Demond Williams Jr. is one of the most explosive players in college football, and the money and the portal both came calling. He turned them down to run it back at Washington -- the dynamo who decided to stay.
QB · Washington · Jr. · #1
5′11″ · 191 lb · Chandler, AZ · Basha HS
CFB Index 77 · #19 of 146 QBs
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
Demond Williams Jr. is one of the most explosive players in college football, and the money and the portal both came calling. He turned them down to run it back at Washington -- the dynamo who decided to stay.
Every angle we can check here reads about where you'd expect this season.
76thattention percentile · vs QBs
89thproduction percentile · vs QBs
The story
In 2025 he threw for 3,065 yards with 25 touchdowns against just eight interceptions and added 611 yards and six scores on the ground, starting all 13 games in Jedd Fisch's quarterback-friendly offense. The dual-threat juice is obvious; the part that separates him is that the accuracy is real too -- he completed 78 percent as a 2024 freshman. When LSU and the portal came knocking with serious money, he declared himself fully committed to Washington. The forward stakes are simple ascension: he's already one of the country's most dynamic players, and a full season as the entrenched, unquestioned starter is the kind of runway that turns a dynamo into a Heisman name. For Williams, 2026 is the leap from electric to elite.
He was winning awards before he was old enough to be a story.
The week the volume broke through — put up 38 yds at Penn State.Penn State · L 6-352024
Williams is a rare quarterback who grades elite in both phases. On the ground our play-by-play is almost off the chart -- 98th-percentile EPA per carry, 98th-percentile explosive-run rate, a 90th-percentile rushing success rate. Through the air he's not just a runner who throws: a 94th-percentile passing success rate, a 92nd-percentile completion rate, and an 81st-percentile EPA per dropback, with the arm to hit explosive throws (95th percentile). The one honest wart is a 22nd-percentile sack rate -- he holds the ball and takes hits, the flip side of a playmaker who trusts his legs to extend everything. He's a true dual-threat in the modern mold: accurate from the pocket, terrifying out of it, and only just scratching his ceiling.
Point color shows the opponent's defensive strength that week (red = weaker defense, blue = stronger) — dashed line is this player's own season average.
Dominant 32-point win at home against Eastern Washington.
With B. Naone — 2 rec · 103 yds · H. Green — 52.5 yards per punt · 2 punts · 1 inside the 20
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
fact
Week 3 · Eastern Washington · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +5.21(03:31) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep right to #85 B.Naone caught at EWU46, for 75 yards to the EWU01 (#9 M.Mayovsky), 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (03:31) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete deep right to #85 B.Naone caught at EWU46, for 76 yards to the EWU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:20, 1ST DOWN)
Week 3 · Eastern Washington · 2&9 · Q2 · EPA -4.30(11:16) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass intercepted by #23 M.Nixon at EWU01 broken up by #0 M.Broussard #23 M.Nixon return 2 yards to the EWU03 (#2 D.Roebuck)
Week 1 · Washington State · 3&9 · Q4 · EPA +3.33(02:54) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 21 yards gain to the WSU46, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Week 2 · Utah State · 3&9 · Q1 · EPA +3.15(05:04) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #85 B.Naone caught at USU41, for 16 yards to the USU41 (#15 D.Mayes), 1ST DOWN
Week 3 · Eastern Washington · 3&6 · Q2 · EPA +3.11(03:34) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #3 R.Williams caught at EWU00, for 18 yards to the EWU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:30, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)
Week 1 · Washington State · 3&9 · Q1 · EPA +3.03(07:57) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #2 D.Roebuck caught at WSU44, for 14 yards to the WSU42 (#22 J.Tucker), 1ST DOWN
Week 3 · Eastern Washington · 2&6 · Q1 · EPA +2.63(10:56) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #8 C.Lawson caught at EWU17, for 15 yards to the EWU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:50, 1ST DOWN #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)
Week 1 · Washington State · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +2.53(10:14) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #8 C.Lawson caught at WASH42, for 29 yards to the WSU46 (#2 J.Smith), 1ST DOWN
Week 3 · Eastern Washington · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +2.46(05:49) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. pass complete short right to #85 B.Naone caught at WASH38, for 28 yards to the EWU45 (#1 B.Smith), 1ST DOWN
Week 1 · Washington State · 2&5 · Q2 · EPA +2.44(10:18) Shotgun #1 D.Williams Jr. rush left for 5 yards gain to the WSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:09. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #95 T.Robles kick attempt good (H: #45 L.Dunne, LS: #53 R.Kean)
Elite: interception rate (82nd percentile). Strength: fumbles lost (90th percentile).
