Indiana 52-16 North Texas (Sep 5, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: North Texas · Indiana

North Texas0-116

No. 6 Indiana1-052Final

Sat, Sep 5 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN), Bloomington, Ind. · Crowd 54,493

No. 6 Indiana routed North Texas 52-16.

We had Indiana favored. It won.

Next: North Texas beat UNLV 44-6, Sat Sep 12

Next: Indiana beat Howard 55-0, Sat Sep 12

Top comment in the game thread

Ok I’ve seen one play from Nick Marsh and I am quite excited

Q1 14:08 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 5

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Indiana a 96% chance, and the closing betting line (Indiana was a 39.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Indiana led by 14 after the first quarter and by 18 at the half.

FinalIndiana 52-16 North TexasIndiana wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q1 14:08Fans celebrate Hoover's touchdown pass to Marsh after refs overturn incomplete callQuoted at the top of the page.Happy for Marsh. Hope he does great with Indianar/CFB game thread
Q1 4:32Indiana fans decry a weak holding call on Hoover's pass to RichardNext practice is not going to be fun, Cig is going to murder them for all of these penaltiesr/CFB game threadHoly hell that's a trash callr/CFB game thread
Q2 8:54Hoover bleeds after facemask penalty, then throws Becker touchdown as fans hail his toughnessHoover has already cemented bad ass statusr/CFB game thread
Q3 9:56The temperature on the field was reported as 152 degrees.There’s no way it’s 152 degrees on that fieldr/CFB game thread

Indiana’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Indiana -39.5), at 99% for Indiana (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Indiana or North Texas flair (1,334 and 164); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Indiana’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Indiana scored on 8 of its 9 drives; North Texas on 4 of its 10.

Indiana’s drives are teal, North Texas’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

“Is Hoover an absolute dawg?”

A fan of another team

How fans reacted

Steady

Fans were loudest in the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was busy.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

North Texas fans

mean green“Except we lost all starters and coaches. Mostly to OSU. So I'll be watching them this year as if they are the Mean Green”

cmon“I know we are going to lose but cmon man, that was a catch. Give us that at least”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: back, now, field, far.

What it cost

Indiana’s chance to make the playoff rose from 34% to 36%.

Make the playoff

North Texas · lost3% → ▼2%

Indiana · won34% → ▲36%

Win the conference

North Texas · lost16% → ▼14%

Indiana · won8% → ▲9%

Before the game (September 4, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Indiana 52, North Texas 16

North Texas covered +39.5 by 3.5. The total, 68, went over 57.5.

Team totals	North Texas	Indiana
Total yards	367	365
Passing	23 of 29, 215 yds	13 of 16, 231 yds
Rushing	38 for 152 yds	30 for 134 yds
First downs	19	18
Third down	6 of 15	5 of 9
Fourth down	1 of 3	2 of 2
Turnovers	1	0
Penalties	9 for 79 yds	5 for 48 yds
Time of possession	37:22	22:38

North Texas leaders

Passing Tayven Jackson 22 of 28, 192 yds, 1 INT
Rushing Jahiem White 14 for 61 yds, 1 TD; Brendon Haygood 6 for 28 yds
Receiving Corri Milliner 4 for 66 yds; Justin Stevenson 2 for 47 yds

Indiana leaders

Passing Josh Hoover 13 of 16, 231 yds, 4 TD
Rushing Turbo Richard 15 for 58 yds, 2 TD; Grant Wilson 1 for 43 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Charlie Becker 4 for 64 yds, 2 TD; Davion Chandler 1 for 42 yds, 1 TD

Feels like 88° to 101° through the game

84° at kickoff · feels like 88° to 101° · no rain recorded

A feels-like 101° is hotter than the peak in 99% of games since 2018.

Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.

Warmer than every one of the 63 other games played at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 73°, with about 7 in 10 games between 62° and 84°.

September game-day temperatures at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:43 left12:12 p.m.

North Texas 0, Indiana 0 · Indiana 99% to win

no rain · 85°

Richard 2-yd run

Where this weather comes from

Measured at Bloomington airport, 5.4 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

North Texas · 12-2

Rated 135th in our preseason ratings.

