North Dakota State 28-0 Wyoming (Oct 3, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Wyoming · North Dakota State

Wyoming2-30

North Dakota State5-028Final

Sat, Oct 3 · Fargodome, Fargo, N.D. · Crowd 18,586

North Dakota State routed Wyoming 28-0.

We had North Dakota State favored. It won.

Next: Wyoming beat San José State 16-13, Fri Oct 9

Next: North Dakota State lost to UNLV 13-7, Sat Oct 10

Top comment in the game thread

CODE GREEN I REPEAT CODE GREEN. COWBOYS TRAMPLED

Q1 14:52 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 3

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave North Dakota State an 80% chance, and the closing betting line (North Dakota State was a 17.5-point favorite) put it at 92%.

TargetingQ2 9:10

FinalNorth Dakota State 28-0 WyomingNorth Dakota State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 14:52NDSU fans celebrate early interception and dominant start against WyomingQuoted at the top of the page.

North Dakota State’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (North Dakota State -17.5), at 94% for North Dakota State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a North Dakota State or Wyoming flair (104 and 22); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Every drive

North Dakota State scored on 5 of its 11 drives; Wyoming on 0 of its 12.

North Dakota State’s drives are teal, Wyoming’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“Yeah this team is winning the MWC”

A North Dakota State fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans were loudest in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.

What it cost

North Dakota State’s chance to make the playoff rose from 3% to 4%.

Make the playoff

Wyoming · lost0% → 0%

North Dakota State · won3% → ▲4%

Win the conference

Wyoming · lost1% → 1%

North Dakota State · won31% → ▲33%

Before the game (October 2, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

North Dakota State 28, Wyoming 0

North Dakota State covered −17.5 by 10.5. The total, 28, stayed under 44.5.

Team totals	Wyoming	North Dakota State
Total yards	162	407
Passing	5 of 14, 52 yds	14 of 25, 187 yds
Rushing	35 for 110 yds	45 for 220 yds
First downs	8	23
Third down	2 of 11	6 of 13
Fourth down	0 of 2	0 of 1
Turnovers	1	1
Penalties	5 for 53 yds	4 for 27 yds
Time of possession	26:54	33:06

Wyoming leaders

Passing Tyler Hughes 5 of 14, 52 yds, 1 INT
Rushing Tyler Hughes 12 for 37 yds; Samuel Harris 10 for 31 yds
Receiving Charlie Coenen 1 for 16 yds; Jake Wilson 1 for 14 yds

North Dakota State leaders

Passing Nathan Hayes 14 of 25, 187 yds
Rushing Nathan Hayes 10 for 79 yds, 2 TD; DJ Scott 20 for 73 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Jackson Williams 4 for 75 yds; Reis Kessel 2 for 44 yds

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

Wyoming · 2-2

Rated 111th in our preseason ratings, 121st now.

2-2 in its last 4, capped by a 17-point win over Hawai'i as a 2.5-point underdog.

W 27-10 vs Hawai'i #99 of 668

won by 17 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 10-24 @ Central Michigan #131 of 668

lost by 14 as a 1.5-point favorite

W 21-13 vs Northern Colorado #250 of 668

won by 8 as a 23.5-point favorite

L 13-35 @ Colorado State #83 of 668

lost by 22 as a 2.5-point underdog

Last 4 games

North Dakota State · 4-0

Rated 89th in our preseason ratings, 65th now, up 24 spots.

4 straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 31-10 @ Sacramento State #148 of 668

won by 21 as a 26.5-point favorite

W 38-32 @ Air Force #79 of 668

won by 6 as a 1.5-point favorite

W 38-0 vs Fordham #249 of 668

won by 38 as a 41.5-point favorite

W 33-7 vs Jacksonville State #69 of 668

won by 26 as a 6.5-point favorite

Week by week

North Dakota State

Wk 1Wvs Jacksonville State33-7
Wk 1Wvs Fordham38-0
Wk 2Wat Air Force38-32
Wk 3Wat Sacramento State31-10

Wyoming

Wk 1Lat Colorado State13-35
Wk 2Wvs Northern Colorado21-13
Wk 3Lat Central Michigan10-24
Wk 4Wvs Hawai'i27-10

Power rating by week

North Dakota State is rated 5.0 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Wyoming’s explosive plays against North Dakota State, 92 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Wyoming’s explosive plays against North Dakota State’s defense
Wyoming offense, 0th percentile · North Dakota State defense, 92nd
Wyoming’s passing EPA against North Dakota State’s defense
Wyoming offense, 13th percentile · North Dakota State defense, 96th
Wyoming’s EPA/play against North Dakota State’s defense
Wyoming offense, 35th percentile · North Dakota State defense, 97th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

WyomingNorth Dakota State

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Wyoming leads the series 1-0

1 meeting since 2008 · Wyoming won the last meeting

2008Wyoming 16-13

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

North Dakota State fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (92nd among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

North Dakota State favored by 17.5 · Total 44.5

How games like this usually go

North Dakota State by 17.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 3.5 points toward Wyoming.

The total fell 3 points.

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

North Dakota State is worth +3.9 points (±6.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 47th percentile.

100% at home, 62% on the road against FBS opponents (8-0 home, 5-3 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.9 at home vs. away over 57 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Indoors — dome hosts have beaten the number by about a point and a half more than outdoor ones, on a small sample. The visitors travel about 581 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

North Dakota State1st1-0
Wyoming3rd1-0

Full Mountain West standings

North Dakota State routs Wyoming 28-0