Real play-by-play efficiency
Interception rate#14 / 74 · 82nd pct
0.9%
Sack rate#18 / 74 · 76th pct
2.7%
Success rate#22 / 74 · 71st pct
49.1%
EPA / dropback#31 / 74 · 59th pct
0.29
Explosive rate#45 / 74 · 40th pct
10.0%
Box-score rates (8)
Fumbles lost#1 / 39 · 90th pct
0
Rush yards#8 / 64 · 88th pct
150
Pass yards#13 / 64 · 80th pct
890
Completion %#15 / 64 · 77th pct
70.6%
Interceptions#10 / 64 · 70th pct
1
Rush TDs#17 / 64 · 57th pct
1
Yards / att#28 / 64 · 56th pct
8.2
Pass TDs#33 / 64 · 41st pct
5
Season trend
Last seasonThis season
EPA / dropback
81st → 59th percentile
Success rate
96th → 71st percentile
Explosive rate
92nd → 40th percentile
Sack rate
22nd → 76th percentile
Interception rate
53rd → 82nd percentile
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).
Passing profile
Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)
Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from
77/110 (70.0%) · 5 TD · 1 INT
110 of 109 attempts matched to play-by-play
109 of 110 attempts charted for true throw depth
Adjusted ANY/A
8.2551 of 126 QBs
Sack rate
2.7%32 of 126 QBs
Rarely sacked (32 of 126 QBs) and still 51 of 126 in Adjusted ANY/A.
Overall 70.0% completion on 110 attempts · 27% completion on 11 deep attempts (20+ air yds).
Passer rating
Zeitgeist Passer Rating
2026 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.
Thin sample: 106 dropbacks
64Zeitgeist Passer Ratingnot ranked until 125 dropbacks
--NCAA passer ratingno box-score line yet
Positive-play rate weight 24%
49.5%79th pct of FBS QBs
share of dropbacks that gained expected points · -3.3% schedule adj.
Yards per attempt weight 56%
7.8479th pct of FBS QBs
sacks excluded · -0.5 schedule adj.
Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)
2.0%95th pct of FBS QBs
the input passer rating cannot see · +0.1% schedule adj.
Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (5 of 111 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. Scaled against the 2025 FBS population until enough 2026 QBs qualify. How ZPR is built.
Splits & context
Splits · Per-game
2026 season · 3 games
Home/Road · Season halves
Home vs Road
YDS/g
TD/g
YPA
INT/g
Home3g
297
1.7
8.4
0.3
First half vs Second half
YDS/g
TD/g
YPA
INT/g
Weeks 1-73g
297
1.7
8.4
0.3
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
2026 season
Head Coach
Jedd Fisch
Pass share
56.3%
112 pass / 87 run
Plays / game
66.3
3 games
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Watch-list name (model)
Our Heisman model has him inside the top 25; he is not on a published award watch list yet.
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
How he plays
Play style
Williams is a rare quarterback who grades elite in both phases. On the ground our play-by-play is almost off the chart -- 98th-percentile EPA per carry, 98th-percentile explosive-run rate, a 90th-percentile rushing success rate. Through the air he's not just a runner who throws: a 94th-percentile passing success rate, a 92nd-percentile completion rate, and an 81st-percentile EPA per dropback, with the arm to hit explosive throws (95th percentile). The one honest wart is a 22nd-percentile sack rate -- he holds the ball and takes hits, the flip side of a playmaker who trusts his legs to extend everything. He's a true dual-threat in the modern mold: accurate from the pocket, terrifying out of it, and only just scratching his ceiling.
Our classifier reads him the same way: extends plays with his feet until something opens up.
Starter
Returning starter at quarterback for a 9-4 Washington team that went -9 in the portal.
DNA match
Player DNA
Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2026 production profile sits closest to Greg Ward Jr.’s 2014 season.
AT WASHINGTON 2025: Earned honorable mention All-Big Ten (coaches) ... also earned a spot on the Big Ten All-Academic team ... started all 13 games at quarterback ... finished the season 246-for-354 for 3,065 yards, 25 touchdown passes and eight interceptions ... also second on the team in…