Texas State 66-27 Colorado State (Oct 15, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Colorado State · Texas State

Colorado State2-427

Texas State3-366Final

Thu, Oct 15 · Bobcat Stadium (TX), San Marcos, Texas · Crowd 16,229CBS Sports Network

Texas State routed Colorado State 66-27.

We had Texas State favored. It won.

Next: Colorado State vs San Diego State, Sat Oct 24 · 6:30 PM ET · Colorado State underdog by 1.5

Next: Texas State vs Utah State, Sat Oct 24 · 7:30 PM ET · Texas State favored by 13.5

Top comment in the game thread

Colorado State has the biggest football operating budget in the Pac12, the highest paid coach in the league, the second highest NIL roster estimate, a nice relatively new stadium…

Q4 14:40 · r/CFB game thread · Thu, Oct 15

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Texas State a 78% chance, and the closing betting line (Texas State was a 15.5-point favorite) put it at 89%.

TargetingQ2 6:20

FinalTexas State 66-27 Colorado StateTexas State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q2 0:08Fans mock the referee for arguing with the coach before the field goalEven the ref is like what you doing coach 😂r/CFB game thread
Q3 11:30Texas State scores to make it 52-27, sparking comments about the high-scoring offensive battleThe anti Boise Stater/CFB game threadOffensive play caller, on thee offensive side? As opposed to calling offensive plays on the defensive side?r/CFB game thread
Q3 2:03Texas State scores touchdown to lead 66-27 in third quarterColorado State has a concept of a defenser/CFB game threadFor the sake of the neighbors I hope Tex State doesn’t have a cannon or train horn.r/CFB game thread
Q4 14:40Texas State fans celebrate their 66-27 lead and massive offensive outputQuoted at the top of the page.

Texas State’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Texas State -15.5), at 89% for Texas State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Texas State or Colorado State flair (120 and 107); both sides share one scale, regulation only.

Every drive

Texas State scored on 10 of its 13 drives; Colorado State on 4 of its 13.

Texas State’s drives are teal, Colorado State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“What is going on in here?”

A fan of another team

When fans got loud

Busy

It was the third quarter that had fans talking the most.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.

What it cost

Colorado State’s chance to win the conference fell from 1% to 0%.

Win the conference

Colorado State · lost1% → ▼0%

Texas State · won6% → ▲7%

Before the game (October 15, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Colorado State plays vs San Diego State on Sat Oct 24 with a 0% chance to win the conference. Texas State plays vs Utah State on Sat Oct 24 with a 7% chance to win the conference.

Box score

Texas State 66, Colorado State 27

Texas State covered −15.5 by 23.5. The total, 93, went over 69.5.

Team totals	Colorado State	Texas State
Total yards	437	716
Passing	26 of 41, 289 yds	14 of 19, 213 yds
Rushing	31 for 148 yds	55 for 503 yds
First downs	18	31
Third down	4 of 15	5 of 9
Fourth down	2 of 5	2 of 2
Turnovers	0	1
Penalties	6 for 77 yds	4 for 30 yds
Time of possession	30:36	29:24

Colorado State leaders

Passing Ksaan Farrar 26 of 41, 289 yds, 2 TD
Rushing Oliver Lundberg-Coleman 7 for 46 yds; Durell Robinson 7 for 31 yds, 2 TD
Receiving Jackson Harper 5 for 91 yds; Tommy Maher 4 for 66 yds

Texas State leaders

Passing Brad Jackson 14 of 19, 213 yds, 1 TD
Rushing Torrance Burgess Jr. 24 for 224 yds, 4 TD; Brad Jackson 13 for 181 yds, 3 TD
Receiving Beau Sparks 2 for 57 yds; Torrance Burgess Jr. 3 for 52 yds

No rain through the game

84° at kickoff · no rain recorded

October game-day temperatures at Bobcat Stadium (TX)

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:55 left7:03 p.m.

Colorado State 0, Texas State 0 · Texas State 89% to win

no rain · 83°

Burgess 2-yd run

Where this weather comes from

Measured at San Marcos (awos) airport, 3.8 miles away, and New Braunfels Muni Apt (was 3r5) airport, 14 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Colorado State · 2-3

Rated 79th in our preseason ratings, 90th now.

Three straight losses.

L 26-56 vs Oregon State #38 of 668

lost by 30 as a 7-point underdog

L 45-59 @ UTSA #17 of 668

lost by 14 as a 14.5-point underdog

L 23-41 vs BYUTop 25 #10 of 668

lost by 18 as a 17.5-point underdog

W 58-24 vs Southern Utah #150 of 668

won by 34 as a 19.5-point favorite

W 35-13 vs Wyoming #112 of 668

won by 22 as a 2.5-point favorite

Last three games

Texas State · 2-3

Rated 34th in our preseason ratings, 32nd now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 29-31 @ San Diego State #70 of 668

lost by 2 as a 10-point favorite

W 63-10 vs Incarnate Word #162 of 668

won by 53 as a 30.5-point favorite

W 49-35 vs North Texas #111 of 668

won by 14 as a 3-point favorite

L 26-31 vs UTSA #14 of 668

lost by 5 as a 1.5-point favorite

L 7-59 @ TexasTop 25 #5 of 668

lost by 52 as a 29.5-point underdog

Week by week

Texas State

Wk 1Lat Texas7-59
Wk 2Lvs UTSA26-31
Wk 3Wvs North Texas49-35
Wk 4Wvs Incarnate Word63-10
Wk 5Lat San Diego State29-31

Colorado State

Wk 1Wvs Wyoming35-13
Wk 2Wvs Southern Utah58-24
Wk 3Lvs BYU23-41
Wk 4Lat UTSA45-59
Wk 5Lvs Oregon State26-56

Power rating by week

Texas State is rated 6.7 points ahead as of week 6. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Texas State’s passing EPA against Colorado State, 95 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Texas State’s EPA/play against Colorado State’s defense
Texas State offense, 95th percentile · Colorado State defense, 2nd
Texas State’s passing EPA against Colorado State’s defense
Texas State offense, 98th percentile · Colorado State defense, 3rd
Colorado State’s explosive plays against Texas State’s defense
Colorado State offense, 96th percentile · Texas State defense, 44th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Colorado StateTexas State

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Colorado State fans are in a better mood than Texas State fans (74th vs 48th among FBS fanbases), even with Texas State favored.

Texas State favored by 15.5 · Total 69.5

How games like this usually go

Texas State by 15.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward Texas State.

The total rose 2 points.

The books’ cut: 4.0%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Texas State is worth +5.3 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 72nd percentile.

47% at home, 23% on the road against FBS opponents (21-24 home, 11-37 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.4 at home vs. away over 100 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 841 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Texas State7th0-1
Colorado State6th0-1

Full Pac-12 standings

Texas State routs Colorado State 66-27