San José State 20-16 Hawai'i (Oct 3, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: San José State · Hawai'i

San José State3-220

Hawai'i1-416Final

Sat, Oct 3 · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, Hawaii · Crowd 13,366MW+

San José State beat Hawai'i 20-16.

We had Hawai'i favored. San José State won.

Next: San José State lost to Wyoming 16-13, Fri Oct 9

Next: Hawai'i lost to Arizona State 30-12, Sat Oct 10

Top comment in the game thread

Only sickos are up at 2:30 AM est watching this game. I love college football.

Q4 12:28 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 3

How it swung

The turning point: Alejado incomplete to Delgadillo, turnover on downs (Q4, 0:02). San José State went from 75% to 100% to win. Fans right then: “Hawaii test = complete” r/CFB game thread

Before kickoff, our ratings gave San José State a 37% chance, and the closing betting line (San José State was a 2.5-point underdog) put it at 42%.

The edge changed hands 5 times before San José State won it.

Up to 72% in the first quarter, then Hawai'i lost it.

FinalSan José State 20-16 Hawai'iSan José State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q3 3:20Alejado 58-yd TD pass to Alves, cuts it to 14-13San José State 69% → 51% (−18)
2Q4 0:024th and 7Alejado incomplete to Delgadillo, turnover on downsSan José State 75% → 100% (+25)

The two plays that swung it

1Q3 3:20Alejado 58-yd TD pass to Alves, cuts it to 14-13Hawai'i 31% → 49% (+18)
2Q4 0:024th and 7Alejado incomplete to Delgadillo, turnover on downsHawai'i 25% → 0% (−25)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q4 12:28Olvera-Harle kicks a 44-yard field goal to make it 17-16Quoted at the top of the page.
Q4 7:48Sinatra misses a 41-yard field goal, keeping Hawaii ahead 16-17 with 7:48 leftA Hawaii TD drive would hit like crack nowr/CFB game thread
Q4 7:36Womack intercepts Alejado as SJSU leads 17-16 with 7:36 leftAlejado what you doing :\r/CFB game thread
Q4 0:18Hawaii fans mock their own team's low IQ final drive ending in turnover on downsHawaii test = completer/CFB game threadOh wow.....brutal sequence there for Hawaiir/CFB game thread

San José State’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Hawai'i -2.5), at 34% for San José State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Hawai'i or San José State flair (93 and 35); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Every drive

San José State scored on 4 of its 11 drives; Hawai'i on 4 of its 12.

San José State’s drives are teal, Hawai'i’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Hawai'i’s side

Hawai'i’s best moment: Alejado 58-yd TD pass to Alves, cuts it to 14-13 (Q3 3:20). It lifted Hawai'i’s win chance by 18 points.

How Hawai'i fans took it: “Ggs sickos. See y’all next week.” r/CFB game thread

“A game that only took 3:14?!! (Ad executives pounding their fists on a table)”

A San José State fan

When fans got loud

Busy

It came down to the finish, and so did the noise.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.

What it cost

San José State’s chance to win the conference rose from 3% to 5%.

Win the conference

San José State · won3% → ▲5%

Hawai'i · lost1% → ▼0%

Before the game (October 3, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

San José State 20, Hawai'i 16

San José State covered +2.5 by 6.5. The total, 36, stayed under 51.5.

Team totals	San José State	Hawai'i
Total yards	324	438
Passing	19 of 28, 246 yds	23 of 38, 341 yds
Rushing	34 for 78 yds	25 for 97 yds
First downs	16	18
Third down	4 of 15	4 of 13
Fourth down	2 of 2	0 of 2
Turnovers	0	2
Penalties	6 for 65 yds	12 for 85 yds
Time of possession	29:59	30:01

San José State leaders

Passing Luke Weaver 19 of 28, 246 yds, 2 TD
Rushing Jabari Bates 27 for 74 yds; Viliami Teu 3 for 14 yds
Receiving Carson Clark 5 for 74 yds, 1 TD; Cooper Hoch 3 for 46 yds

Hawai'i leaders

Passing Micah Alejado 23 of 35, 341 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
Rushing Micah Alejado 12 for 36 yds; Devon Rice 6 for 34 yds
Receiving Devin Alves 3 for 121 yds, 1 TD; Carson Brown 2 for 42 yds

No rain through the game

81° at kickoff · no rain recorded

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Fourth quarter, 0:02 left9:13 p.m.

San José State 20, Hawai'i 16 · Hawai'i 0% to win

no rain · 79°

Alejado incomplete to Delgadillo, turnover on downs

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last 4 games

San José State · 2-2

Rated 151st in our preseason ratings, 140th now, up 11 spots.

2-2 in its last 4, including a 6-point win over Eastern Michigan as a 1.5-point underdog.

L 10-26 vs Fresno State #53 of 668

lost by 16 as a 4-point underdog

W 30-20 vs Cal Poly #215 of 668

won by 10 as a 21.5-point favorite

W 27-21 @ Eastern Michigan #101 of 668

won by 6 as a 1.5-point underdog

L 26-42 @ USCTop 25 #30 of 668

lost by 16 as a 37.5-point underdog

Last 4 games

Hawai'i · 1-3

Rated 59th in our preseason ratings, 99th now.

1-3 in its last 4 — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 10-27 @ Wyoming #121 of 668

lost by 17 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 29-19 vs New Mexico State #140 of 668

won by 10 as a 7.5-point favorite

L 6-21 vs UNLV #91 of 668

lost by 15 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 27-37 @ Stanford #93 of 668

lost by 10 as a 4.5-point underdog

Week by week

Hawai'i

Wk 1Lat Stanford27-37
Wk 1Lvs UNLV6-21
Wk 2Wvs New Mexico State29-19
Wk 4Lat Wyoming10-27

San José State

Wk 1Lat USC26-42
Wk 1Wat Eastern Michigan27-21
Wk 2Wvs Cal Poly30-20
Wk 3Lvs Fresno State10-26

Power rating by week

Hawai'i is rated 3.4 points ahead as of week 4. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Hawai'i’s explosive plays against San José State, 62 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Hawai'i’s explosive plays against San José State’s defense
Hawai'i offense, 13th percentile · San José State defense, 75th
Hawai'i’s passing EPA against San José State’s defense
Hawai'i offense, 14th percentile · San José State defense, 65th
San José State’s EPA/play against Hawai'i’s defense
San José State offense, 48th percentile · Hawai'i defense, 12th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

San José StateHawai'i

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

San José State leads the series 22-21-1

44 meetings since 1955 · San José State has won the last 5

2025San José State 45-38
2023San José State 35-0
2022San José State 27-14
2021San José State 17-13
2020San José State 35-24

Each line is Hawai'i’s chance to win through that meeting. Hawai'i is 2-3 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

San José State fans are in a better mood than Hawai'i fans (56th vs 7th among FBS fanbases), even with Hawai'i favored.

Hawai'i favored by 2.5 · Total 51.5

How games like this usually go

Hawai'i by 2.5, on the usual path until 0:02 left in the fourth

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 252 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward San José State.

The total fell 1 point.

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Hawai'i is worth +5.9 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 80th percentile.

58% at home, 27% on the road against FBS opponents (29-21 home, 13-35 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +4.5 at home vs. away over 105 games — inside the ±6.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 2,412 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Hawai'i 44, San José State 41Sep 29, 2018

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Hawai'i10th0-2
San José State6th0-0

Full Mountain West standings

San José State beats Hawai'i 20-16