No. 18 Tennessee beats Georgia Tech 45-24

No. 18 Tennessee2-045
Georgia Tech0-224Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, Ga. · Crowd 52,113ESPN

No. 18 Tennessee beat Georgia Tech 45-24.

We had Tennessee favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

They have called 2 unsportsmanlike penalties with no video or explanation.

Q4 4:43 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 12

How it swung

The turning point: Mendoza intercepted by Lane at the Georgia Tech 41 and returned for a TD (Q2, 11:24). Tennessee went from 62% to 86% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Tennessee a 67% chance, and the closing betting line (Tennessee was a 12.5-point favorite) put it at 84%.

Favored the whole way: Tennessee never fell below 62%.

Georgia Tech never had better than a 38% chance.

Blocked punt TDGeorgia Tech · Q1 5:49Pick-sixTennessee · Q2 11:24
FinalTennessee 45-24 Georgia TechTennessee wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q496% at halfTennesseeWon45-2412−15+24ScoresTennesseeG. TechTennessee fans: 1 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 11 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 1 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 13 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 0 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 0 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q496% at halfTennesseeWon45-2412ScoresTenness…G. TechTennessee fans: 1 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 11 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 1 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 13 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 11 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 0 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 0 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q44% at halfTennesseeLost24-4512+15−24ScoresG. TechTennesseeGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 0 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 0 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 1 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 11 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 1 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 13 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 11 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q44% at halfTennesseeLost24-4512ScoresG. TechTenness…Georgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 0 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 0 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 8 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 7 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 1 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 5 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 6 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 2 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 3 comments a minuteGeorgia Tech fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 1 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 11 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 1 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 4 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 3 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 7 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 6 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 2 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 9 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 8 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 5 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 13 comments a minuteTennessee fans: 11 comments a minute

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 5:49Special teamsSessions 3-yd TD return of a blocked punt, Georgia Tech goes ahead 10-7Tennessee 84% → 69% (−15)
  2. 2Q2 11:24InterceptionMendoza intercepted by Lane at the Georgia Tech 41 and returned for a TDTennessee 62% → 86% (+24)

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q1 5:49Special teamsSessions 3-yd TD return of a blocked punt, Georgia Tech goes ahead 10-7Georgia Tech 16% → 31% (+15)
  2. 2Q2 11:24InterceptionMendoza intercepted by Lane at the Georgia Tech 41 and returned for a TDGeorgia Tech 38% → 14% (−24)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q1 12:45Brandon throws touchdown pass to Davis as fans chant obscenitiesFaizon to Davis this year is gonna be sooo goodr/CFB game thread
  2. Q4 13:30Fans rip Key's decision to go for it on fourth down instead of kicking a field goalis Key high? why would ever run thatr/CFB game thread"Let's wait until fourth down to REALLY try"r/CFB game thread
  3. Q4 4:43Fans criticize Heupel after two unsportsmanlike penalties with no replay shownQuoted at the top of the page.Unsportsmanlike for what exactly?r/CFB game thread
Tennessee’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Tennessee -12.5), at 77% for Tennessee (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Georgia Tech or Tennessee flair (816 and 1,106); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Tennessee’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 12:22Brandon 25-yd TD pass to DavisTennessee goes ahead 7-0Q1, 12:22 · Tennessee 7, Georgia Tech 0▲7%Tennessee’s chance to win, 83% to 90%▲7%Tennessee’s chance to win, 83% to 90%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q1, 7:47Mendoza sacked for a 4-yd lossQ1, 7:47 · Tennessee 7, Georgia Tech 0▲2%Tennessee’s chance to win, 81% to 83%▲2%Tennessee’s chance to win, 81% to 83%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q1, 5:49Sessions 3-yd TD return of a blocked puntGeorgia Tech goes ahead 10-7Q1, 5:49 · Tennessee 7, Georgia Tech 10▼15%Tennessee’s chance to win, 84% to 69%▼15%Tennessee’s chance to win, 84% to 69%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 11:24Mendoza intercepted by Lane at the Georgia Tech 41returned for a TDQ2, 11:24 · Tennessee 17, Georgia Tech 10▲24%Tennessee’s chance to win, 62% to 86%▲24%Tennessee’s chance to win, 62% to 86%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 4:21Brandon 20-yd TD pass to StaleyTennessee leads 24-10Q2, 4:21 · Tennessee 24, Georgia Tech 10▲5%Tennessee’s chance to win, 91% to 96%▲5%Tennessee’s chance to win, 91% to 96%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q2, 0:29Mendoza intercepted by Telander at the UT17returned 12 yardsQ2, 0:29 · Tennessee 24, Georgia Tech 1024-10score after the play24-10score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q3, 11:41Bishop 17-yd TD runTennessee leads 31-10Q3, 11:41 · Tennessee 31, Georgia Tech 1031-10score after the play31-10score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  8. Q3, 7:10Mendoza 2-yd TD pass to Haynescuts it to 31-17Q3, 7:10 · Tennessee 31, Georgia Tech 1731-17score after the play31-17score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  9. Q4, 14:53Mendoza sacked for a 7-yd lossQ4, 14:53 · Tennessee 31, Georgia Tech 1731-17score after the play31-17score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  10. Q4, 4:25Bishop 29-yd TD runTennessee leads 38-17Q4, 4:25 · Tennessee 38, Georgia Tech 1738-17score after the play38-17score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  11. Q4, 1:39Haynes 2-yd TD runcuts it to 38-24Q4, 1:39 · Tennessee 38, Georgia Tech 2438-24score after the play38-24score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

