Arkansas State routs West Georgia 52-7

West Georgia0-37
Arkansas State1-152Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro, Ark. · Crowd 16,678ESPN+

Arkansas State routed West Georgia 52-7.

We had Arkansas State favored. It won.

Next: West Georgia lost to East Tennessee State 35-27, Sat Sep 19

Next: Arkansas State lost to TCU 31-7, Sat Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Arkansas State an 83% chance, and the closing betting line (Arkansas State was a 31.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.

Arkansas State led by 14 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+45+45
Fumble return TDArkansas State · Q2 1:19
FinalArkansas State 52-7 West GeorgiaArkansas State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won52-7ScoresFumble return TD
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won52-7ScoresFumble return TD
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost7-52ScoresFumble return TD
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost7-52ScoresFumble return TD

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Arkansas State’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Arkansas State -31.5), at 98% for Arkansas State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.

Every drive

Arkansas State scored on 6 of its 8 drives; West Georgia on 1 of its 12.

Arkansas State’s drives are teal, West Georgia’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1West Georgia: Punt, from 75 yards out to 53PuntArkansas State: Punt, from 97 yards out to 80PuntWest Georgia: Punt, from 60 yards out to 53PuntArkansas State: Touchdown, from 84 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2West Georgia: Punt, from 75 yards out to 87PuntArkansas State: Touchdown, from 57 yards out to 0TouchdownWest Georgia: Fumble Return returned for a touchdown, from 75 yards out to 32Fumble Return TDWest Georgia: Touchdown, from 60 yards out to 0TouchdownWest Georgia: End of half, from 65 yards out to 61End of halfQ3Arkansas State: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 79FumbleWest Georgia: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 21 yards out to 26Interception TDWest Georgia: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 69FumbleArkansas State: Touchdown, from 31 yards out to 0TouchdownWest Georgia: Interception, from 75 yards out to 81InterceptionArkansas State: Field goal, from 39 yards out to 8Field goalWest Georgia: Punt, from 75 yards out to 66PuntArkansas State: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4West Georgia: Punt, from 75 yards out to 51PuntArkansas State: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownWest Georgia: End of game, from 75 yards out to 54End of game

Box score

Arkansas State 52, West Georgia 7

Arkansas State covered −31.5 by 13.5. The total, 59, went over 56.5.

West GeorgiaArkansas StateTotal yardsWest Georgia 246Arkansas State 391246391Passing yardsWest Georgia 174Arkansas State 135174135Rushing yardsWest Georgia 72Arkansas State 25672256First downsWest Georgia 13Arkansas State 211321TurnoversWest Georgia 4Arkansas State 141Time of possessionWest Georgia 27:58Arkansas State 32:0227:5832:02
Team totalsWest GeorgiaArkansas State
Total yards246391
Passing19 of 34, 174 yds13 of 17, 135 yds
Rushing24 for 72 yds40 for 256 yds
First downs1321
Third down7 of 155 of 8
Fourth down1 of 11 of 1
Turnovers41
Penalties12 for 97 yds6 for 60 yds
Time of possession27:5832:02

West Georgia leaders

  • Passing Colton FitzGerald 14 of 24, 149 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing Christian Monfort 6 for 20 yds; Shammai Gates 4 for 18 yds
  • Receiving T.J. Lockley 6 for 76 yds, 1 TD; DK Daniel 2 for 34 yds

Arkansas State leaders

  • Passing Trey Owens 13 of 17, 135 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Solomon Baggett 8 for 70 yds, 1 TD; James Lee 3 for 57 yds
  • Receiving Chauncy Cobb 4 for 54 yds, 1 TD; Jaylen Bonelli 2 for 41 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

93° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 3 mph from the north-northeast, gusts to 6

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 58 other games played at Centennial Bank Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 75°, with about 7 in 10 games between 66° and 82°.

Game-day temperatures at Centennial Bank Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Arkansas State favoredWest Georgia favored100%Win chanceArkansas StateRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Arkansas State favoredWest Georgia favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:52 left6:03 p.m.
West Georgia 0, Arkansas State 0 · Arkansas State 98% to win
no rain · wind 3 mph from the north · 92°
Hurst 5-yd pass to Leverett
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Jonesboro airport, 1.6 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

West Georgia · 0-2

Rated 213th in our preseason ratings, 212th now.

