Ole Miss 45-15 Auburn (Oct 31, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Auburn · Ole Miss

Auburn4-415

No. 12 Ole Miss6-245Final

Sat, Oct 31 · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Miss. · Crowd 67,041

No. 12 Ole Miss routed Auburn 45-15.

We had Ole Miss favored. It won.

Next: Auburn vs Arkansas, Sat Nov 7 · 12:45 PM ET · Auburn favored by 10.5

Next: Ole Miss vs Georgia, Sat Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET · Ole Miss underdog by 3.5

Ah yes give me more AI gambling Mr. beast slop ads

An Auburn fan

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Ole Miss an 80% chance, and the closing betting line (Ole Miss was a 10.5-point favorite) put it at 80%.

Defensive lineman touchdown

Ole Miss · Q2 14:57

FinalOle Miss 45-15 AuburnOle Miss wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The play that swung it

1Q2 14:57Echoles 1-yd TD run, Ole Miss goes ahead 7-0Ole Miss 80% → 91% (+11)

The play that swung it

1Q2 14:57Echoles 1-yd TD run, Ole Miss goes ahead 7-0Auburn 20% → 9% (−11)

congrats ole miss. you were probably gonna win anyways but the refs wanted to give an assist

Q3 1:51 · An Auburn fan · r/CFB game thread

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 4:00Ole Miss fans lament Deuce Alexander dropping a perfect pass from T.RayI was not told Cam Coleman would be suiting up for Ole Miss todayr/CFB game thread
Q2 8:17Auburn scores but blocks extra point, leaving fans stunned by the near missThis game is so unserious lolr/CFB game thread
Q2 7:50Auburn's Brown fumbles after contact, Ole Miss recovers the ballOle Miss will rue the day that they hired Pete Golding’s drunk ass to lead their programr/CFB game threadWhy follow your blockers when you can run into five Ole Miss players and fumble amiriter/CFB game thread
Q3 3:35Fans condemn a false fair catch penalty on Auburn's punt returnDL hit the QB in the face, no call. Kick returner puts his hands out, somehow a false fair catch?r/CFB game threadHitting the qb in the face isn't a penalty now? This is beyond ridiculousr/CFB game thread
Q3 1:51Fans claim officials missed a hands to the face penalty on Ole MissIt’s just not even enjoyable watching football now because of how ridiculous these refs have gottenr/CFB game thread

Ole Miss’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Ole Miss -10.5), at 83% for Ole Miss (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Ole Miss or Auburn flair (654 and 741); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Ole Miss’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Ole Miss scored on 7 of its 11 drives; Auburn on 3 of its 11.

Ole Miss’s drives are teal, Auburn’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans peaked in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was busy.

What it cost

Ole Miss’s chance to make the playoff rose from 41% to 46%.

Make the playoff

Auburn · lost1% → 1%

Ole Miss · won41% → ▲46%

Win the conference

Auburn · lost0% → 0%

Ole Miss · won8% → ▲9%

Before the game (October 30, 2026) → after this result alone, in our model. Other games that weekend move it too, so the team page may differ.

Ole Miss plays vs Georgia on Sat Nov 7 with a 46% chance to make the playoff.

Box score

Ole Miss 45, Auburn 15

Ole Miss covered −10.5 by 19.5. The total, 60, went over 58.5.

Team totals	Auburn	Ole Miss
Total yards	312	487
Passing	29 of 43, 249 yds	22 of 35, 263 yds
Rushing	27 for 63 yds	49 for 224 yds
First downs	24	31
Third down	7 of 14	13 of 16
Fourth down	1 of 2	0 of 1
Turnovers	2	1
Penalties	8 for 67 yds	8 for 95 yds
Time of possession	27:22	32:38

Auburn leaders

Passing Byrum Brown 25 of 38, 195 yds, 1 TD
Rushing Jeremiah Cobb 7 for 35 yds; Omar Mabson Ii 6 for 14 yds
Receiving Chas Nimrod 4 for 62 yds, 1 TD; DeShawn Spencer 4 for 62 yds

Ole Miss leaders

Passing Trinidad Chambliss 22 of 34, 263 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
Rushing Shekai Mills-Knight 16 for 71 yds, 1 TD; Trinidad Chambliss 7 for 65 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Horatio Fields 6 for 73 yds, 1 TD; Deuce Alexander 5 for 59 yds

No rain through the game

73° at kickoff · no rain recorded

The usual here around this date is 61°, with about 7 in 10 games between 45° and 73°.

