North Dakota routs St. Thomas (MN) 62-26
Team pages: St. Thomas (MN) · North Dakota
North Dakota routed St. Thomas (MN) 62-26. Share this game
We had North Dakota favored. It won.
Next: St. Thomas (MN) beat Northern Michigan 56-14, Sat Sep 12
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave North Dakota a 78% chance, and the closing betting line (North Dakota was a 28.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.
North Dakota led by 20 after the first quarter and by 29 at the half.
North Dakota 62-26 St. Thomas (MN)
North Dakota wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.St. Thomas (MN) 26-62 North DakotaSt. Thomas (MN) lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (North Dakota -28.5), at 98% for North Dakota (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
North Dakota scored on 8 of its 13 drives; St. Thomas (MN) on 4 of its 13.
North Dakota’s drives are teal, St. Thomas (MN)’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
North Dakota 62, St. Thomas (MN) 26
North Dakota covered −28.5 by 7.5. The total, 88, went over 53.5.
St. Thomas (MN) leaders
- Passing Anthony Policare 12 of 24, 128 yds, 1 INT
- Rushing Mordecai Ford 6 for 26 yds; Noah Long 7 for 20 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Stefano Giovannelli 3 for 75 yds; Pierce McCrary 5 for 67 yds
North Dakota leaders
- Passing Jerry Kaminski 23 of 29, 233 yds, 5 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Charles Langama 11 for 120 yds, 1 TD; Colton Brunell 11 for 65 yds
- Receiving Deng Deng 4 for 82 yds, 1 TD; Korey Tai 6 for 61 yds, 2 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
St. Thomas (MN) · 7-5
Rated 159th in our preseason ratings, 159th now.
1-2 in its last three, including a 7-point win over Drake as a 2.5-point underdog.
L 7-62 @ North Dakota State #47 of 667
lost by 55 as a 33.5-point underdog
L 9-23 vs Presbyterian #144 of 667
lost by 14 as a 5.5-point favorite
W 20-13 @ Drake #155 of 667
won by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 45-0 vs Marist #241 of 667
won by 45 as a 14-point favorite
W 52-10 @ Stetson #275 of 667
won by 42 as a 25.5-point favorite
W 55-17 vs Valparaiso #273 of 667
won by 38 as a 27.5-point favorite
W 57-13 @ Davidson #263 of 667
won by 44 as a 21.5-point favorite
L 14-21 vs Butler #212 of 667
lost by 7 as a 6.5-point favorite
L 27-30 @ San Diego #179 of 667
lost by 3 as a 1-point underdog
W 20-7 @ Northern Michigan #414 of 667
L 30-37 @ Idaho #156 of 667
lost by 7 as a 21.5-point underdog
W 35-13 vs Lindenwood #208 of 667
won by 22 as a 6.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
North Dakota · 8-6
Rated 123rd in our preseason ratings, 123rd now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 13-31 @ Tarleton State #62 of 667
W 31-6 @ Tennessee Tech #122 of 667
won by 25 as a 2-point favorite
L 31-34 vs South Dakota State #120 of 667
lost by 3 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 35-17 @ Murray State #266 of 667
won by 18 as a 34-point favorite
L 10-15 vs North Dakota State #56 of 667
lost by 5 as a 10.5-point underdog
L 21-26 @ South Dakota #139 of 667
lost by 5 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 46-17 vs Indiana State #233 of 667
won by 29 as a 30-point favorite
W 38-19 @ Southern Illinois #144 of 667
won by 19 as a 3-point favorite
W 35-17 vs Youngstown State #173 of 667
won by 18 as a 9-point favorite
W 35-7 @ Northern Iowa #227 of 667
won by 28 as a 15-point favorite
W 58-7 vs Valparaiso #263 of 667
won by 51 as a 44-point favorite
L 23-24 @ Montana #119 of 667
lost by 1 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 50-20 vs Portland State #233 of 667
won by 30 as a 36.5-point favorite
L 35-38 @ Kansas StateTop 25 #38 of 667
lost by 3 as a 27.5-point underdog
Week by week
North Dakota
- Wk 1Wvs Long Island University42-21
St. Thomas (MN)
- Wk 1Wvs Winona State15-9
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on North Dakota’s chances here.
North Dakota favored by 28.5 · Total 53.5
How games like this usually go
North Dakota by 28.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward North Dakota.
The total rose 1 point.
Spread: −27.5 → −28.5 · Total: 52.5 → 53.5
Home field
North Dakota is worth +10.4 points (±6.5) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 100th percentile.
50% at home, 14% on the road against FBS opponents (3-3 home, 2-12 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +6.2 at home vs. away over 55 games — inside the ±7.2 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Indoors — dome hosts have beaten the number by about a point and a half more than outdoor ones, on a small sample. The visitors travel about 279 miles to get here.