Two straight losses.

L 10-24 vs Chattanooga #171 of 668

lost by 14 as a 3.5-point underdog

West Georgia lost 10-24 vs Chattanooga. Chance to win started at 48%, low 1%, high 76%.

Last three games · 2025 season

Arkansas State · 7-6

Rated 160th in our preseason ratings, 161st now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 34-28 vs Missouri State #138 of 667

won by 6 as a 1.5-point favorite

Arkansas State won 34-28 vs Missouri State. Chance to win started at 65%, low 62%, high better than 99%.

W 30-29 @ App State #151 of 667

won by 1 as a 1.5-point favorite

Arkansas State won 30-29 at App State. Chance to win started at 43%, low 11%, high better than 99%.

L 30-34 vs Louisiana #115 of 667

lost by 4 as a 2.5-point favorite

Arkansas State lost 30-34 vs Louisiana. Chance to win started at 66%, low under 1%, high 86%.

L 21-27 vs Southern Miss #67 of 667

lost by 6 as a 6.5-point underdog

Arkansas State lost 21-27 vs Southern Miss. Chance to win started at 29%, low under 1%, high 52%.

W 23-10 @ Troy #98 of 667

won by 13 as a 7.5-point underdog

Arkansas State won 23-10 at Troy. Chance to win started at 23%, low 21%, high 99%.

W 34-24 vs Georgia Southern #141 of 667

won by 10 as a 1.5-point favorite

Arkansas State won 34-24 vs Georgia Southern. Chance to win started at 58%, low 13%, high better than 99%.

W 15-14 @ South Alabama #109 of 667

won by 1 as an 8.5-point underdog

Arkansas State won 15-14 at South Alabama. Chance to win started at 22%, low 4%, high better than 99%.

W 31-30 vs Texas State #72 of 667

won by 1 as a 14.5-point underdog

Arkansas State won 31-30 vs Texas State. Chance to win started at 21%, low 6%, high better than 99%.

L 16-28 @ UL Monroe #120 of 667

lost by 12 as a 1.5-point underdog

Arkansas State lost 16-28 at UL Monroe. Chance to win started at 42%, low under 1%, high 79%.

L 21-28 @ Kennesaw State #164 of 667

lost by 7 as a 4.5-point favorite

Arkansas State lost 21-28 at Kennesaw State. Chance to win started at 57%, low 1%, high 57%.

L 16-24 vs Iowa StateTop 25 #43 of 667

lost by 8 as a 20.5-point underdog

Arkansas State lost 16-24 vs Iowa State. Chance to win started at 12%, low 1%, high 29%.

L 14-56 @ Arkansas #21 of 667

lost by 42 as a 24.5-point underdog

W 42-24 vs Southeast Missouri State #162 of 667

won by 18 as a 15.5-point favorite

Arkansas State won 42-24 vs Southeast Missouri State. Chance to win started at 89%, low 79%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Arkansas State

  • Wk 1Lat Memphis24-42

West Georgia

Wk 1: L 10-24 vs Chattanooga▼14ChattanoogaWk 1: L 0-47 at Kennesaw State▼47Kennesaw State
  • Wk 1Lvs Chattanooga10-24
  • Wk 1Lat Kennesaw State0-47

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Arkansas State’s chances here.

50-50Model · 83%Line · 99%West GeorgiaArkansas State

Arkansas State favored by 31.5 · Total 56.5

How games like this usually go

Arkansas State by 31.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The books’ cut: 2.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 89° at kickoff.

West Georgia at Arkansas State · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Centennial Bank Stadium, Jonesboro

  • 89°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 77weather score, Mixed
  • 2ndbest of the day's 5 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's five kickoff times. At Centennial Bank Stadium that day, a 6:45 pm kickoff would have scored 86, against 77 at 6 pm.

  • 11 am: 49, Harsh
  • 2:30 pm: 49, Harsh
  • 3:15 pm: 51, Rough
  • 6 pm: 77, Mixed (this game)
  • 6:45 pm: 86, Mixed

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Arkansas State is worth +4.3 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 54th percentile.

51% at home, 31% on the road against FBS opponents (21-20 home, 16-35 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.7 at home vs. away over 100 games — inside the ±5.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 352 miles to get here.

Where next