana · won7% → ▲8%

Rutgers · lost0% → 0%

Before the game (October 3, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Indiana 47, Rutgers 15

Indiana covered −24.5 by 7.5. The total, 62, went over 56.5.

Team totals	Indiana	Rutgers
Total yards	593	254
Passing	21 of 29, 264 yds	11 of 20, 195 yds
Rushing	39 for 329 yds	35 for 59 yds
First downs	26	9
Third down	5 of 10	2 of 14
Fourth down	0 of 0	2 of 4
Turnovers	0	0
Penalties	0 for 0 yds	1 for 5 yds
Time of possession	33:02	26:58

Indiana leaders

Passing Josh Hoover 20 of 27, 251 yds, 4 TD
Rushing Turbo Richard 13 for 204 yds, 1 TD; Lee Beebe 18 for 122 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Nick Marsh 7 for 120 yds, 1 TD; Charlie Becker 8 for 107 yds, 2 TD

Rutgers leaders

Passing AJ Surace 6 of 10, 128 yds, 1 TD
Rushing Clay Thevenin 12 for 47 yds, 1 TD; Antwan Raymond 11 for 31 yds
Receiving KJ Duff 4 for 78 yds; Ben Black 1 for 53 yds, 1 TD

No rain through the game

59° at kickoff · no rain recorded

The usual here around this date is 64°, with about 7 in 10 games between 55° and 73°.

October game-day temperatures at SHI Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:56 left8:04 p.m.

Indiana 0, Rutgers 0 · Rutgers 7% to win

no rain · 58°

Lonergan incomplete to Black

Where this weather comes from

Measured at Somerville airport, 13 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

Indiana · 4-0

Rated 8th in our preseason ratings, 6th now.

4 straight wins, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

W 29-23 vs NorthwesternTop 25 #13 of 668

won by 6 as a 20.5-point favorite

W 38-0 vs Western Kentucky #58 of 668

won by 38 as a 44.5-point favorite

W 55-0 vs Howard #217 of 668

won by 55 as a 57.5-point favorite

W 52-16 vs North Texas #123 of 668

won by 36 as a 39.5-point favorite

Last 4 games

Rutgers · 1-3

Rated 68th in our preseason ratings, 93rd now, down 25 spots.

1-3 in its last 4 — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 58-7 vs Howard #225 of 668

won by 51 as a 42.5-point favorite

L 35-42 vs USCTop 25 #29 of 668

lost by 7 as a 21-point underdog

L 21-28 @ Boston College #136 of 668

lost by 7 as a 3-point underdog

L 21-37 vs Massachusetts #244 of 668

lost by 16 as a 29.5-point favorite

Week by week

Rutgers

Wk 1Lvs Massachusetts21-37
Wk 2Lat Boston College21-28
Wk 3Lvs USC35-42
Wk 4Wvs Howard58-7

Indiana

Wk 1Wvs North Texas52-16
Wk 2Wvs Howard55-0
Wk 3Wvs Western Kentucky38-0
Wk 4Wvs Northwestern29-23

Power rating by week

Indiana is rated 13.0 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Indiana’s EPA/play against Rutgers, 85 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Indiana’s EPA/play against Rutgers’s defense
Indiana offense, 98th percentile · Rutgers defense, 13th
Indiana’s passing EPA against Rutgers’s defense
Indiana offense, 99th percentile · Rutgers defense, 17th
Rutgers’s explosive plays against Indiana’s defense
Rutgers offense, 86th percentile · Indiana defense, 6th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

IndianaRutgers

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

The series is tied 5-5

10 meetings since 2014 · Rutgers has won the last 3

2023Rutgers 31-14
2022Rutgers 24-17
2021Rutgers 38-3
2020Indiana 37-21
2019Indiana 35-0

Each line is Rutgers’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Indiana fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (69th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

Indiana favored by 24.5 · Total 56.5

How games like this usually go

Indiana by 24.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Indiana.

The total rose 3 points.

The books’ cut: 3.7%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Cool and dry. Feels like 55° at kickoff.

Indiana at Rutgers · Saturday, Oct. 3, 2026 · SHI Stadium, Piscataway

55°feels like at kickoff
Dryno rain at kickoff
96weather score, Comfortable
Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 9 kickoff times

At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 9 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's nine kickoff times. At SHI Stadium that day, a 3:30 pm, 4:15 pm or 6 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 96 at 8 pm.

The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.

11 am: 99, Comfortable
noon: 98, Comfortable
12:45 pm: 98, Comfortable
2 pm: 98, Comfortable
3:30 pm: 100, Ideal
4:15 pm: 100, Ideal
6 pm: 100, Ideal
7:30 pm: 96, Comfortable
8 pm: 96, Comfortable (this game)

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Oct. 3, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

Rutgers is worth +2.0 points (±4.3) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 17th percentile.

31% at home, 33% on the road against FBS opponents (16-35 home, 14-29 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.7 at home vs. away over 99 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 646 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Rutgers 55, Indiana 52Oct 17, 2015

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Rutgers12th0-1
Indiana7th1-0

Full Big Ten standings

No. 6 Indiana routs Rutgers 47-15