Tennessee scored on 7 of its 11 drives; Georgia Tech on 3 of its 11.

Tennessee’s drives are teal, Georgia Tech’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Georgia Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69PuntTennessee: Touchdown, from 63 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 12Field goalTennessee: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownTennessee: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 14Field goalQ2Georgia Tech: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 75 yards out to 56Interception TDGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntTennessee: Punt, from 90 yards out to 64PuntGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 84 yards out to 80PuntTennessee: Touchdown, from 55 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Interception, from 75 yards out to 23InterceptionTennessee: End of half, from 71 yards out to 67End of halfQ3Tennessee: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownTennessee: Punt, from 75 yards out to 42PuntGeorgia Tech: Turned over on downs, from 80 yards out to 14DownsQ4Tennessee: Punt, from 86 yards out to 74PuntGeorgia Tech: Turned over on downs, from 70 yards out to 77DownsTennessee: Touchdown, from 23 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownTennessee: Touchdown, from 35 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: End of game, from 58 yards out to 19End of game

From Georgia Tech’s side

Georgia Tech’s best moment: Sessions 3-yd TD return of a blocked punt, Georgia Tech goes ahead 10-7 (Q1 5:49). It lifted Georgia Tech’s win chance by 15 points.

How Georgia Tech fans took it: “Last year was our only shot, what a shame” r/CFB game thread

“Well at least Georgia tech has had a touchdown scored while their offense was on the field”
A Tennessee fan

How fans reacted

Quiet

The first quarter is when fans got loud.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was steady.

FirstSecondThirdFourthTennessee fansGeorgia Tech fansusual

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Tennessee fans

heupel“I suspect the GT nerds are hacking into Faizon's helmet and using an AI Heupel voice to mess with him”

Georgia Tech fans

mendoza“Sigh. It is going to be a learning curve. Im not mad at Mendoza but man.”

least“I said it last year, live review coverage should be the standard, it should’ve been a week ago at least”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: run, don, ball, back.

What it cost

Tennessee’s chance to make the playoff rose from 29% to 31%.

Make the playoff

Tennessee · won29% → ▲31%29%▲ 31%
Georgia Tech · lost0% → 0%

Win the conference

Tennessee · won3% → ▲4%
Georgia Tech · lost0% → 0%

Before the game (September 11, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Tennessee 45, Georgia Tech 24

Tennessee covered −12.5 by 8.5. The total, 69, went over 55.5.

TennesseeGeorgia TechTotal yardsTennessee 447Georgia Tech 356447356Passing yardsTennessee 148Georgia Tech 221148221Rushing yardsTennessee 299Georgia Tech 135299135First downsTennessee 24Georgia Tech 252425TurnoversTennessee 0Georgia Tech 202Time of possessionTennessee 28:48Georgia Tech 31:1228:4831:12
Team totalsTennesseeGeorgia Tech
Total yards447356
Passing10 of 21, 148 yds26 of 40, 221 yds
Rushing45 for 299 yds31 for 135 yds
First downs2425
Third down8 of 147 of 13
Fourth down1 of 10 of 2
Turnovers02
Penalties14 for 142 yds5 for 46 yds
Time of possession28:4831:12

Tennessee leaders

  • Passing Faizon Brandon 10 of 21, 148 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing DeSean Bishop 20 for 147 yds, 2 TD; Daune Morris 10 for 98 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Radarious Jackson 3 for 64 yds; Ethan Davis 2 for 26 yds, 1 TD

Georgia Tech leaders

  • Passing Alberto Mendoza 26 of 40, 221 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing Justice Haynes 14 for 81 yds, 1 TD; Malachi Hosley 6 for 40 yds
  • Receiving Kevin Roche Jr. 6 for 66 yds; Dalen Penson 6 for 58 yds

No rain and calm

84° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 3 mph from the south, gusts to 9

September game-day temperatures at Bobby Dodd Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Georgia Tech favoredTennessee favored0%Win chanceGeorgia TechRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Georgia Tech favoredTennessee favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Second quarter, 11:24 left8:11 p.m.
Tennessee 17, Georgia Tech 10 · Georgia Tech 14% to win
no rain · wind 3 mph from the south-southeast · 80°
Mendoza intercepted by Lane at the Georgia Tech 41 and returned for a TD

Jump to

Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Atlanta/fulton Co. airport, 7.3 miles away, and Atlanta/dekalb airport, 8.8 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Tennessee · 8-5

Rated 30th in our preseason ratings, 32nd now.

