Oregon State 48-30 Washington State (Oct 17, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Washington State · Oregon State

Washington State1-630

Oregon State5-248Final

Sat, Oct 17 · Reser Stadium, Corvallis, Ore. · Crowd 39,257

Oregon State beat Washington State 48-30.

We had Oregon State favored. It won.

Next: Washington State vs Boise State, Sat Oct 24 · 6:00 PM ET · Washington State underdog by 13.5

Next: Oregon State at Fresno State, Sat Oct 31

Top comment in the game thread

A Beaver flair 4 min ago: *feels like Oregon State hasn’t quite gotten in rhythm offensively* Lol. Was that an 80 yard TD?

Q2 4:13 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Oct 17

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Oregon State a 92% chance, and the closing betting line (Oregon State was a 18.5-point favorite) put it at 93%.

Favored the whole way: Oregon State never fell below 90%.

Washington State never had better than a 9% chance.

90-yard TD pass

Oregon State · Q1 4:4688-yard TD pass

Oregon State · Q2 3:59

FinalOregon State 48-30 Washington StateOregon State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 4:46Washington State fans rip Kirby Moore for punting on fourth down before Oregon State scoresYou're 1 - 5 and already down a TD... WTF are you doing punting on 4th and 1 at midfield?r/CFB game threadDefense won’t get super tired if they are only out there for one play atleastr/CFB game thread
Q2 14:31Fans criticize a soft roughing the passer call on Dugger's runDugger sightingr/CFB game threadOne of Oregon's DL has a club and they NEVER call roughing when he swings it aroundr/CFB game thread
Q2 11:12Washington State kicks field goal from one yard, drawing fan outrageFully out on Kirby after choosing to end another possession with a kick.r/CFB game thread
Q2 4:13Oregon State's Newberry scores on an 88-yard touchdown pass from AtkinsonQuoted at the top of the page.NEWBERRY HURDLE TOUCHDOWN I KNOW HES NOT LEGREE BUT IM STILL DOING A FIREBALL SHOT ANYWHOr/CFB game thread
Q2 1:53Eshelman throws deep touchdown pass to Ganashamoorthy as WSU fans celebrateWe might have genuinely been 5–1 with Eshelmanr/CFB game thread
Q3 5:03Officials call pass interference on Oregon State during Eshelman's driveBegging Oregon State to get this CFP spot and not stale ass Boise State.r/CFB game threadThese refs suck ass lmaor/CFB game thread

Oregon State’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Oregon State -18.5), at 92% for Oregon State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Oregon State or Washington State flair (643 and 661); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Every drive

Oregon State scored on 8 of its 13 drives; Washington State on 5 of its 13.

Oregon State’s drives are teal, Washington State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“A Beaver flair 4 min ago: *feels like Oregon State hasn’t quite gotten in rhythm offensively* Lol. Was that an 80 yard TD?”

An Oregon State fan

How fans reacted

Quiet

It was the second quarter that had fans talking the most.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was steady.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Oregon State fans

legree“Legree is over 1,000 on the season, but he needs at least two more receiving yards!”

Washington State fans

pinnick“How tf did moore start pinnick over this guy at all let alone till now?”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: call, ball, back, two.

What it cost

Oregon State’s chance to make the playoff rose from 15% to 18%.

Make the playoff

Washington State · lost0% → 0%

Oregon State · won15% → ▲18%

Win the conference

Washington State · lost1% → ▼0%

Oregon State · won31% → ▲35%

Before the game (October 16, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Washington State plays vs Boise State on Sat Oct 24 with a 0% chance to win the conference. Oregon State plays at Fresno State on Sat Oct 31 with an 18% chance to make the playoff.

Box score

Oregon State 48, Washington State 30

Washington State covered +18.5 by 0.5. The total, 78, went over 52.5.

