Indiana 23-16 Minnesota (Oct 31, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Minnesota · Indiana

Minnesota5-316

No. 4 Indiana8-123Final

Sat, Oct 31 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN), Bloomington, Ind. · Crowd 54,400

No. 4 Indiana beat Minnesota 23-16 in overtime.

We had Indiana favored. It won.

Next: Minnesota vs UCLA, Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 PM ET · Minnesota underdog by 5.5

Next: Indiana vs USC, Sat Nov 14 · Indiana favored by 10

PJ getting a forearm to the nose and trying to play it off got a chuckle from me.

A Minnesota fan

How it swung

The turning point: Drzewiecki 60-yd field goal, Minnesota goes ahead 16-13 (Q4, 0:19). Indiana went from 64% to 17% to win. Fans right then: “Absolutely 0 reason to for Cignetti to let that time run off. Unspeakably stupid move.” r/CFB game thread

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Indiana a 92% chance, and the closing betting line (Indiana was a 20.5-point favorite) put it at 95%.

Down to 17% in the fourth quarter, Indiana came back to win.

Up to 83% in the fourth quarter, then Minnesota lost it.

FinalIndiana 23-16 MinnesotaIndiana wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The five plays that swung it

1Q4 0:19Drzewiecki 60-yd field goal, Minnesota goes ahead 16-13Indiana 64% → 17% (−47)
2Q4 0:13Wilson 33-yd pass to BeckerIndiana 17% → 40% (+23)
3Q4 0:00McAteer 60-yd field goal, ties it 16-16Indiana 40% → 80% (+40)
4OTLindsey 17-yd pass to JenningsIndiana 93% → 66% (−27)
5OTLindsey 5-yd runIndiana 66% → 97% (+31)

The five plays that swung it

1Q4 0:19Drzewiecki 60-yd field goal, Minnesota goes ahead 16-13Minnesota 36% → 83% (+47)
2Q4 0:13Wilson 33-yd pass to BeckerMinnesota 83% → 60% (−23)
3Q4 0:00McAteer 60-yd field goal, ties it 16-16Minnesota 60% → 20% (−40)
4OTLindsey 17-yd pass to JenningsMinnesota 7% → 34% (+27)
5OTLindsey 5-yd runMinnesota 34% → 3% (−31)

Absolutely 0 reason to for Cignetti to let that time run off. Unspeakably stupid move.

Q4 1:13 · r/CFB game thread

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q2 4:31Indiana punter Gowers punts into end zone for Minnesota safetyOur best source of offense is the Indiana punter lolr/CFB game threadCant punt. Can't throw. Can't run. Thank God put defense is goodr/CFB game thread
Q2 1:40Indiana fans lament special teams failures after Radicic misses a 31-yard field goalRadicic used to be great! What happened over the offseason?r/CFB game thread
Q4 9:20Officials overturn Indiana touchdown, ruling Wilson pass incompleteOVERTURN ITr/CFB game threadYou cant re grip the ball falling to the ground out of bounds, incompleter/CFB game thread
Q4 3:05Officials overturn interception call on Lindsey pass to TracyVideo replay review and Josh hoover have been Minnesota's 2 best players today.r/CFB game threadMinnesota got lucky as all hell there with the incomplete pass ruling on that interception. Because that would have been game if they scored.r/CFB game thread
Q4 1:13Fans criticize Cignetti for not calling a timeout after Drzewiecki's 60-yard field goalWhy tf did Indiana just let 30+ seconds run off the clock instead of using a timeout after third down? Dumbass move by Cignetti there.r/CFB game thread

Indiana’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Indiana -20.5), at 94% for Indiana (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Indiana or Minnesota flair (2,143 and 1,279); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Indiana’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Indiana scored on 5 of its 14 drives; Minnesota on 4 of its 14.

Indiana’s drives are teal, Minnesota’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Minnesota’s side

Minnesota’s best moment: Drzewiecki 60-yd field goal, Minnesota goes ahead 16-13 (Q4 0:19). It lifted Minnesota’s win chance by 47 points.

How Minnesota fans took it: “I am void, my soul is cracked” r/CFB game thread

When fans got loud

Firestorm

Fans were loudest as the game came down to the end.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was firestorm; the crowd was firestorm.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Indiana fans

hoover“I know Hoover hasn't been great all season, but im going to keep copium he'll figure it out”

special“This must be the greatest D of all time for us to still be 7-1 with this offense and special teams”

fair“Becker lets like 90% of kicks roll and then fair-catches a ball at the 4 yard line lmao”

injured“Don't worry, if you just keep running out an obviously injured QB who already had accuracy issues, I'm sure he'll turn it around eventually”

Minnesota fans

lindsey“Drake Lindsey ruined this entire game. The Gophers will never have a good QB”

line“8/9 for 9 yards is an absurd stat line. That’s not even a real passing game”

gopher“The treat is the Gopher’s pulling this off after all this referee trickin’ (I’m still delusional)”

count“STOP THE COUNT (I will never give up on this joke)”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: ball, now, need, don.

What it cost

Indiana’s chance to make the playoff rose from 33% to 38%.

Make the playoff

Minnesota · lost1% → ▼0%

Indiana · won33% → ▲38%

Win the conference

Minnesota · lost1% → ▼0%

Indiana · won13% → ▲15%

Before the game (October 30, 2026) → after this result alone, in our model. Other games that weekend move it too, so the team page may differ.

