Austin Peay beats West Georgia 24-10
Team pages: Austin Peay · West Georgia
Austin Peay beat West Georgia 24-10. Share this game
We had Austin Peay favored. It won.
Next: Austin Peay at North Alabama, Sat Oct 24 · 7:00 PM ET
Next: West Georgia vs Tarleton State, Sat Oct 24 · 2:00 PM ET
How it swung
The turning point: FitzGerald sacked for a 10-yd loss, fumbles (Q3, 4:43). Austin Peay went from 52% to 70% to win.
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Austin Peay a 91% chance, and the closing betting line (Austin Peay was a 19.5-point favorite) put it at 94%.
Favored the whole way: Austin Peay never fell below 51%.
West Georgia led by 10 but, as a 19.5-point underdog, never had better than a 49% chance.
Austin Peay · Q3 1:21Austin Peay 24-10 West Georgia
Austin Peay wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.West Georgia 10-24 Austin PeayWest Georgia lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 4:02FitzGerald 55-yd TD pass to Daniel, West Georgia leads 10-0Austin Peay 80% → 63% (−17)
- 2Q3 4:43FumbleFitzGerald sacked for a 10-yd loss, fumblesAustin Peay 52% → 70% (+18)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 4:02FitzGerald 55-yd TD pass to Daniel, West Georgia leads 10-0West Georgia 20% → 37% (+17)
- 2Q3 4:43FumbleFitzGerald sacked for a 10-yd loss, fumblesWest Georgia 48% → 30% (−18)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Austin Peay -19.5), at 88% for Austin Peay (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.Every drive
Austin Peay scored on 4 of its 14 drives; West Georgia on 2 of its 12.
Austin Peay’s drives are teal, West Georgia’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
From West Georgia’s side
West Georgia’s best moment: FitzGerald 55-yd TD pass to Daniel, West Georgia leads 10-0 (Q1 4:02). It lifted West Georgia’s win chance by 17 points.
Box score
Austin Peay 24, West Georgia 10
West Georgia covered +19.5 by 5.5. The total, 34, stayed under 53.5.
Austin Peay leaders
- Passing Chris Parson 12 of 21, 139 yds
- Rushing Courtland Simmons 16 for 77 yds, 1 TD; Chris Parson 12 for 68 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving Courtland Simmons 2 for 47 yds; Marvin Sims 3 for 33 yds
West Georgia leaders
- Passing Colton FitzGerald 29 of 45, 324 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Christian Monfort 4 for 22 yds; Justin Montgomery 7 for 8 yds
- Receiving DK Daniel 6 for 87 yds, 1 TD; Brody Jones 7 for 76 yds
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
Austin Peay · 5-2
Rated 118th in our preseason ratings, 110th now.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Last three games
West Georgia · 1-5
Rated 213th in our preseason ratings, 237th now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 20-30 @ Eastern Kentucky #194 of 668
lost by 10 as a 5.5-point underdog
W 49-7 vs Fort Valley State #350 of 668
L 27-35 @ East Tennessee State #174 of 668
lost by 8 as a 16.5-point underdog
L 10-24 vs Chattanooga #171 of 668
lost by 14 as a 3.5-point underdog
Week by week
West Georgia
- Wk 1Lat Kennesaw State0-47
- Wk 2Lat Arkansas State7-52
- Wk 3Lat East Tennessee State27-35
- Wk 4Wvs Fort Valley State49-7
- Wk 6Lat Eastern Kentucky20-30
Austin Peay
- Wk 2Wvs Morehead State63-7
- Wk 3Wat West Florida38-16
- Wk 4Wvs UT Martin35-12
- Wk 5Wvs New Haven42-17
- Wk 6Lvs Tarleton State32-40
Power rating by week
Austin Peay is rated 8.1 points ahead as of week 6. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The series
Austin Peay leads the series 2-0
2 meetings since 2024 · Austin Peay has won the last 2
- 2025Austin Peay 44-30
- 2024Austin Peay 20-16
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on West Georgia’s chances here.
Austin Peay favored by 19.5 · Total 53.5
How games like this usually go
Austin Peay by 19.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 1.5 points toward West Georgia.
The total fell 2 points.
Spread: +21 → +19.5 · Total: 55.5 → 53.5
The books’ cut: 5.4%, the margin built into the odds
Where next
Conference standings
Place in the conference, then conference record.
- West Georgia7th0-1
- Austin Peay4th1-1