Team totals	Washington State	Oregon State
Total yards	459	555
Passing	33 of 50, 291 yds	23 of 38, 347 yds
Rushing	30 for 168 yds	33 for 208 yds
First downs	25	24
Third down	7 of 17	5 of 13
Fourth down	3 of 3	2 of 2
Turnovers	1	0
Penalties	6 for 70 yds	6 for 58 yds
Time of possession	30:40	29:20

Washington State leaders

Passing Owen Eshelman 32 of 49, 289 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Owen Eshelman 15 for 136 yds, 1 TD; Kirby Vorhees 6 for 16 yds
Receiving Branden Ganashamoorthy 11 for 147 yds, 1 TD; Daniel Blood 6 for 59 yds, 1 TD

Oregon State leaders

Passing Braden Atkinson 23 of 38, 347 yds, 3 TD
Rushing AJ Newberry 11 for 105 yds; Cornell Hatcher Jr. 10 for 65 yds, 1 TD
Receiving AJ Newberry 5 for 120 yds, 1 TD; Jesse Legree 8 for 108 yds, 2 TD

No rain through the game

66° at kickoff · no rain recorded

The usual here around this date is 55°, with about 7 in 10 games between 47° and 60°.

October game-day temperatures at Reser Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:56 left3:08 p.m.

Washington State 0, Oregon State 0 · Oregon State 92% to win

no rain · 66°

Eshelman incomplete to Ganashamoorthy

Where this weather comes from

Measured at Corvallis Muni airport, 4.3 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Washington State · 1-5

Rated 43rd in our preseason ratings, 75th now.

Three straight losses.

L 16-17 @ Utah State #71 of 668

lost by 1 as a 4-point underdog

L 6-26 vs Fresno State #49 of 668

lost by 20 as a 2.5-point favorite

L 24-34 vs ArizonaTop 25 #26 of 668

lost by 10 as an 11.5-point underdog

W 48-7 vs Duquesne #212 of 668

won by 41 as a 38.5-point favorite

L 7-34 @ Kansas State #25 of 668

lost by 27 as a 17.5-point underdog

L 10-24 @ WashingtonTop 25 #25 of 668

lost by 14 as a 23.5-point underdog

Last three games

Oregon State · 4-2

Rated 69th in our preseason ratings, 25th now, up 44 spots.

Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 66-14 vs San Diego State #94 of 668

won by 52 as a 14.5-point favorite

W 56-26 @ Colorado State #87 of 668

won by 30 as a 7-point favorite

W 33-7 @ UTEP #197 of 668

won by 26 as an 11.5-point favorite

W 52-17 vs Montana #115 of 668

won by 35 as a 17.5-point favorite

L 24-35 vs Texas TechTop 25 #8 of 668

lost by 11 as a 25.5-point underdog

L 20-33 @ HoustonTop 25 #22 of 668

lost by 13 as a 21-point underdog

Week by week

Oregon State

Wk 2Lvs Texas Tech24-35
Wk 3Wvs Montana52-17
Wk 4Wat UTEP33-7
Wk 5Wat Colorado State56-26
Wk 6Wvs San Diego State66-14

Washington State

Wk 2Lat Kansas State7-34
Wk 3Wvs Duquesne48-7
Wk 4Lvs Arizona24-34
Wk 5Lvs Fresno State6-26
Wk 6Lat Utah State16-17

Power rating by week

Oregon State is rated 7.0 points ahead as of week 6. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Washington State’s passing EPA against Oregon State, 68 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Washington State’s passing EPA against Oregon State’s defense
Washington State offense, 8th percentile · Oregon State defense, 76th
Oregon State’s explosive plays against Washington State’s defense
Oregon State offense, 87th percentile · Washington State defense, 26th
Washington State’s EPA/play against Oregon State’s defense
Washington State offense, 6th percentile · Oregon State defense, 56th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Washington StateOregon State

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Washington State leads the series 56-44-3

103 meetings since 1916 · Washington State won the last meeting

2025Washington State 32-8
2025Oregon State 10-7
2024Oregon State 41-38
2023Washington State 38-35
2022Oregon State 24-10

Each line is Oregon State’s chance to win through that meeting. Oregon State is 2-2 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Oregon State fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (59th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

Oregon State favored by 18.5 · Total 52.5

How games like this usually go

Oregon State by 18.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward Oregon State.

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Oregon State is worth +2.7 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 25th percentile.

50% at home, 32% on the road against FBS opponents (23-23 home, 14-30 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.6 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 331 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Oregon State 41, Washington State 38Nov 23, 2024

Our History pages cover 2 of their meetings since 2019.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Oregon State2nd2-0
Washington State7th0-2

Full Pac-12 standings

Oregon State beats Washington State 48-30