Minnesota plays vs UCLA on Sat Nov 7 with a 0% chance to make the playoff. Indiana plays vs USC on Sat Nov 14 with a 38% chance to make the playoff.

Box score

Indiana 23, Minnesota 16

Minnesota covered +20.5 by 13.5. The total, 39, stayed under 40.5.

Team totals	Minnesota	Indiana
Total yards	215	419
Passing	20 of 37, 120 yds	17 of 36, 275 yds
Rushing	23 for 95 yds	33 for 144 yds
First downs	10	21
Third down	3 of 15	2 of 13
Fourth down	1 of 2	0 of 1
Turnovers	1	2
Penalties	8 for 60 yds	8 for 48 yds
Time of possession	28:27	31:33

Minnesota leaders

Passing Drake Lindsey 20 of 37, 120 yds, 1 TD
Rushing TJ Thomas Jr. 6 for 54 yds; Darius Taylor 7 for 43 yds
Receiving Javon Tracy 7 for 40 yds; Roman Voss 2 for 39 yds, 1 TD

Indiana leaders

Passing Grant Wilson 9 of 17, 156 yds, 1 TD
Rushing Lee Beebe 15 for 84 yds; Turbo Richard 7 for 34 yds
Receiving Charlie Becker 8 for 149 yds, 1 TD; Nick Marsh 4 for 59 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

63° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 6 mph from the east-southeast, gusts to 12

The usual here around this date is 56°, with about 7 in 10 games between 43° and 68°.

October game-day temperatures at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Fourth quarter, 0:19 left7:03 p.m.

Minnesota 16, Indiana 13 · Indiana 17% to win

no rain · wind 5 mph from the east-southeast · 61°

Drzewiecki 60-yd field goal, Minnesota goes ahead 16-13

Measured at Bloomington airport, 5.4 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Minnesota · 5-2

Rated 29th in our preseason ratings, 56th now, down 27 spots.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 3-point win over Iowa as a 7.5-point underdog.

W 13-10 vs IowaTop 25 No. 22 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 7.5-point underdog

L 13-41 @ Purdue No. 79 of 668 teams

lost by 28 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 20-14 vs MichiganTop 25 No. 24 of 668 teams

won by 6 as a 6.5-point underdog

W 27-24 @ WashingtonTop 25 No. 29 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 12.5-point underdog

W 41-7 vs Akron No. 67 of 668 teams

won by 34 as a 22.5-point favorite

L 13-38 vs Mississippi StateTop 25 No. 106 of 668 teams

lost by 25 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 59-7 vs Eastern Illinois No. 200 of 668 teams

won by 52 as a 42.5-point favorite

Last three games

Indiana · 7-1

Rated 8th in our preseason ratings, 3rd now.

2-1 in its last three, 2 over ranked or top-40 competition.

W 13-6 @ MichiganTop 25 No. 25 of 668 teams

won by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite

L 15-19 vs Ohio StateTop 25 No. 1 of 668 teams

lost by 4 as a 3-point underdog

W 20-17 @ Nebraska No. 17 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 9.5-point favorite

W 47-15 @ Rutgers No. 98 of 668 teams

won by 32 as a 24.5-point favorite

W 29-23 vs NorthwesternTop 25 No. 13 of 668 teams

won by 6 as a 20.5-point favorite

W 38-0 vs Western Kentucky No. 58 of 668 teams

won by 38 as a 44.5-point favorite

W 55-0 vs Howard No. 217 of 668 teams

won by 55 as a 57.5-point favorite

W 52-16 vs North Texas No. 123 of 668 teams

won by 36 as a 39.5-point favorite

Week by week

Indiana

Wk 4Wvs Northwestern29-23
Wk 5Wat Rutgers47-15
Wk 6Wat Nebraska20-17
Wk 7Lvs Ohio State15-19
Wk 8Wat Michigan13-6

Minnesota

Wk 3Wvs Akron41-7
Wk 4Wat Washington27-24
Wk 5Wvs Michigan20-14
Wk 6Lat Purdue13-41
Wk 8Wvs Iowa13-10

Power rating by week

Indiana is rated 11.5 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Minnesota’s rushing EPA against Indiana, 83 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Minnesota’s EPA/play against Indiana’s defense
Minnesota offense, 14th percentile · Indiana defense, 94th
Minnesota’s rushing EPA against Indiana’s defense
Minnesota offense, 4th percentile · Indiana defense, 87th
Indiana’s explosive plays against Minnesota’s defense
Indiana offense, 92nd percentile · Minnesota defense, 40th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

MinnesotaIndiana

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Minnesota leads the series 40-26-3

69 meetings since 1906 · Minnesota has won the last 4

2021Minnesota 35-14
2018Minnesota 38-31
2013Minnesota 42-39
2008Minnesota 16-7
2007Indiana 40-20

Each line is Indiana’s chance to win through that meeting. Indiana is 1-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Minnesota fans are in a better mood than Indiana fans (67th percentile vs 55th among FBS fanbases), even with Indiana favored.

Indiana favored by 20.5 · Total 40.5

How games like this usually go

Indiana by 20.5: the game against the usual path

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 275 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Minnesota.

The total fell 5 points.

The books’ cut: 4.1%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Indiana is worth +4.2 points (±4.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 52nd percentile.

61% at home, 48% on the road against FBS opponents (30-19 home, 20-22 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.9 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±5.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 527 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.

Indiana3rd4-1
Minnesota4th3-1

Full Big Ten standings

No. 4 Indiana beats Minnesota 23-16 in overtime