October game-day temperatures at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:53 left11:48 a.m.

Auburn 0, Ole Miss 0 · Ole Miss 83% to win

no rain · 73°

Frazier 4-yd run

Where this weather comes from

Measured at Oxford airport, 1.5 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Auburn · 4-3

Rated 71st in our preseason ratings, 46th now, up 25 spots.

1-2 in its last three, including a 3-point win over Georgia as a 19.5-point underdog.

L 17-38 vs LSUTop 25 No. 6 of 668 teams

lost by 21 as a 7-point underdog

W 27-24 @ GeorgiaTop 25 No. 4 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 19.5-point underdog

L 14-24 @ TennesseeTop 25 No. 26 of 668 teams

lost by 10 as a 6-point underdog

W 21-15 vs Vanderbilt No. 46 of 668 teams

won by 6 as a 10-point favorite

L 39-44 vs FloridaTop 25 No. 17 of 668 teams

lost by 5 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 43-8 vs Southern Miss No. 59 of 668 teams

won by 35 as a 32.5-point favorite

W 17-16 vs Baylor No. 36 of 668 teams

won by 1 as a 6.5-point favorite

Last three games

Ole Miss · 5-2

Rated 12th in our preseason ratings, 10th now.

2-1 in its last three, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

L 27-34 @ TexasTop 25 No. 8 of 668 teams

lost by 7 as a 3-point underdog

W 31-3 vs MissouriTop 25 No. 28 of 668 teams

won by 28 as a 4-point favorite

W 52-17 @ Vanderbilt No. 57 of 668 teams

won by 35 as a 9.5-point favorite

L 28-52 @ FloridaTop 25 No. 11 of 668 teams

lost by 24 as a 4-point underdog

W 32-24 vs LSUTop 25 No. 20 of 668 teams

won by 8 as a 3-point underdog

W 41-9 vs Charlotte No. 162 of 668 teams

won by 32 as a 44.5-point favorite

W 41-38 vs LouisvilleTop 25 No. 58 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 6.5-point favorite

Week by week

Ole Miss

Wk 3Wvs LSU32-24
Wk 4Lat Florida28-52
Wk 6Wat Vanderbilt52-17
Wk 7Wvs Missouri31-3
Wk 8Lat Texas27-34

Auburn

Wk 3Lvs Florida39-44
Wk 4Wvs Vanderbilt21-15
Wk 5Lat Tennessee14-24
Wk 7Wat Georgia27-24
Wk 8Lvs LSU17-38

Power rating by week

Ole Miss is rated 6.7 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Ole Miss’s success rate against Auburn, 66 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Ole Miss’s success rate against Auburn’s defense
Ole Miss offense, 95th percentile · Auburn defense, 29th
Auburn’s explosive plays against Ole Miss’s defense
Auburn offense, 85th percentile · Ole Miss defense, 26th
Ole Miss’s rushing EPA against Auburn’s defense
Ole Miss offense, 91st percentile · Auburn defense, 30th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

AuburnOle Miss

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Auburn leads the series 35-13

48 meetings since 1928 · Ole Miss has won the last 2

2023Ole Miss 28-21
2022Ole Miss 48-34
2021Auburn 31-20
2020Auburn 35-28
2019Auburn 20-14

Each line is Ole Miss’s chance to win through that meeting. Ole Miss is 0-2 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Ole Miss fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (39th percentile among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

Ole Miss favored by 10.5 · Total 58.5

How games like this usually go

Ole Miss by 10.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 448 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The total rose 5 points.

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Ole Miss is worth +5.4 points (±4.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 70th percentile.

75% at home, 46% on the road against FBS opponents (40-13 home, 18-21 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.5 at home vs. away over 99 games — inside the ±5.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 263 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Auburn 31, Ole Miss 20Oct 30, 2021

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.

Ole Miss6th3-2
Auburn13th2-3

Full SEC standings

No. 12 Ole Miss routs Auburn 45-15