Coastal Carolina at Georgia State
Coastal Carolina (2‑5) at Georgia State (4‑2) — no line posted yet, but the model favors Georgia State (74%). Georgia State’s passing offense is at the 92nd percentile; Coastal Carolina’s pass defense is at the 8th.
How they got here
Last three games
Coastal Carolina · 2-5
Rated 231st in our preseason ratings, 157th now, up 74 spots.
1-2 in its last three, including a 6-point win over Marshall as a 4.5-point underdog.
Last three games
Georgia State · 4-2
Rated 155th in our preseason ratings, 100th now, up 55 spots.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Biggest mismatch: Georgia State’s passing EPA against Coastal Carolina, 84 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Georgia State’s passing EPA against Coastal Carolina’s defense
Georgia State offense, 92nd percentile · Coastal Carolina defense, 8th
Georgia State’s success rate against Coastal Carolina’s defense
Georgia State offense, 77th percentile · Coastal Carolina defense, 10th
Georgia State’s explosive plays against Coastal Carolina’s defense
Georgia State offense, 49th percentile · Coastal Carolina defense, 82nd
What’s at stake
Coastal Carolina
- Coastal Carolina is 3 games back in Sun Belt with 4 left to make it up.
- Coastal Carolina hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2020.
Georgia State
- Georgia State needs 2 more wins in the final 4 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Georgia State is still shaking off a 27-point loss.
The series
Coastal Carolina leads the series 5-4
9 meetings since 2017 · Coastal Carolina has won the last 2
- 2025Coastal Carolina 40-27
- 2024Coastal Carolina 48-27
- 2023Georgia State 30-17
- 2022Coastal Carolina 41-24
- 2021Georgia State 42-40
Each line is Georgia State’s chance to win through that meeting. Georgia State is 1-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.
Face-off
What each fanbase carries into this one.
Coastal Carolina
The chip · vs the blue bloodsChanticleer fans heard the whole sport ask 'where is that?' during the 2020 run — and they say the same people who couldn't find Conway on a map were the ones most eager to call the whole thing an accident the moment it ended.
What this game touches
The Beck era ends in a losing season. Coastal went 6-7 in 2025 — a season that ended with three straight blowout losses (51-7 at South Carolina, 59-10 to James Madison) and an Independence Bowl defeat — and Tim Beck was fired before it was even over, closing a 20-18 run that never recaptured the heights of 2020.
Georgia State
The chip · vs big brotherEveryone in the metro grew up a Georgia or Georgia Tech fan; Panther fans are the ones who chose the new thing, and they're tired of being told a 2010 startup downtown can't be anybody's real team.
What this game touches
The 1-11 floor. After Shawn Elliott got the Panthers to four bowls, Dell McGee's second year collapsed to 1-11 (0-8), the lone win over an FCS team, nine of eleven losses by double digits — a reminder of how thin the foundation still is when a young program loses its footing.
Best players
Coastal Carolina
- Marcellius Pulliam (LB) · 68 tackles
- Deuce Bailey (QB) · 1,638 passing yards
- Jalen B. Lee (S) · 37 tackles
Georgia State
- Jaydon Hood (LB) · 36 tackles
- Cameran Brown (QB) · 1,291 passing yards
- Coby Owens (LB) · 30 tackles
What to watch
Player to watch: Cameran Brown (QB) — Georgia State’s leading passer (1,291 passing yards) takes on Coastal Carolina’s pass defense (8th percentile allowed).
The betting line, and the fans
Georgia State fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (89th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.
Weather at kickoff
Typical at Center Parc Stadium: 7:30 pm Saturdays score 95, 3:30 pm Saturdays 86
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State · Saturday, Oct. 31 · Center Parc Stadium.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
If it kicked off at
Typical at Center Parc Stadium: noon Saturdays score 88, 3:30 pm 86, 7:30 pm 95.
- noon: 88, Mixed
- 3:30 pm: 86, Mixed
- 7:30 pm: 95, Comfortable
Typical weather score at each kickoff time.
Typical means the average of regular-season Saturdays at this stadium, 2018 to 2025. It is not a forecast for this game.
Home field
Georgia State is worth +4.1 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 50th percentile.
44% at home, 29% on the road against FBS opponents (20-25 home, 14-35 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -3.0 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±6.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 309 miles to get here.
Season profile
Week by week
Georgia State
- Wk 2Wat Kennesaw State31-17
- Wk 3Lat UCF30-44
- Wk 4Wvs Northern Illinois35-14
- Wk 5Wvs Old Dominion42-10
- Wk 7Lat James Madison22-49
Coastal Carolina
- Wk 3Lat Delaware14-22
- Wk 4Lvs Liberty17-34
- Wk 5Lvs Georgia Southern24-31
- Wk 6Wat Marshall27-21
- Wk 7Lvs App State32-35
Power rating by week
Georgia State is rated 4.7 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Conference standings
Place in the conference, then conference record.
- Georgia State8th1-1
- Coastal Carolina9th1-2
Last meeting in our History pages
- Georgia State 42, Coastal Carolina 40Nov 13, 2021