1-2 in its last three, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

L 28-30 @ IllinoisTop 25 #44 of 667

lost by 2 as a 3-point favorite

Tennessee lost 28-30 vs Illinois. Chance to win started at 48%, low under 1%, high 73%.

L 24-45 vs VanderbiltTop 25 #10 of 667

lost by 21 as a 2.5-point favorite

Tennessee lost 24-45 vs Vanderbilt. Chance to win started at 61%, low under 1%, high 85%.

W 31-11 @ FloridaTop 25 #45 of 667

won by 20 as a 3.5-point favorite

Tennessee won 31-11 at Florida. Chance to win started at 54%, low 54%, high better than 99%.

W 42-9 vs New Mexico State #190 of 667

won by 33 as a 41.5-point favorite

Tennessee won 42-9 vs New Mexico State. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

L 27-33 vs OklahomaTop 25 #16 of 667

lost by 6 as a 2.5-point favorite

Tennessee lost 27-33 vs Oklahoma. Chance to win started at 59%, low under 1%, high 87%.

W 56-34 @ Kentucky #55 of 667

won by 22 as a 7.5-point favorite

Tennessee won 56-34 at Kentucky. Chance to win started at 62%, low 62%, high better than 99%.

L 20-37 @ AlabamaTop 25 #4 of 667

lost by 17 as an 8.5-point underdog

Tennessee lost 20-37 at Alabama. Chance to win started at 22%, low under 1%, high 36%.

W 34-31 vs Arkansas #25 of 667

won by 3 as a 10.5-point favorite

Tennessee won 34-31 vs Arkansas. Chance to win started at 85%, low 53%, high better than 99%.

W 41-34 @ Mississippi State #35 of 667

won by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite

Tennessee won 41-34 at Mississippi State. Chance to win started at 68%, low 18%, high better than 99%.

W 56-24 vs UAB #126 of 667

won by 32 as a 38.5-point favorite

Tennessee won 56-24 vs UAB. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

L 41-44 vs GeorgiaTop 25 #5 of 667

lost by 3 as a 3.5-point underdog

Tennessee lost 41-44 vs Georgia. Chance to win started at 51%, low under 1%, high 88%.

W 72-17 vs East Tennessee State #142 of 667

won by 55 as a 40.5-point favorite

Tennessee won 72-17 vs East Tennessee State. Chance to win started at better than 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

W 45-26 vs Syracuse #52 of 667

won by 19 as a 13.5-point favorite

Tennessee won 45-26 vs Syracuse. Chance to win started at 88%, low 87%, high better than 99%.

Last three games · 2025 season

Georgia Tech · 9-4

Rated 74th in our preseason ratings, 78th now.

Three straight losses.

L 21-25 @ BYUTop 25 #27 of 667

lost by 4 as a 3.5-point underdog

Georgia Tech lost 21-25 vs BYU. Chance to win started at 30%, low 1%, high 84%.

L 9-16 vs GeorgiaTop 25 #9 of 667

lost by 7 as a 15.5-point underdog

Georgia Tech lost 9-16 vs Georgia. Chance to win started at 16%, low under 1%, high 32%.

L 28-42 vs PittsburghTop 25 #36 of 667

lost by 14 as a 2.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech lost 28-42 vs Pittsburgh. Chance to win started at 64%, low 1%, high 67%.

W 36-34 @ Boston College #121 of 667

won by 2 as a 16.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech won 36-34 at Boston College. Chance to win started at 83%, low 24%, high better than 99%.

L 36-48 @ NC State #45 of 667

lost by 12 as a 4.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech lost 36-48 at NC State. Chance to win started at 52%, low under 1%, high 72%.

W 41-16 vs Syracuse #79 of 667

won by 25 as a 17.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech won 41-16 vs Syracuse. Chance to win started at 93%, low 86%, high better than 99%.

W 27-18 @ Duke #52 of 667

won by 9 as a 3.5-point underdog

Georgia Tech won 27-18 at Duke. Chance to win started at 29%, low 20%, high 97%.

W 35-20 vs Virginia Tech #81 of 667

won by 15 as a 14.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech won 35-20 vs Virginia Tech. Chance to win started at 88%, low 88%, high better than 99%.

W 30-29 @ Wake Forest #81 of 667

won by 1 as an 11.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech won 30-29 at Wake Forest. Chance to win started at 72%, low 10%, high better than 99%.

