Scores and schedule

Week 5, 2026. Scores and kickoff times as of the Oct 23 update, not live. Numbers beside teams are AP ranks.

Blue is our model's chance to win. Gold is what the betting line implies, shown where it is 20 points or more from ours.

Week
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Biggest games

Thursday, October 1

Friday, October 2

Saturday, October 3

How our picks have done

Week 5: picked the winner in 40 of 56 games.

Season: the winner in 478 of 628 games (76%). Our picks have won about as often as the chances we gave them.

Favorite given 50–60%won 61% of 121Favorite given 60–70%won 66% of 136Favorite given 70–80%won 76% of 137Favorite given 80–90%won 85% of 117Favorite given 90–100%won 94% of 117

Bar: how often the favorite won. Tick: the average chance we gave it.

How picks are counted

A pick is the side our rating model favored the last time we recorded it before kickoff. A game with no recorded pick, and a tie, is left out. The chance shown beside this week’s games comes from the playoff simulation, so it can differ from the chance behind the pick.

Every game where our model and the betting line split is on where we disagree. For the table, see the standings.