Eastern Kentucky at Austin Peay

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Eastern Kentucky
3-6 Lost last game
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Austin Peay
7-2 Won 2 straight
Sat, Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ET · Governors StadiumAdd to calendar: Google · other

Eastern Kentucky (3‑6) travels to Austin Peay (7‑2). No market line yet; the model gives Austin Peay a 91% shot.

How they got here

Last three games

Eastern Kentucky · 3-6

Rated 154th in our preseason ratings, 200th now.

1-2 in its last three, including a 3-point win over West Florida as a 1.5-point underdog.

L 24-28 @ Tarleton State No. 83 of 668 teams

lost by 4 as a 24.5-point underdog

Eastern Kentucky lost 24-28 at Tarleton State. Chance to win started at 4%, low 2%, high 36%.

W 16-13 vs West Florida No. 218 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog

Eastern Kentucky won 16-13 vs West Florida. Chance to win started at 59%, low 35%, high 94%.

L 20-49 @ Tennessee Tech No. 121 of 668 teams

lost by 29 as a 14.5-point underdog

Eastern Kentucky lost 20-49 at Tennessee Tech. Chance to win started at 11%, low under 1%, high 19%.

W 30-20 vs West Georgia No. 237 of 668 teams

won by 10 as a 5.5-point favorite

Eastern Kentucky won 30-20 vs West Georgia. Chance to win started at 72%, low 31%, high better than 99%.

L 16-20 vs North Alabama No. 174 of 668 teams

lost by 4 as a 1.5-point favorite

Eastern Kentucky lost 16-20 vs North Alabama. Chance to win started at 55%, low 21%, high 85%.

L 14-17 vs Dayton No. 184 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as an 11.5-point favorite

Eastern Kentucky lost 14-17 vs Dayton. Chance to win started at 85%, low 9%, high 88%.

W 22-17 vs Chattanooga No. 187 of 668 teams

won by 5 as a 3-point underdog

Eastern Kentucky won 22-17 vs Chattanooga. Chance to win started at 49%, low 33%, high better than 99%.

L 7-49 @ Jacksonville State No. 69 of 668 teams

lost by 42 as a 22.5-point underdog

Eastern Kentucky lost 7-49 at Jacksonville State. Chance to win started at 4%, low under 1%, high 6%.

L 21-45 @ Western Carolina No. 195 of 668 teams

lost by 24 as a 3-point underdog

Last three games

Austin Peay · 7-2

Rated 118th in our preseason ratings, 105th now, up 13 spots.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 27-21 @ North Alabama No. 173 of 668 teams

won by 6 as a 9.5-point favorite

Austin Peay won 27-21 at North Alabama. Chance to win started at 70%, low 38%, high 98%.

W 24-10 @ West Georgia No. 236 of 668 teams

won by 14 as a 19.5-point favorite

Austin Peay won 24-10 at West Georgia. Chance to win started at 88%, low 51%, high better than 99%.

L 32-40 vs Tarleton State No. 93 of 668 teams

lost by 8 as a 2.5-point favorite

Austin Peay lost 32-40 vs Tarleton State. Chance to win started at 66%, low under 1%, high 74%.

W 42-17 vs New Haven No. 254 of 668 teams

won by 25 as a 35.5-point favorite

Austin Peay won 42-17 vs New Haven. Chance to win started at 99%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

W 35-12 vs UT Martin No. 194 of 668 teams

won by 23 as a 15.5-point favorite

Austin Peay won 35-12 vs UT Martin. Chance to win started at 89%, low 61%, high better than 99%.

W 38-16 @ West Florida No. 252 of 668 teams

won by 22 as a 10.5-point favorite

Austin Peay won 38-16 at West Florida. Chance to win started at 70%, low 68%, high better than 99%.

W 63-7 vs Morehead State No. 242 of 668 teams

won by 56 as a 36.5-point favorite

Austin Peay won 63-7 vs Morehead State. Chance to win started at 99%, low 96%, high better than 99%.

L 9-28 @ Vanderbilt No. 44 of 668 teams

lost by 19 as a 29.5-point underdog

Austin Peay lost 9-28 at Vanderbilt. Chance to win started at 2%, low under 1%, high 7%.

W 35-17 vs Gardner-Webb No. 204 of 668 teams

won by 18 as a 14.5-point favorite

Austin Peay won 35-17 vs Gardner-Webb. Chance to win started at 87%, low 81%, high better than 99%.

What’s at stake

Eastern Kentucky

  • Eastern Kentucky is 2 games back in UAC with 2 left to make it up.
  • A win would be one of Eastern Kentucky’s biggest of the season — a 95-spot gap in the power ratings.

Austin Peay

  • Austin Peay is 1 game back in UAC with 2 left to make it up.

See this week’s biggest postseason implications ›

The series

Eastern Kentucky leads the series 11-5

16 meetings since 2007 · Eastern Kentucky has won the last 2

Austin Peay wonEastern Kentucky won2007: Eastern Kentucky by 142008: Eastern Kentucky by 32010: Eastern Kentucky by 142011: Austin Peay by 62012: Eastern Kentucky by 312014: Eastern Kentucky by 312015: Eastern Kentucky by 382016: Eastern Kentucky by 372017: Austin Peay by 72018: Eastern Kentucky by 42019: Austin Peay by 72021: Eastern Kentucky by 82022: Austin Peay by 112023: Austin Peay by 32024: Eastern Kentucky by 32025: Eastern Kentucky by 1420072025
  • 2025Eastern Kentucky 34-20
  • 2024Eastern Kentucky 30-27
  • 2023Austin Peay 33-30
  • 2022Austin Peay 31-20
  • 2021Eastern Kentucky 35-27

Home field

Austin Peay is worth +9.5 points (±16.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 99th percentile.

50% at home, 21% on the road against FBS opponents (1-1 home, 3-11 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.5 at home vs. away over 53 games — inside the ±8.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 188 miles to get here.

Week by week

Austin Peay

Wk 4: W 35-12 vs UT Martin▲23UT MartinWk 5: W 42-17 vs New Haven▲25New HavenWk 6: L 32-40 vs Tarleton State▼8Tarleton…Wk 7: W 24-10 at West Georgia▲14W. Georg…Wk 8: W 27-21 at North Alabama▲6N. Alaba…
  • Wk 4Wvs UT Martin35-12
  • Wk 5Wvs New Haven42-17
  • Wk 6Lvs Tarleton State32-40
  • Wk 7Wat West Georgia24-10
  • Wk 8Wat North Alabama27-21

Eastern Kentucky

Wk 5: L 16-20 vs North Alabama▼4N. Alaba…Wk 6: W 30-20 vs West Georgia▲10W. Georg…Wk 7: L 20-49 at Tennessee Tech▼29Tennesse…Wk 8: W 16-13 vs West Florida▲3W. Flori…Wk 9: L 24-28 at Tarleton State▼4Tarleton…
  • Wk 5Lvs North Alabama16-20
  • Wk 6Wvs West Georgia30-20
  • Wk 7Lat Tennessee Tech20-49
  • Wk 8Wvs West Florida16-13
  • Wk 9Lat Tarleton State24-28

Power rating by week

Austin Peay is rated 6.5 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-0-6-11Wk 0Wk 5Wk 10Austin PeayEastern Kentucky

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.