W 45-24 vs Temple #119 of 667

won by 21 as a 24.5-point favorite

W 24-21 vs ClemsonTop 25 #19 of 667

won by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog

Georgia Tech won 24-21 vs Clemson. Chance to win started at 54%, low 39%, high better than 99%.

W 59-12 vs Gardner-Webb #165 of 667

won by 47 as a 37.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech won 59-12 vs Gardner-Webb. Chance to win started at 98%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

W 27-20 @ Colorado #35 of 667

won by 7 as a 3.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech won 27-20 at Colorado. Chance to win started at 54%, low 25%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Georgia Tech

  • Wk 1Lvs Colorado13-14

Tennessee

  • Wk 1Wvs Furman56-9

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Tennessee’s rushing EPA against Georgia Tech, 66 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Tennessee’s rushing EPA against Georgia Tech’s defense

    66 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Tennessee offense, 95th percentile · Georgia Tech defense, 29th

  2. Tennessee’s EPA/play against Georgia Tech’s defense

    47 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Tennessee offense, 63rd percentile · Georgia Tech defense, 16th

  3. Georgia Tech’s explosive plays against Tennessee’s defense

    32 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Georgia Tech offense, 63rd percentile · Tennessee defense, 95th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

TennesseeGeorgia Tech
EPA/play, offense
Tennessee · 63Georgia Tech · 63
EPA/play, defense
Tennessee · 96Georgia Tech · 16
Success rate, offense
Tennessee · 66Georgia Tech · 61
Success rate, defense
Tennessee · 75Georgia Tech · 33
Explosive-play rate, offense
Tennessee · 24Georgia Tech · 63
Explosive-play rate, defense
Tennessee · 95Georgia Tech · 31
Rush EPA, offense
Tennessee · 95Georgia Tech · 45
Rush EPA, defense
Tennessee · 67Georgia Tech · 29
Pass EPA, offense
Tennessee · 36Georgia Tech · 73
Pass EPA, defense
Tennessee · 95Georgia Tech · 16

The series

Tennessee leads the series 25-17-2

44 meetings since 1902 · Tennessee has won the last 2

Georgia Tech wonTennessee won1902: Tennessee by 41903: Tennessee by 111904: Georgia Tech by 21905: Georgia Tech by 451907: Georgia Tech by 21908: Tennessee by 11909: Georgia Tech by 291911: Georgia Tech by 241946: Tennessee by 41947: Georgia Tech by 271948: Tennessee by 71949: Georgia Tech by 171954: Georgia Tech by 211955: tie1956: Tennessee by 61957: Tennessee by 151958: Georgia Tech by 141959: Georgia Tech by 71960: Georgia Tech by 71961: Tennessee by 41962: Georgia Tech by 171963: Georgia Tech by 161964: Tennessee by 81965: Tennessee by 141966: Georgia Tech by 31967: Tennessee by 111968: Tennessee by 171969: Tennessee by 181970: Tennessee by 111971: Tennessee by 41972: Tennessee by 311973: Tennessee by 61976: Tennessee by 351977: Georgia Tech by 161979: Tennessee by 311980: Tennessee by 131981: Tennessee by 31982: Georgia Tech by 101983: Tennessee by 341984: Tennessee by 31985: tie1986: Georgia Tech by 11987: Tennessee by 142017: Tennessee by 119022017
  • 2017 · neutral siteTennessee 42-41
  • 1987Tennessee 29-15
  • 1986Georgia Tech 14-13
  • 1985Tie 6-6
  • 1984Tennessee 24-21

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Tennessee fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (42nd among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

  • Model · 33%
  • Line · 16%
  • Georgia Tech fans · 7th
  • Tennessee fans · 42nd

Tennessee favored by 12.5 · Total 55.5

How games like this usually go

Tennessee by 12.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 4 points toward Tennessee.

opened +8.5now +12.5

The total rose 0.5 points.

opened 55now 55.5

Spread: +8.5 → +12.5 · Total: 55 → 55.5

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 84° at kickoff.

Tennessee at Georgia Tech · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta

  • 84°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 89weather score, Mixed
  • 2ndbest of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Bobby Dodd Stadium that day, a 7:30 pm kickoff would have scored 95, against 89 at 7 pm.

  • noon: 85, Mixed
  • 1 pm: 76, Mixed
  • 2 pm: 68, Rough
  • 3:30 pm: 62, Rough
  • 6 pm: 79, Mixed
  • 7 pm: 89, Mixed (this game)
  • 7:30 pm: 95, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Georgia Tech has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — −0.1 points (±4.1), home against road — 3rd percentile of FBS.

45% at home, 40% on the road against FBS opponents (20-24 home, 17-26 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -7.7 at home vs. away over 94 games — outside the ±6.1 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 153 miles to get here.

The story going in

Last meeting in our History pages

Where next