Eastern Washington at Idaho

Away
Eastern Washington
2-7 Lost 2 straight
Home
Idaho
4-5 Won 3 straight
Sat, Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ET · Kibbie DomeAdd to calendar: Google · other

Eastern Washington (2‑7) at Idaho (4‑5) — no line posted yet, but the model favors Idaho (64%).

How they got here

Last three games

Eastern Washington · 2-7

Rated 186th in our preseason ratings, 216th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Last three games

Idaho · 4-5

Rated 171st in our preseason ratings, 150th now, up 21 spots.

Three straight wins, including a 7-point win over Montana as a 16.5-point underdog.

L 27-38 @ Weber State No. 208 of 668 teams

lost by 11 as a 4-point favorite

Idaho lost 27-38 at Weber State. Chance to win started at 35%, low under 1%, high 46%.

L 17-23 vs Lamar No. 151 of 668 teams

lost by 6 as a 4.5-point favorite

Idaho lost 17-23 vs Lamar. Chance to win started at 65%, low under 1%, high 77%.

L 14-66 @ UtahTop 25 No. 26 of 668 teams

lost by 52 as a 38.5-point underdog

Idaho lost 14-66 at Utah. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 1%.

L 34-38 @ Cal Poly No. 218 of 668 teams

lost by 4 as a 5.5-point favorite

Idaho lost 34-38 at Cal Poly. Chance to win started at 49%, low under 1%, high 90%.

What’s at stake

Eastern Washington

  • A win would be one of Eastern Washington’s biggest of the season — a 66-spot gap in the power ratings.

Idaho

  • Idaho is 2 games back in Big Sky with 2 left to make it up.
  • Idaho is coming off a 24-point win.

The series

Idaho leads the series 8-6

14 meetings since 1942 · Eastern Washington won the last meeting

Idaho wonEastern Washington won1942: Idaho by 211996: Idaho by 101997: Eastern Washington by 31998: Idaho by 171999: Idaho by 272003: Eastern Washington by 32012: Eastern Washington by 172018: Eastern Washington by 242019: Idaho by 82021: Eastern Washington by 502022: Idaho by 322023: Idaho by 82024: Idaho by 102025: Eastern Washington by 719422025
  • 2025Eastern Washington 21-14
  • 2024Idaho 38-28
  • 2023Idaho 44-36
  • 2022Idaho 48-16
  • 2021Eastern Washington 71-21

Home field

Idaho is worth +6.8 points (±13.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 91st percentile.

50% at home, 12% on the road against FBS opponents (1-1 home, 2-15 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -2.0 at home vs. away over 60 games — inside the ±7.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Indoors — dome hosts have beaten the number by about a point and a half more than outdoor ones, on a small sample. The visitors travel about 59 miles to get here.

Week by week

Idaho

Wk 5: W 35-34 vs Montana State▲1Montana…Wk 6: L 27-38 at Weber State▼11Weber St.Wk 7: W 42-35 at Montana▲7MontanaWk 8: W 31-28 vs Southern Utah▲3S. UtahWk 9: W 38-14 at Portland State▲24Portland…
  • Wk 5Wvs Montana State35-34
  • Wk 6Lat Weber State27-38
  • Wk 7Wat Montana42-35
  • Wk 8Wvs Southern Utah31-28
  • Wk 9Wat Portland State38-14

Eastern Washington

Wk 4: L 27-31 vs Cal Poly▼4Cal PolyWk 5: L 38-49 at UC Davis▼11UC DavisWk 6: W 31-22 vs Northern Colorado▲9N. Color…Wk 7: L 20-56 vs Montana State▼36Montana…Wk 9: L 33-42 vs Montana▼9Montana
  • Wk 4Lvs Cal Poly27-31
  • Wk 5Lat UC Davis38-49
  • Wk 6Wvs Northern Colorado31-22
  • Wk 7Lvs Montana State20-56
  • Wk 9Lvs Montana33-42

Power rating by week

Idaho is rated 5.2 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-4-7-11Wk 0Wk 5Wk 10IdahoEastern Washington

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.