UL Monroe at UAB

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Sat, Sep 12 · 7:30 PM · Protective Stadium

How they got here

Last three games · 2025 season

UL Monroe · 3-9

Picked #153 in the preseason · now #167.

Three straight losses.

L 27–30 @ Louisiana #117 of 668

lost by 3 as a 11.5-point underdog

L 14–31 @ Texas State #61 of 668

lost by 17 as a 20.5-point underdog

L 14–26 vs South Alabama #122 of 668

lost by 12 as a 4.5-point underdog

L 6–31 vs Old Dominion #52 of 668

lost by 25 as a 17-point underdog

L 21–49 @ Southern Miss #104 of 668

lost by 28 as a 14-point underdog

L 14–37 vs Troy #83 of 668

lost by 23 as a 5.5-point underdog

L 8–23 @ Coastal Carolina #133 of 668

lost by 15 as a 2.5-point favorite

L 7–42 @ Northwestern #57 of 668

lost by 35 as a 13.5-point underdog

W 28–16 vs Arkansas State #160 of 668

won by 12 as a 1.5-point favorite

W 31–25 @ UTEP #124 of 668

won by 6 as a 5.5-point underdog

L 0–73 @ AlabamaTop 25 #10 of 668

lost by 73 as a 34.5-point underdog

W 29–0 vs Saint Francis #202 of 668

won by 29 as a 30.5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

UAB · 4-8

Picked #55 in the preseason · now #50 — about right.

1-2 in its last three, capped by a 7-point win over Tulsa as a 9.5-point underdog.

W 31–24 @ Tulsa #134 of 668

won by 7 as a 9.5-point underdog

L 18–48 vs South FloridaTop 25 #14 of 668

lost by 30 as a 22.5-point underdog

L 24–53 vs North TexasTop 25 #42 of 668

lost by 29 as a 17.5-point underdog

L 17–24 @ Rice #157 of 668

lost by 7 as a 1.5-point underdog

L 19–38 @ UConn #65 of 668

lost by 19 as a 10.5-point underdog

W 31–24 vs MemphisTop 25 #54 of 668

won by 7 as a 23.5-point underdog

L 33–53 @ Florida Atlantic #122 of 668

lost by 20 as a 5.5-point underdog

L 13–31 vs Army #83 of 668

lost by 18 as a 6.5-point underdog

L 24–56 @ TennesseeTop 25 #18 of 668

lost by 32 as a 38.5-point underdog

W 31–28 vs Akron #158 of 668

won by 3 as a 13.5-point favorite

L 24–38 @ NavyTop 25 #36 of 668

lost by 14 as a 22.5-point underdog

W 52–42 vs Alabama State #145 of 668

won by 10 as a 21.5-point favorite

What’s at stake

UL Monroe

  • Bryant Vincent is behind Terry Bowden’s year-3 pace (0-2 vs. 2-0) — a win tonight widens the gap, a loss narrows it.

UAB

  • UAB is the AAC program whose 2014 football program shutdown + 2017 resurrection + Bill Clark 2018 Conference USA championship + Protective Stadium 2021 define what dropped-and-revived-football-program looks like.

The series

The series is tied 2-2

4 meetings since 1998 · UAB won the last meeting

  • 2026UAB 26–20
  • 2024UL Monroe 32–6
  • 1999UAB 47–0
  • 1998UL Monroe 20–14

Best players

UL Monroe

UAB

The line, and the room

The model and the market don’t fully agree on UAB’s chances here.

evenModel · 90%Market · 78%UL MonroeUAB

Home −9.5 · O/U 53.5

Conditions

86°F · 7 mph wind · Cloudy

UAB is worth +6.5 points (±4.3) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 87th percentile.

69% at home, 32% on the road against FBS opponents (27–12 home, 16–34 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +7.4 at home vs. away over 75 games — outside the ±7.3 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.

The visitors travel about 312 miles to get here.

UL Monroe 20 – UAB 26

UAB 26: 57%UL Monroe 20: 43%

Called it — picked UAB to win.

Recent games

UAB

  • Wk 1Lat Illinois23-42

UL Monroe

  • Wk 1Lat Mississippi State13-62

Trajectory

4.51-2.33-9.16Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2UL MonroeUAB

UAB beat UL Monroe 26-20 — exactly what the pregame pick had.