W 49-47 @ San Diego State #70 of 667

won by 2 as a 7.5-point favorite

L 21-34 @ TulaneTop 25 #38 of 667

lost by 13 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 52-25 vs Temple #164 of 667

won by 27 as a 20.5-point favorite

W 56-24 @ Rice #191 of 667

won by 32 as an 18.5-point favorite

W 53-24 @ UAB #163 of 667

won by 29 as a 17.5-point favorite

W 31-17 vs NavyTop 25 #92 of 667

won by 14 as a 6.5-point favorite

W 54-20 @ Charlotte #229 of 667

won by 34 as a 25.5-point favorite

W 55-17 vs UTSA #73 of 667

won by 38 as a 3.5-point favorite

L 36-63 vs South FloridaTop 25 #27 of 667

lost by 27 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 36-22 vs South Alabama #92 of 667

won by 14 as an 11.5-point favorite

W 45-38 @ Army #107 of 667

won by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 59-10 vs Washington State #117 of 667

won by 49 as a 6.5-point favorite

W 33-30 @ Western Michigan #131 of 667

won by 3 as a 12.5-point favorite

W 51-0 vs Lamar #185 of 667

won by 51 as a 27.5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

Indiana · 16-0

Rated 8th in our preseason ratings.

W 27-21 vs MiamiTop 25 #4 of 667

won by 6 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 56-22 vs OregonTop 25 #6 of 667

won by 34 as a 3-point favorite

W 38-3 vs AlabamaTop 25 #14 of 667

won by 35 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 13-10 @ Ohio StateTop 25 #1 of 667

won by 3 as a 5.5-point underdog

W 56-3 @ Purdue #124 of 667

won by 53 as a 28.5-point favorite

W 31-7 vs Wisconsin #73 of 667

won by 24 as a 27.5-point favorite

W 27-24 @ Penn StateTop 25 #18 of 667

won by 3 as a 13.5-point favorite

W 55-10 @ Maryland #66 of 667

won by 45 as a 21.5-point favorite

W 56-6 vs UCLA #64 of 667

won by 50 as a 27.5-point favorite

W 38-13 vs Michigan State #86 of 667

won by 25 as a 26.5-point favorite

W 30-20 @ OregonTop 25 #3 of 667

won by 10 as a 7.5-point underdog

W 20-15 @ IowaTop 25 #42 of 667

won by 5 as an 8.5-point favorite

W 63-10 vs IllinoisTop 25 #46 of 667

won by 53 as a 7.5-point favorite

W 73-0 vs Indiana State #226 of 667

won by 73 as a 47.5-point favorite

W 56-9 vs Kennesaw State #168 of 667

won by 47 as a 35.5-point favorite

W 27-14 vs Old Dominion #113 of 667

won by 13 as a 23.5-point favorite

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Indiana’s passing EPA against North Texas, 89 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Indiana’s passing EPA against North Texas’s defense
Indiana offense, 99th percentile · North Texas defense, 10th
North Texas’s explosive plays against Indiana’s defense
North Texas offense, 84th percentile · Indiana defense, 6th
Indiana’s EPA/play against North Texas’s defense
Indiana offense, 98th percentile · North Texas defense, 42nd

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

North TexasIndiana

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

The series is tied 1-1

2 meetings since 2011 · Indiana won the last meeting

2014Indiana 49-24
2011North Texas 24-21

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Indiana fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (60th among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

Indiana favored by 39.5 · Total 57.5

How games like this usually go

Indiana by 39.5, and it went to form

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 1 point toward North Texas.

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 95° at kickoff.

North Texas at Indiana · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Memorial Stadium, Bloomington

95°feels like at kickoff
Dryno rain at kickoff
52weather score, Rough
Middleof the day's 7 kickoff times

At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was in the middle of the day's seven kickoff times. At Memorial Stadium that day, a 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 82, against 52 at noon.

noon: 52, Rough (this game)
12:45 pm: 47, Harsh
2 pm: 44, Harsh
3:30 pm: 42, Harsh
6 pm: 56, Rough
7 pm: 68, Rough
7:45 pm: 82, Mixed

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

Indiana is worth +4.4 points (±5.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 56th percentile.

60% at home, 46% on the road against FBS opponents (29-19 home, 19-22 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.7 at home vs. away over 96 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 722 miles to get here.

No. 6 Indiana routs North Texas 52-16